Tennis Best Bets: Monte Carlo Masters picks and predictions for Friday, April 12

Zachary Cohen dives into his favorite Monte Carlo Masters tennis best bets for Friday, April 12th.

15767
Sep 10, 2023; Flushing, NY, USA; Novak Djokovic of Serbia reacts after winning the second set against Daniil Medvedev (not pictured) in the men's singles final on day fourteen of the 2023 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Monte Carlo Masters tennis best bets for Friday, April 12

There’s nothing quite like the heart of clay-court season, which truly begins with the Monte Carlo Masters in France. This is a tournament that ranks just below the four Grand Slams in terms of importance. And while the field for this event is smaller, it’s absolutely loaded with talent. So, with elite players like Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner in the field, we’ll be providing you with tennis best bets on a daily basis for this one.

Make sure you keep reading for my tennis best bets for Friday, April 12th. Also, make sure you come back throughout the day, as I constantly add picks to my card. So, if you’re interested in a match and want to see what I have on it, come back before first ball and see if I added something on it! I also will be adding some Challenger-level picks below.

 

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!

2024 Results: 202-225 (+5.83 units)

Alex De Minaur vs. Novak Djokovic

I had Djokovic to beat Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets yesterday and the 24-time Grand Slam champion got the job done. Well, I’m going to a similar play on Friday, as I’m taking the Under on the game total. It’s just hard to picture De Minaur really giving Djokovic a run for his money, if the Serbian is healthy. De Minaur is just 23-28 on clay at the ATP level, and that’s a far cry from his 61.0% win percentage on grass and 65.0% win percentage on hard courts. De Minaur does have a pretty good game for clay, as he’s a very good mover and is capable of winning physical matches. However, De Minaur mostly wins his matches by outlasting his opponents. And there’s really no outlasting Djokovic.

De Minaur will undoubtedly dig deep and make Djokovic work his butt off to win this. But the Australian just doesn’t have the power required to put points away against Djokovic on slower courts. He also isn’t a good enough server to consistently hold against the greatest returner in tennis history.

The reason I’m taking the Under instead of Djokovic to win in straight sets is that the Serbian was having some trouble with the heat and humidity in Monte Carlo yesterday. He limped to the finish line in the second set, and he was visibly struggling on changeovers. So, if Djokovic doesn’t recover in time, I want to be protected in the event he completely fails to show up and De Minaur beats him in straight sets — like he did at the United Cup in January. But Djokovic is the greatest player of all time, and his team knows how to get him right after a match. So, I think it’s far more likely he comes out looking good and smokes De Minaur.

Bet: Under 21.5 Games (-123)

Added Plays

Joao Fonseca ML (+115 – 2 units) vs. Leandro Riedi [Madrid Challenger]

PARLAY: Casper Ruud ML vs. Ugo Humbert [Monte Carlo] + Calvin Hemery +1.5 Sets vs. Marc Polmans [Sarasota] (-138 – 2 units)

Laura Siegemund +4.5 Games (-167 – 2 units) vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia [Billie Jean King Cup]

Laura Siegemund ML (+175) vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia [Billie Jean King Cup]

Anna Danilina +7.5 Games (+105) vs. Naomi Osaka [Billie Jean King Cup]

Vasek Pospisil ML (-109 – 1.5 units) vs. Nicolas Mejia [Morelos Challenger]

Yesterday’s Picks

Click here.

VSiN Tennis Betting Splits

Tennis Odds

Gill Alexander’s Beating The Book Podcast