EPL Soccer – Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves:
Week 3 of the English Premier League will begin Saturday, August 31. Nottingham Forest, currently tied for sixth place on the table, face a Wolves team residing in the relegation zone in 19th place.
How to Watch Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves
Where: Peacock
When: Saturday, 10:00 a.m. ET
Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves Odds
Nottingham Forest +100 // Wolves +265
Total: 2.5 (-127/+100)
Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves EPL Prediction:
Regular readers will remember one of my favorite strategies for EPL predictions from last season: clicking in when a side has been heavily beaten. It’s time to dust it off for the first time this term.
The strategy’s first appearance last campaign was in the game after Sheffield United had been hammered 8-0 at home by Newcastle. The following week, I backed Under 2.5 goals when they played away at West Ham, with the bet cashing after the Hammers won 2-0.
If an NFL team concedes 50 or 60 points, they will focus on defense the entire following week. For Wolves, who were thumped 6-2 on home soil by Chelsea last Sunday, it’s time to focus on defense.
There is also the sub-plot to this game of Nuno Espírito Santo being a former Wolves manager to add some extra spice. In the visiting dugout now is Gary O’Neil, who incidentally could be worth a small bet on being the first Premier League manager to lose his job this season. There are lots of things going against him now. It feels he may just need to protect his profile as a well-thought-of head coach.
The last four meetings across all competitions between these two sides have finished in a tie. Nine of the last 12 have seen Under 2.5 goals bettors cash, and that is the bet I am playing here.
Forest’s opening two games have been low-scoring. A 1-1 draw at home to Bournemouth and a 1-0 win on the road at Southampton.
Wolves contained Arsenal to just a 2-0 win on the opening day before that crazy game at Molineux last weekend. This brings me back to the key driver for this selection and the fact that after conceding a lot of goals, it is then very rare to see an Over in the next fixture.
Last season, there were seven occasions where a team conceded six or more goals in the Premier League. In five of the matches immediately after, the Unders cashed.
EPL Prediction: Nottingham Forest vs Wolves – Under 2.5 goals at +100.
