The 2026 Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters is underway at the Monte-Carlo Country Club, and the clay-court action really heats up on the French Riviera. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks for Monte-Carlo, digging into matchup tactics, surface tendencies, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 Monte-Carlo Masters best bets are built to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays for Tuesday, April 7 below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page throughout the day. I generally have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on how lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his best bets.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista Agut
Alexei Popyrin vs. Casper Ruud
Berrettini will battle Bautista Agut very early for us in the United States, so we’ll find out quickly whether or not the second match matters. However, I do like Berrettini at this tournament. Just last year, the Italian earned an impressive three-set win over Alexander Zverev, and it almost feels like Berrettini’s 2021 Wimbledon run makes him an underrated clay performer. However, on this surface, Berrettini has more time on the ball and his big, heavy forehand allows him to control points. The former makes him a bit better as both a returner and a baseliner, while the latter gives him a point-finishing ability that not many others have on these slow courts. All of that, combined with his booming serve, should be enough for him to get by Bautista Agut, who is actually a little overrated on this surface.
In the second match, I’m a little worried about Popyrin, who has a big serve and always swings freely from the baseline. Popyrin has also posted some surprisingly decent results on clay over the last 52 weeks. However, I’m still looking to Ruud to get me down to -115 with Berrettini. The Norwegian is a top-five player in the world on the red stuff, so he should be able to handle Popyrin.
PARLAY: Berrettini ML & Ruud ML (-115)
Cam Norrie vs. Alex de Minaur
The last time we saw Norrie and de Minaur, it was the Brit that earned a 6-4, 6-4 win. That was also a couple of weeks go, with Norrie pulling out the win at Indian Wells. Norrie is now 3-2 in tour-level meetings with de Minaur, and the southpaw has won each of the last two — with one of them coming on hard courts in de Minaur’s home of Australia.
I just love the way Norrie matches up with de Minaur, as the Brit is similarly feisty as an on-court competitor, he plays with a ton of shape, and he’s a good enough returner to make the Aussie pay for any poor service games.
This match will also be played on a slow clay court. That should favor Norrie. The Brit is 71-44 on clay at the ATP level, while de Minaur is just 40-38 on the dirt. Also, while de Minaur did beat Norrie in their only previous clay-court encounter, that was a match in which the Brit still managed to win a set. And that’s really what I’m looking for him to do here, as +1.5 sets is my bigger play on this one. However, given all of the recent head-to-head results and overall clay-court history, I’m also sprinkling Norrie on the moneyline.
Bet: Norrie +1.5 Sets (-136 – 2 units) & Norrie ML (+195 – 0.5 units)
Tennis Links
Gill Alexander’s Beating The Book Podcast
2026 ATP/WTA Record: 321-363 (-6.47 units)
