Looking for the best bets for the WTA Finals on Thursday, November 12? We break down the day’s matches, analyzing form, playing styles, and the odds to find our favorite picks for the action at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. Here’s what we’re betting on — and why.
MORE: Check out Gill Alexander’s WTA Finals best bets on our Pro Picks page!
Marta Kostyuk vs. Coco Gauff
Linda Noskova vs. Jessica Pegula
I’m keeping things simple with another two-leg parlay on Thursday, and I’m letting the semifinal scenarios guide me.
Gauff needs a win over Kostyuk to keep her semifinal hopes alive, while the Ukrainian has nothing to play for. Motivation is on the American’s side, and so is the matchup. Gauff leads the head-to-head series 4-2 and presents a ton of problems for Kostyuk with her return game and court coverage.
In the other match, Noskova has already booked her spot in the semifinals, so she doesn’t necessarily need a win. That should be enough for Pegula, who needs a victory to advance, to at least give her a match. I did, however, stop short of taking Pegula on the moneyline because Noskova can sleepwalk her way into the win column when her serve is untouchable. That’s why I’m only playing Pegula to win a set.
I’ll have more on the tactics once we get to the semifinals, but the will to win matters at this stage of the event. That’s what I feel we need to base our handicapping on.
Also, for those keeping track at home, both of our pre-tournament futures picks, Noskova and Andreeva, have already clinched semifinal spots. Let’s hope one of them can actually take this thing home.
PARLAY: Gauff ML & Pegula +1.5 Sets (-115)
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. These plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action. That’s also where I put my Challenger-level plays, as well as picks for lower level ATP and WTA events.
