Division game. Double-digit dog. Low Total.
We all know what Dave “Dog or Pass” Tuley is going to do with tonight’s Jets-Patriots matchup (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime). Still, here’s his take in case you’re not familiar with his work.
The Jets have strung together two wins after dropping their first seven, while the Patriots have reeled off seven straight. New England opened -10.5 at Circa Sports and has climbed to -13. The total has ticked down from 45 to 43.
VSiN’s Zach Cohen notes that the Jets have exceeded market expections more often than not.
The Jets have also been pretty good to bettors this season. For as bad as New York has been, the team is 5-4 ATS on the year. The Jets are also 5-3 ATS as underdogs, and they’re 2-1 ATS as road underdogs.
👉 Read more from Zach’s Jets-Patriots preview.
And from Steve Makinen’s NFL Week 11 Analytics Report, two trends to keep in mind for Thursday Night Football:
- TNF home teams in Week 9 or later are 45-28 SU and 42-28-3 ATS (60%).
- TNF home favorites of 7+ points are on a 33-3 SU and 21-13-2 ATS (61.8%) run.
👉 More of Steve’s top plays and betting trends.
Steve will file his Best Bets column mid-afternoon.
Josh Appelbaum’s TNF Sharp Report will be posted later this morning.
Want a heads-up when those hit? Turn on VSiN’s push notifications.
More TNF resources
>DK/Circa Betting Splits (certainly Circa bettors favor Jets ATS)
>Opta AI prop projections for the game.
>Fantasy Points WR/CB Matchup Tool
>VSiN Pro subscribers have access to our NFL picks page with plays from hosts and guests.
QB update: With Jaxson Dart in concussion protocol, the Giants will start Jameis Winston vs. the Packers (-7) on Sunday instead of Russell Wilson.
Everything we have on NFL Week 11 will be posted here.
Get the DonBest Pro and College Football Rotation Guide covering games through the Super Bowl.
Time to shine
A Sun Belt matchup is the only game on the card tonight:
Troy (+11) vs. Old Dominion (7:30 ET, ESPN)
Adam Burke weighs in on this one:
Despite the 4-1 record in league play, Troy has been outgained on a per-play basis. Many are probably wondering how teams with an identical record and one that has a better conference record can be a double-digit dog, but that’s how.
From Steve Makinen’s Analytics Report: Troy is No. 3 on his list of underpriced underdogs based on his power ratings. He has Troy at +3.7.
Everything we post on CFB Week 12 will be here.
Today in college basketball
Greg “Hoops” Peterson has seven picks for today’s college basketball menu.
Greg also posts daily handicapped lines and handicaps every game every day during the season on the Coast-to-Coast Hoops podcast.
Adam Burke will offer his college basketball Best Bets Monday-Saturday. You can find them on our college basketball page mid-morning.
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Quick Hits
NBA: We have relaunched the Hardwood Handicappers podcast, hosted by Zach Cohen. He will keep it tight (~20 minutes) and do it Monday-Friday. Look for the YouTube video here and the podcast wherever you get your podcasts. Here is Apple link.
Zach’s Best Bets column and Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report will hit around mid-morning on our NBA page. Our Opta AI NBA player props projections are here.
NHL: VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis will post his Best Bets around mid-day.
