Broncos coach Sean Payton has gone all-in on refurbished QB Jarrett Stidham, boldly stating, “He’s gonna rip it.”

Those words that will be revisited, for better or worse, after Sunday’s AFC Championship.

But what is the betting market expecting from Bo Nix’s replacement vs. the Patriots?

Here are the Stidham’s props at DraftKings vs. the Opta AI projection:

Passing yards: 197.5 at DK / 189.92 at Opta AI (Under)

Passing attempts: 32.5 / 34.12 (Over)

Passing completions: 19.5 / 20.32 (Over)

Interceptions: 0.5 / 1.69 (Over)

Passing TDs: 0.5 / 1.16 (Over)

👉 Check out all of the Opta AI prop projections for the AFC and NFC games.

It’s still early in the week, but only 27 percent of the handle and 24 percent of the bets are on the Broncos +5.5 at DraftKings. At Circa, where the line is Denver +4.5, 24 percent of the bets are accounting for 54 percent of the handle.

👉 Betting Splits

Zach Cohen has posted his betting preview:

In a vacuum, I personally wouldn’t dock Denver too much for going from Nix to Stidham. I know he’s a competent player, and I really do trust Payton to put together a decent game plan. 

👉 Zach’s analysis and Best Bets.

There was some good injury news for the Broncos on Wednesday as J,K. Dobbins returned to practice for the first time since he injured his foot in November. No word on whether Dobbins will be ready to play Sunday, but he certainly could help, having rushed for 772 yards in 10 games.

We’ll post everything we do on the conference championships on this page.

Quick Hits

NBAZach Cohen‘s Best Bets and Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report will hit around mid-morning on our NBA page. Our Opta AI NBA player props projections are here.

College Basketball: Greg “Hoops” Peterson has picks for today’s college basketball menu. Adam Burke offers his college basketball Best Bets Monday-Saturday. You can find them on our college basketball page mid-morning. Also look for Tyler Shoemaker‘s picks based on his ratings Monday-Thursday.

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NHL: VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis will post his Best Bets around mid-day.

Australian Open: You will be able to get Zach Cohen‘s daily Best Bets here on our special Aussie Open page. Zach and Gill Alexander add their picks to our tennis picks page. Gill usually sends them to me around 3 p.m. Vegas time.

PGA: The American Express has a nice late start (11:30 ET), so you still have time to get Wes Reynolds’ Best Betsand listen to the Long Shots podcast with Wes, Matt Brown and Kelley Bydlon.