Wimbledon predictions and best bets for Day 9 – July 8th:
There’s nothing better than grass-court tennis at the All England Club, so we’re excited about Wimbledon over here at VSiN. For the remainder of the tournament, I’m going to continue providing you with daily tennis best bets. That carries on with the action on Tuesday, July 8th, so keep reading for my Day 9 Wimbledon picks.
I also post more tennis plays on the Pro Picks page. I occasionally add picks throughout the day, as I like to see how odds are moving. So, keep checking that page every couple of hours if you want more of my action. That’s also where you’ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2025 Record: 845-831-1 (+25.33 units)
Karen Khachanov vs. Taylor Fritz
Jordan Thompson had to retire from his match against Fritz last round, snapping a three-match winning streak when going to the Over on 3.5 sets with the American at Wimbledon. However, the play didn’t lose either, and it looks like another good one in the quarterfinals.
Heading into this match, a lot is going to be made of Khachanov’s 2-0 record against Fritz. I’m not going crazy with that one. The two haven’t met since 2020, when Khachanov was a much better player than Fritz. These days, the American is slightly better than the Russian. This is also Fritz’s best surface, as evidenced by his two titles in 2025 — in Stuttgart and Eastbourne. That said, I don’t see as much value as others when looking at Khachanov’s moneyline. This match is priced that way for a reason.
Where the value lies is in this Over, as both of these players have big serves and struggle to put consistent pressure on opponents as returners. That’s why Khachanov got himself into trouble against Shintaro Mochizuki and Nuno Borges, and it’s also why Fritz has been involved in nothing but battles at the All England Club. Fritz is second on the ATP Tour in hold percentage (90.5%) in 2025, and Khachanov’s 80.3% hold percentage is bound to go up. He holds at 82.4% for his career. But the point is, both guys can be trusted to rack up holds, meaning we could see tiebreakers in this match. And any match with multiple tiebreakers, or 7-5 sets, should see both players get on the board in a best-of-five tournament.
Bet: Over 3.5 Sets (-173)
Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz
Alcaraz usually gets the crowd behind him, but that won’t be the case against Norrie in this Wimbledon quarterfinal. Norrie will have Centre Court on his side, and that home-court energy — paired with his comfort on grass — should make things tricky for Alcaraz. The Spaniard’s flair will still draw some admiration, but I’m backing Norrie to grab at least a set, especially at plus-money odds.
Alcaraz hasn’t exactly cruised through his matches in London. He was pushed to five sets by Fabio Fognini, dropped a set to Jan-Lennard Struff and Andrey Rublev, and even Oliver Tarvet made him work harder than expected in Round 2. Alcaraz can sometimes let opponents hang around, which is maybe the biggest difference between him and Jannik Sinner.
Norrie’s relentless competitiveness and recent success against Alcaraz — winning two of their last three meetings and taking a set in three of their last four — means he’ll step onto the court with confidence and a real shot to make this a battle. Keep an eye on the Norrie down-the-line backhand here. If Alcaraz is having an off day from the forehand wing, Norrie’s low, flat backhand rushing the Spaniard won’t help. Norrie just has to have a good day as a server. If he does, we might be in for a surprisingly competitive match.
Bet: Norrie To Win A Set (+109)
Quick Notes – Hedging Futures
This has been a brutal tournament for futures so far, but anybody that tailed will have a chance to monetize some tickets over the next few days. On Tuesday, Amanda Anisimova is a -218 favorite against Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, and we have the American at +550 (risking 0.5 units) to win the quarter. I’m not personally going to hedge here, as Anisimova is 3-0 against Pavlyuchenkova and grass might be the American’s best surface. She really should win. However, if you did tail my futures and you’re tired of getting your teeth kicked in, just take Pavlyuchenkova at +202 and guarantee a profit of either 1.52 or 1.75.
The other one coming up is Novak Djokovic taking on Flavio Cobolli in the quarterfinals on Wednesday. I gave out Djokovic to win his quarter at +140 odds, and I suggested risking 1.5 units on that. So, hedging there isn’t the worst idea in the world, especially with Cobolli being available at +927 odds. But this is another one I’m letting ride. While I have had my share of dips this season, this has still been a good year overall. I’m fine with taking some risks for bigger payouts.
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
