Wimbledon predictions and best bets for Day 7 – July 6th:
There’s nothing better than grass-court tennis at the All England Club, so we’re excited about Wimbledon over here at VSiN. Throughout the tournament, I’m going to be providing you with daily tennis best bets. That continues with the action on Sunday, July 6th, so keep reading for my Day 7 Wimbledon picks.
I also post more tennis plays on the Pro Picks page. I occasionally add picks throughout the day, as I like to see how odds are moving. So, keep checking that page every couple of hours if you want more of my action. That’s also where you’ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2025 Record: 834-818-1 (+28.06 units)
Laura Siegemund vs. Solana Sierra
Siegemund is coming off a stunning 6-3, 6-3 win over Madison Keys, one of the favorites to win the tournament. Now, the only thing that could keep the 37-year-old out of the quarterfinals is the post-match handshake. Keys wasn’t available for press after the third-round encounter because of an illness, which is interesting considering the American’s opening-round opponent, Elena-Gabriela Ruse, was also under the weather. Hopefully this isn’t something that is spreading throughout the locker room.
If Siegemund is healthy, she really should find a way to beat Sierra. The veteran just has a good game for grass, as she’s a solid server, plays a crafty game from the back of the court and has a great set of hands at the net. Meanwhile, Sierra is a player that has some real ball-bashing ability, much like Keys. However, she’s not as consistent when it comes to her ball striking, and she’s nowhere near as good on her serve.
Sierra has also been a player that has let nerves get the best of her in the past. Well, this is the best run she has had a major, so she’ll likely be feeling some pressure. Siegemund can take advantage of that with her business-like approach.
Bet: Siegemund ML (-152)
Jordan Thompson vs. Taylor Fritz
Fritz has been taken to a fourth set in all three of his Wimbledon matches, and I don’t see this one ending in straights either. Thompson actually has a grass-court win over Fritz to his name, as the Australian beat the American at Queen’s Club last year. So, we know Thompson’s game can trouble Fritz.
Thompson isn’t a giant like Fritz’s first two opponents at Wimbledon, and he doesn’t have the baseline game of Davidovich Fokina either. However, Thompson is sturdy with the ball on his racquet, he can really grind from the baseline and he’s good at the net. He’s also a feisty competitor that will make Fritz work for everything, even if the American has a 2-0 lead and hope seems lost.
If the pricing was a little better here, I would have taken Thompson +2.5 sets. However, the juice there was outrageous. So, I’ll take the Over on 3.5 sets, which is something I’ve hit in all three of Fritz’s matches this tournament. Let’s just hope the Australian doesn’t win in straights.
Bet: Over 3.5 Sets (-133)
Elise Mertens vs. Aryna Sabalenka
Sabalenka was able to survive the crowd, plus a high level from Emma Raducanu, last match. However, Raducanu did get tight in key moments, surrendering a break lead in both sets of her straight-set loss. Sabalenka likely won’t be as fortunate in the fourth round, as Mertens won’t be playing with the pressure of satisfying an entire country. With that in mind, if Sabalenka doesn’t play her best tennis here, she could actually be in danger of losing a set — and possibly the match.
Mertens is extremely underrated on grass, where she is 33-28 in her career and 9-2 over the last 52 weeks. She’s rock-solid as a server, tough as nails as a returner and very sturdy when it comes to baseline play. Mertens is also great when it comes to absorbing pace, so she’s as equipped as anyone to get Sabalenka’s shots back. Also, the faster conditions should make her a little more dangerous than usual when it comes to her offense.
Of course, Sabalenka is 10-2 in this head-to-head series. It has been completely one-sided, and we’ll have to hope that doesn’t mentally torture Mertens. But Mertens has won at least one set in five of their 10 meetings, with one of them being their lone grass-court encounter. She also won a set against Sabalenka in Madrid in April. Those are some of the most favorable conditions Sabalenka can possibly play in.
Bet: Mertens +1.5 Sets (+115 – 1.5 units) & Mertens ML (+350 – 0.5 units)
Added Plays
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova ML (-105 – 1.5 units) vs. Sonay Kartal
Nicolas Jarry ML (+102) vs. Cameron Norrie
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
