EPL Best Bets and Predictions March 14-15
Here are this week’s EPL best bets:
Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham
Sunday, 10:00 a.m. ET
After a break for FA Cup weekend and following a tough midweek for English clubs in the Champions League, the Premier League is back with a fascinating round of fixtures. There are several matches that affect the top and bottom of the table. It is the latter which is the focus of my first bet.
Nottingham Forest are +120 to beat Fulham on Sunday. While you would maybe like a slightly better price, I think they get the win. From what I have seen, they are really looking to fight their way out of the relegation battle and, in recent weeks, have been unlucky not to pick up more points.
Vitor Pereira would have been pleased with the resilience his side showed in twice coming from behind to tie 2-2 with Manchester City last time out. Prior to that, they dominated another big side in Liverpool only to lose to a last-minute sucker punch.
Throughout the season, Forest has struggled for goals, but they seem to have found a cure to that in recent weeks. Another reason I am strong on them here is they take on a Fulham side who may be the first to be “on the beach,” having nothing to play for.
Their levels have dropped in recent weeks, and the FA Cup exit to Championship side Southampton was hugely disappointing. That also made it successive games in which the Cottagers failed to score, which is another warning sign for a team usually so reliable at hitting the back of the net.
This looks the sort of fixture you would hand-pick if you were at the bottom of the table fighting for survival. Even more so when the visitors’ star man Harry Wilson is likely to be missing once again through injury.
Next weekend sees a huge fixture for Forest as they play free-falling Tottenham. They will be desperate to go into that off the back of a victory here, which could see them overtake the Londoners who are currently just one point better off.
EPL Best Bet: Nottingham Forest vs Fulham – Nottingham Forest to win at +120.
Liverpool vs. Tottenham
Sunday, 12:30 p.m. ET
Liverpool’s recent form hasn’t been great. They became only the third side to lose to Wolves in the league this season, then travelled to Galatasaray in the Champions League and were beaten 1-0.
The thing is the Reds’ last three fixtures have all been on the road. At Anfield, they have only lost once since November, and that was to Manchester City. So, their home form has been rock solid, mainly due to the number of goals they score there.
In 2026, Arne Slot has seen his men score three against Brighton, four versus Barnsley and Newcastle, five last time out when West Ham were the visitors, and hit Qarabag for six. In the perfect storm, they now face a team in crisis who simply can not defend.
It is incredible to see what is happening to Tottenham. They have now lost six games in a row, conceding 18 goals in the process. While all the other sides at the bottom of the table are fighting for their lives, Spurs are just getting worse, and I have never seen a side show as little spirit.
This promises to be a very difficult afternoon for Spurs. A manager who has no clue how to get an improved performance out of players who seemingly don’t want to play for him or even be at the club.
In midweek, Igor Tudor saw his side concede four times against Atlético Madrid in the opening 22 minutes and tactically substitute his goalkeeper. It was the most embarrassing 22 minutes I have ever seen from a team representing the Premier League in Europe.
They now travel to a Liverpool side they have not beaten away from home in 16 attempts and conceded at least four times in each of their last four visits. The home side are -335, the handicap is high, as is the goal line, so how do we play this?
My solution is to go to a player who isn’t in the best of form, but the price is too good. Tottenham are a relegation contender, are likely the worst side in the league on current form, and if Mo Salah was up against one of those other bottom five teams, he would be -200 to score.
Here we can get +112 about the Egyptian King scoring, and for me, that is a very disrespectful price. Hugo Ekitike may be the favorite with the sportsbooks at -128, but in my opinion, Salah remains the chief goal threat, and he has scored in two of his last three matches.
Salah has scored 12 goals against Tottenham for Liverpool in 16 league appearances, and another here would equal his record total against any one English side. This represents big value and can only assume the visitors are being priced on name, not form.
EPL Best Bet: Liverpool vs Tottenham – Mo Salah to score at +112.
Sunderland vs. Brighton
Saturday, 11:00 a.m. ET
Sunderland have done all the work they needed to at the start of the campaign. They now have 40 points. They will be playing Premier League soccer again next season, but I have said for a couple of weeks now, we will likely see them slip to the performances we expected from the beginning.
After being the last team in the league to suffer a home defeat, they have lost twice on the spin. Given that proud record, they will be desperate to avoid a third straight Premier League home loss for the first time since 2016.
As a result, expect them to tighten up here, and so I do like Under 2.5 goals, but at odds of -130, there is a better value option. That is for the game to be a tie at halftime.
Brighton have scored 16 goals on the road this season, but only five have come in the first half. While with 15, no Premier League side has been level at halftime on more occasions than Sunderland.
The reverse fixture in December saw this bet cash with the game not only being 0-0 at halftime but ending up that way too. We could well see another turgid repeat at odds of +115.
EPL Best Bet: Sunderland vs Brighton – Tie at half-time at +115.
