The 2026 Miami Open is in full swing at Hard Rock Stadium, and Tuesday, March 24 brings another loaded slate of ATP and WTA action from South Florida. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks for Miami, digging into matchup tactics, court conditions, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 Miami Open best bets are built to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page throughout the day. I generally have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his best bets.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul
Paul hasn’t been very impressive in Miami thus far. The American needed three sets to defeat both Adrian Mannarino and Raphael Collignon, showing that he’s very prone to dips in level right now. Well, Etcheverry isn’t the world’s most dangerous opponent, but he’s good enough to demand you maintain a decent level of play throughout a best-of-three match.
Etcheverry has also turned in some great performances in South Beach, beating Zizou Bergs and Rafael Jodar in straight sets. The Argentine is serving well, he’s playing big from the back of the court, and he’s stepping up in key moments.
Etcheverry has also had some nice crowd support in Miami. I know it’s going to be assumed that Paul will have the fans in his corner, but don’t be surprised if a smaller group of fans can make an impact for Etcheverry. We actually saw Alex Michelsen dealing with a tough Chilean crowd in his match against Alejandro Tabilo on Monday. You just never know what you’re going to get in Miami, so the Argentines could show out here.
Bet: Etcheverry +1.5 Sets (-127 – 1.5 units) & Etcheverry ML (+230 – 0.5 units)
Ugo Humbert vs. Francisco Cerundolo
Humbert is an excellent player in quicker conditions, as he has a big serve, he keeps his groundstrokes low, and he has a good feel for when to come up and finish points. That’s why Humbert always tends to play some of his best tennis in indoor hard-court tournaments. Of course, Miami is an outdoor event, so it’s not quite the same. But these are fast, low-bouncing courts that play slicker than most other hard-court events. That makes Humbert’s skill set valuable, much like it is on grass.
Cerundolo does play some of his best tennis in Miami, which has to be noted. However, after playing a flawless opening set against Daniil Medvedev last round, Cerundolo unraveled a bit in Sets 2 and 3. He was able to get himself across the finish line there, but sloppy mistakes from Medvedev — including a double fault down match point — helped him a lot. Cerundolo also got a little banged up in Set 2. So, he comes into this match with a little uncertainty.
Humbert is also a tough matchup for Cerundolo. The Frenchman is the far superior server between these two. He also has a good two-handed backhand, which, as a left-handed player, should allow him to do decent work handling Cerundolo’s cross-court forehands.
Bet: Humbert ML (-111 – 1.5 units)
