Tennis best bets and predictions for Tuesday, August 5th:
This week, the ATP and WTA Tours are in Canada for the 2025 National Bank Open presented by Rogers. The men are stationed in Toronto for their Masters 1000 event, and the women are playing their 1000-level tournament in Montreal. Unfortunately, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic and Aryna Sabalenka are a few of the big names that opted to rest up for Cincinnati. However, these fields are still rather loaded, so we’re soaking in the action up north. Make sure you’re coming back to VSiN, where I’ll be posting daily write-ups on the action as often as I can. That continues with the action on Tuesday, August 5th.
Make sure you also check out the picks page every couple of hours if you want more of my action. I occasionally post some extra picks there, including my picks for smaller tournaments and Challenger-level events. That’s also where you’ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2025 Record: 965-956-1 (+30.65 units)
Naomi Osaka vs. Elina Svitolina
Osaka parted ways with Patrick Mouratoglou before this tournament, but she hasn’t looked lost in Canada. In fact, Osaka has really looked tremendous in eight of the nine sets she has played. Osaka is making first serves at an impressive clip, she’s following up those serves with big plus-one winners and she’s also looking dialed in as a returner. Now, it’s hard not to see some value in her at plus-money odds against Svitolina.
I had Svitolina to emerge victorious in her match against Amanda Anisimova last round, but i think Osaka’s power and ball striking can be tough for the Ukrainian to deal with. Osaka has actually won two matches in a row against Svitolina, and one of those came in Miami last year. That’s a tournament that Osaka has always enjoyed, but the former world No. 1 is playing much better in 2025 than she was in 2024. And she’s in better shape.
Osaka just needs to continue serving well and playing with conviction. If she does, she’ll be dangerous against Svitolina in these conditions.
Bet: Osaka ML (+125)
Andrey Rublev vs. Taylor Fritz
Fritz has proven that last season wasn’t a fluke. He’s pretty clearly deserving of his No. 4 ranking, and his ability to grind out close wins with clutch serving and underrated baseline defense has almost turned him into the new Daniil Medvedev in that he’s just a nightmare to play against. However, Fritz does often find himself in close matches, as he’s still a player that easily holds and rarely breaks. With that in mind, I’m having trouble wrapping my head around the prices for this match.
Rublev no longer looks the part of a second-tier player, despite the fact that he has some of the most outrageous baseline weapons in the sport. But he is plenty capable of putting his head down and getting through his service games against Fritz. And if we do see a tiebreaker or two in this match, the Russian should take one of them. After all, Fritz is just 13-18 in the 31 tiebreakers he has played since the start of this season.
Rublev has also won two of his last three matches against Fritz. Of course, both of the wins came on clay. But one of those was in Madrid, where the conditions favor big servers. And overall, Rublev has won at least one set in three of his last four meetings with Fritz, and that’s exactly what I’m backing the Russian to do. However, I will also be sprinkling some moneyline here, as I think this is a little close to 55-45 than the implied 65-35.
Bet: Rublev +1.5 Sets (-155 – 1.5 units) & Rublev ML (+191 – 0.5 units)
Alex de Minaur vs. Ben Shelton
The moneyline price on de Minaur is a little juicier than I like to play, but I love this matchup for the Australian. The de Minaur serve can leave a little to be desired, but it shouldn’t trouble him against a poor returner like Shelton. However, de Minaur’s elite returning should give Shelton some fits. I also like de Minaur’s baseline game against Shelton’s, as the Aussie is elite when it comes to court coverage. De Minaur is also a much better on-court thinker than Shelton, and his footwork is a lot better than the American’s. All of that should lead to a de Minaur victory.
As long as de Minaur has enough in his legs after a title run in Washington DC, this match should ultimately go his way. Shelton definitely has more firepower than de Minaur, but this is a tough matchup for him at this stage in his career. I feel Shelton needs some more seasoning.
Bet: de Minaur ML (-161 – 1.5 units)
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
