2025 Roland Garros best bets for Tuesday, June 3rd
The second major of the 2025 tennis season is here. The top players in the world are in Paris, France for the 2025 French Open for another week, and the action in Roland Garros should be awesome to monitor. I’ll continue posting daily best bets throughout the tournament, so VSiN is the place to be if you like betting on tennis. If you aren’t already a subscriber, I’d suggest looking into becoming a VSiN Pro soon. I constantly provide analysis on all of the biggest events, and this is the best time of the year for this sport.
I’d also strongly suggest checking the Pro Picks page throughout the day. That’s where Gill Alexander is posting his French Open best bets. Gill does a tremendous job handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game, which is a staple of our live VSiN programming. Also, while I try to write up as many of my plays as possible, I do occasionally add things to that page throughout the day. That’s also where I post plays for smaller ATP and WTA events, and my Challenger-level plays live exclusively on that page.
With all of that out of the way, let’s get into some French Open picks for Day 10 on Tuesday, June 3rd.
2025 Record: 723-705-1 (+20.61 units)
Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz
Very few players can handle Sinner right now — just ask anyone in tennis. In fact, after Sinner dominated him last match, Jiri Lehecka said only Alcaraz could beat Sinner. But while Alcaraz is tough, he’s not as unbeatable as his Italian rival. We’ve seen several players trouble the Spaniard — including a few in this very tournament — and Paul is one of the few who’s actually beaten him. The American has actually done it twice, at 1000-level events in Canada. Paul has pushed Alcaraz in other meetings, too, so I like his chances of doing it again in their upcoming Roland Garros quarterfinal.
I’ll admit, I’ve been skeptical about Paul this tournament. He’s been dealing with a nagging lower abdomen injury, even mentioning post-match MRIs, though nobody seems to know the results. Despite that, Paul keeps grinding out wins. His straight-set victory over Alexei Popyrin was the first time he looked truly comfortable, and the quick match gave him extra recovery time — which is crucial before facing Alcaraz.
Sure, Paul’s health is a concern, but you can’t be scared when betting on sports. Even at less than 100%, Paul has the grit to challenge Alcaraz. The defending champ hasn’t looked sharp this year in Paris, dropping sets to players he should beat comfortably. Alcaraz’s decision-making has been off, and Paul’s consistency and elite return game (fourth-best break percentage on tour over the last 52 weeks) could give him some issues. Paul’s confidence and fighting spirit also add to the intrigue. He won’t back down, no matter what.
Bet: Paul To Win A Set (+100)
Hedging Roland Garros Futures
(All of these futures were posted in my Roland Garros preview story)
Aryna Sabalenka To Win Quarter 1 (3.5u to win 2.5u)
Qinwen Zheng vs. Aryna Sabalenka
I set up this exact situation in Rome, but I didn’t hedge there. I regretted that pretty quickly, with Zheng cruising to a 6-4, 6-3 victory. That was Zheng’s first win over Sabalenka, and it will surely give the Chinese superstar the confidence she needs to go out and potentially do it again. Having said that, I do like Sabalenka to get her revenge. This has still been a one-sided rivalry in the past, and Sabalenka has shown that the gap between her and the next tier of WTA players is rather sizable. With that in mind, I’m not trying to completely give up a cheap opportunity to cash in on the Belarusian. So, I’m putting a single unit on Zheng to win this match at +250. That means I’m giving myself a low-risk shot at winning 1.5 units on Sabalenka.
Hedge: Zheng ML (+250 – 1u to win 2.5u)
Novak Djokovic To Win Quarter 2 (1u to win 2.5u)
Novak Djokovic vs. Alexander Zverev
Djokovic has looked like Djokovic for two weeks now, as he also played rather well in winning his 100th career title in the 250 in Geneva before this tournament. So, I do like the Serbian to take care of business against Zverev. I’m well aware of Zverev’s clay-court pedigree, and he’s a guy that I thought would have a real shot at winning this tournament towards the end of 2024. I just changed my tune because of a strange start to the 2025 season. And this is a big mental mismatch, with Djokovic being a 24-time Grand Slam champion and Zverev having trouble getting over the hump to win his first.
Having said that, I do think it’d be a little irresponsible not to hedge this play. If Djokovic wins, that’d be great. I’d win a unit on him winning the quarter, and I’d still have 0.5 units risked on the Serbian to win the French Open title — which is a play I put on the VSiN picks page on May 30th. If Djokovic doesn’t win, it’s no big deal. Winning 1.5 units on Zverev would mean winning back everything I risked on Djokovic in Paris.
Hedge: Zverev ML (+100 – 1.5u to win 1.5u)
Lorenzo Musetti To Win Quarter 3 (2.5u to win 4.5u)
Frances Tiafoe vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This is a match that I fully expect Musetti to win, but I’m not going to get greedy here. BetRivers has +360 for Tiafoe to win, so this is the cleanest hedge imaginable. Tiafoe is a big-match player. So, while Musetti should win, you can’t count anything out — especially with the Italian looking to make the first Roland Garros semi-final of his career. Plus, Musetti isn’t used to being a heavy favorite in a spot like this. That said, let’s guarantee either a 1.1-unit win with Tiafoe or a 3.5-unit win with Musetti. That means Musetti would still mean a lovely payday, but an upset would also mean some green.
Hedge: Tiafoe ML (+360 – 1u to win 3.6u)
