The 2026 Miami Open is in full swing at Hard Rock Stadium, and Wednesday, March 25 brings another loaded slate of ATP and WTA action from South Florida. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks for Miami, digging into matchup tactics, court conditions, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 Miami Open best bets are built to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page throughout the day. I generally have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his best bets.
Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina
Pegula has suffered a bunch of losses to Rybakina lately. One of those defeats came at the Australian Open, with Rybakina going on to win the title. Rybakina also got her at Indian Wells. All in all, Rybakina has won three straight against Pegula. So, at some point, Pegula will either break the streak, or she’ll get broken. I’m thinking it’ll be the former, but let’s go heavier on her to win a set.
When Pegula and Rybakina met on a faster hard court in last year’s WTA Finals, the American took the opening set before going down 4-6, 6-4, 6-3. Also, while the last two meetings between these two did end in straight sets, Pegula forced a tiebreaker in both of them.
There just hasn’t been too much between the two recently, so I don’t see why Pegula can’t find a way to get the job done. Rybakina’s serve will surely be the biggest weapon on the court here, but all it will take is one lousy service game for Pegula to make something happen. And I don’t see Pegula letting a break lead slip away in these conditions, which will make her own serve a little more dangerous.
Bet: Pegula +1.5 Sets (-155 – 1.5 units) & Pegula ML (+180 – 0.5 units)
Martin Landaluce vs. Jiri Lehecka
Arthur Fils vs. Tommy Paul
Landaluce has looked awesome this week, and it’s pretty clear he’s a player that will do some damage in the future. However, this run has been a bit out of place. The Spaniard has always been very hyped as a prospect, but this is a guy that was 1-8 in tour-level matches in 2025. He’s also 2-4 on the Challenger Tour in 2026. That said, I do think he’s going to go down pretty soon, and Lehecka could be the one to send him packing. The Czech is a massive server, plays an aggressive baseline game, and has found ways to win big matches in his career. Well, now that he has another chance to go deep at a 1000, I don’t see him squandering it against this opponent.
In the other match, I really like Fils to win. However, I’ll take him just to win a set here, as I do have some questions about the Frenchman’s ability to play a long, physical match this early in his recovery. And he could very well get one of those from Paul, who is one of the sport’s ultimate grinders. But Fils does have the edge in weaponry here, his form is spectacular, and Paul was shaky before blasting Tomas Martin Etcheverry last round.
PARLAY: Lehecka ML & Fils +1.5 Sets (-124 – 2 units)
Hailey Baptiste vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This is a bit of a long shot, so I wouldn’t go crazy with it. However, Baptiste has been great in South Beach thus far. The American hasn’t dropped a set this tournament, despite having faced Tatjana Maria, Liudmila Samsonova, Elina Svitolina, and Jelena Ostapenko. That’s a tough road for the 24-year-old, but she has navigated it extremely well. I have always felt that Baptiste is a top-10 talent on the WTA Tour, but she needs to continue sharpening some things. Still, when she’s rolling like this, she’s very, very dangerous.
We saw Baptiste win a set against Rybakina in Indian Wells, and she wasn’t far off from winning that match in straights. Ultimately, Rybakina ended up getting by in three, but that performance should give Baptiste confidence. And honestly, given her results this week, perhaps it did.
Heading into this matchup with Sabalenka, the American just needs to play freely. Getting nervy when the ball is on her racquet is really the only thing that can keep her from keeping this competitive. Perhaps that’s easier said than done, but I just don’t see any reason she can’t get on the board.
Bet: Baptiste +1.5 Sets (+245 – 0.5 units)
