Tennis best bets and predictions for Tuesday, July 22nd:
We’re officially on the road to the 2025 US Open. Over the next couple of weeks, some of the top players in the world will be competing in some massive hard-court tournaments. This week, I’m focusing on the action in Washington DC, where the men and women are playing in a 500-level event: the Mubadala Citi DC Open. Keep reading for my tennis best bets for this event, but make sure you also check out the Pro Picks page. That’s where you’ll find my picks for some of the smaller events — including the random clay-court tournaments.
I do occasionally add picks throughout the day, as I like to see how odds are moving. So, keep checking the picks page every couple of hours if you want more of my action. That’s also where you’ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2025 Record: 898-872-1 (+46.12 units)
Taylor Townsend vs. Tatjana Maria
Maria is coming off an awesome grass-court season. The 37-year-old shocked the world at Queen’s Club, beating Leylah Fernandez, Karolina Muchova, Elena Rybakina, Madison Keys and Amanda Anisimova to take home the HSBC Championships title. Maria’s tricky slice-heavy game was a perfect match for grass, where the low bounces had her opponents in hell. However, that style won’t be nearly as effective on hard courts. There’s a reason Maria is 69-135 on hard courts in her career, and she’s 4-10 on the surface over the last 52 weeks.
Maria’s shots are just going to sit up and give opponents chances to blast through her, which is a big part of the reason I’m rolling with Townsend. I know Townsend isn’t a perfect player, but she’s capable of beating this opponent, at this venue. Townsend has a lot of power from all parts of the court, and that should give Maria some problems here. Townsend is also rather crafty herself, so she’ll have a good understanding of how to combat the Maria slice.
Townsend has also spent time training in the DC area before, so she’s no stranger to these conditions. That, combined with the fact the crowd will be in her corner, is hard to ignore in a matchup in which I already like the American.
Bet: Townsend -2.5 Games (-125)
Marcos Giron vs. Jaume Munar
Munar has done a lot of work to improve his power game. I have been saying it all year, but the Spaniard has visibly added muscle. The strength he has added has clearly helped him out, as his hold percentage is a career-high 81.5%. His previous high was 74.9%. Munar is also doing a much better job of ending rallies faster. The issue here is that Giron is a completely different player on outdoor hard courts.
Giron is known for his ability to run down everything, making him one of the better defenders in the sport. However, he’s also pretty good at finding spots to be aggressive, even when he’s on the move. All of that plays up a little when Giron finds himself on a bit of a slower bouncing hard court.
Giron also likes having the crowd behind him, as that extra adrenaline gives him a little extra juice to defend and hammer away at his groundstrokes.
All in all, this feels like a reasonable price to back Giron, who is 18-15 on hard courts over the last 52 weeks. Munar is just 29-59 on hard courts in his career, and he’s 9-11 on the surface over the last 52 weeks.
Bet: Giron ML (-120)
Naomi Osaka vs. Yulia Putintseva
Emma Raducanu vs. Marta Kostyuk
I feel really good about Osaka’s chances of beating the 2025 version of Putintseva, and I also like Raducanu to beat Kostyuk. However, with Osaka being nearly -300 to win, throwing her into a parlay feels like the better move. Doing that also allows me to take Raducanu to win only a set, which is nice because Kostyuk is a fighter and there’s a chance she finds a way to steal a close one.
With Osaka, I’m definitely high on her hard-court ability, but it’s equally a fade on Putintseva. The last time we saw Putintseva, she lost 6-0, 6-0 against Anisimova at Wimbledon. That was her third consecutive loss and fifth in her last six matches. I just don’t see Putintseva having an answer for Osaka’s power — especially with the way she’s serving lately.
As for Raducanu, it’s hard not to see a player that looks more like a top-15 player than the 46th-ranked player. And Raducanu is at her best in quicker conditions. Meanwhile, for as good as Kostyuk is, she has lost five matches in a row. So, Raducanu is getting her at the right time.
PARLAY: Osaka ML & Raducanu +1.5 Sets (-141)
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
