Tennis best bets and predictions for Sunday, August 3rd:
This week, the ATP and WTA Tours are in Canada for the 2025 National Bank Open presented by Rogers. The men are stationed in Toronto for their Masters 1000 event, and the women are playing their 1000-level tournament in Montreal. Unfortunately, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic and Aryna Sabalenka are a few of the big names that opted to rest up for Cincinnati. However, these fields are still rather loaded, so we’re soaking in the action up north. Make sure you’re coming back to VSiN, where I’ll be posting daily write-ups on the action as often as I can. That continues with the action on Sunday, August 3rd.
Make sure you also check out the picks page every couple of hours if you want more of my action. I occasionally post some extra picks there, including my picks for smaller tournaments and Challenger-level events. That’s also where you’ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2025 Record: 951-928-1 (+42.54 units)
Karolina Muchova vs. Madison Keys
After seeing Muchova beat Antonia Ruzic 7-5, 7-5 in the Round of 64, it was pretty clear that some of her early-season issues were starting to fade. Muchova is serving a lot better than she did earlier in the season, plus she’s no longer in a position in which she needs to hit nothing but one-handed slice backhands. Her left arm is in good enough shape for her to rip two-handers, and that’s helping her perform like a top-tier player again. That’s why Muchova was able to earn a 6-7 (2), 6-2, 6-3 win over Belinda Bencic, who made a run to the Wimbledon semifinals not too long ago.
Now that Muchova is healthy, it’s just hard to come to grips with her being available at +133 against Keys. The American obviously has the bigger serve between these two, but Muchova is an excellent returner. I also think Muchova is the better baseliner, and her ability to mix things up and keep opponents guessing should trouble Keys. There’s obviously a lot of pop on Keys’ groundstrokes, but she can struggle to place her shots where she needs to.
The only thing I’m really worried about here is Muchova’s fitness, as she hasn’t played played this many matches in a single event since March. However, the fact that this event is two weeks has given her plenty of time to rest between matches — and she has always been in great shape.
Bet: Muchova ML (+133 – 2 units)
Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex de Minaur
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Andrey Rublev
I like the idea of throwing in a two-leg parlay on the men’s side, calling for de Minaur to win and Davidovich Fokina to take a set. With de Minaur, the matchup is excellent. Tiafoe is obviously a highly talented player, but he can be mistake-prone when forced to play longer rallies. Well, de Minaur, on a medium-speed hard court, is going to be very difficult to hit through. So, I can see the American racking up unforced errors, and I also think de Minaur’s elite returning will cause Tiafoe to crack.
As far as the second match goes, I’m a little nervous about Davidovich Fokina actually getting over the finish line, but I do think he’ll at least put himself in a position to win. The Spaniard has won six of his last seven matches, and we all know he should be on a seven-match winning streak right now. And realistically, there isn’t much that suggests Rublev is the better player these days. The Russian is a slightly better server, but Davidovich Fokina is a much better returner. I also think the Spaniard has the better backhand, and his forehand should be dangerous with a little more time to set up on these courts.
Davidovich Fokina also earned his first win over Rublev this year, beating him 7-5, 6-4 in Barcelona. That ended a five-match losing streak against this opponent, and I think he’s going to head to the court with the confidence that he can push him again.
PARLAY: de Minaur ML & Davidovich Fokina +1.5 Sets (-143 – 1.5 units)
Elina Svitolina vs. Amanda Anisimova
Anisimova has bounced back well from her poor showing in the Wimbledon final, as she has earned straight-set wins over Lulu Sun and Emma Raducanu in Montreal. That second performance was absolutely dominant, and it was impressive considering Raducanu was in great form heading into it. The issue is that Svitolina is a very difficult matchup for her.
While Anisimova’s last match was tremendous, Svitolina’s might have been better. She earned a 6-1, 6-1 victory over Anna Kalinskaya, who actually beat Raducanu on her way to making the final in DC last week. Svitolina is just dialed in when it comes to winning points on her serve, and her returning has been outrageous. When you combine that with her ability to maneuver the baseline and extend points, I think Anisimova’s lack of athleticism could be exploited here.
Our VSiN tennis bettings splits also suggest that Svitolina is the sharper play, as Anisimova is getting a lot of attention from public bettors and the odds have moved in the opposite direction.
Bet: Svitolina ML (-120 – 1.5 units)
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
