🏀 Final Four countdown
I’m writing this on the plane back to Las Vegas after a quick business trip to Chicago.
Well, it wasn’t all business. I had dinner with my daughter and met her boyfriend for the first time.
I may have scared him a bit with my favorite “Life in Las Vegas” stories.
Was that wrong?
As for the Final Four, DraftKings Sportsbook moved its line Tuesday night from Illinois -2.5 to -1.5, based on strong support behind UConn. Circa and most books in Las Vegas are at Illini -2.
👉 See VSiN’s new and improved betting splits →
Well, it wasn’t all business. I had dinner with my daughter and met her boyfriend for the first time.
I may have scared him a bit with my favorite “Life in Las Vegas” stories.
Was that wrong?
As for the Final Four, DraftKings Sportsbook moved its line Tuesday night from Illinois -2.5 to -1.5, based on strong support behind UConn. Circa and most books in Las Vegas are at Illini -2.
👉 See VSiN’s new and improved betting splits →
⚾ MLB Best Bets
Greg Peterson compares his handicapped lines to the actual lines in search of value — and today he finds it in the first game of the card.
Luis Severino faces off against Chris Sale as the Athletics play in Atlanta (12:15 ET).
Pick: Under 8.5 Runs
Greg’s Handicap: Total 7.8
👉 Greg’s top plays →
Adam Burke, Zach Cohen and Steve Makinen will have their daily MLB contributions later this morning.
👉 Go to our MLB page→
Luis Severino faces off against Chris Sale as the Athletics play in Atlanta (12:15 ET).
Pick: Under 8.5 Runs
Greg’s Handicap: Total 7.8
👉 Greg’s top plays →
Adam Burke, Zach Cohen and Steve Makinen will have their daily MLB contributions later this morning.
👉 Go to our MLB page→
🤖 Free trial: Opta AI MLB player prop projections
Check out the new Opta AI player prop projections for MLB. We’ve added better ways to spot value and to track results.
👉 Explore projections →
🏀 Zach Cohen’s NBA Report
Wednesday’s Big Ones
There’s a massive NBA slate Wednesday, but a lot of it is noise. Luckily, a few games actually matter.
The headliner is Hawks-Magic in a big Southeast Division showdown — and yeah, it’s especially meaningful if you’re riding with me on that Atlanta future. The Hawks are up 2.5 games, and a road win would really stick the knife in Orlando.
Next up: Celtics-Heat in the first game of ESPN’s doubleheader. Miami has been solid all year but still hasn’t convinced anyone it’s a real East contender. A win over Boston would go a long way in changing that.
The nightcap features Spurs-Warriors, but Golden State is still without Stephen Curry — though he did return to scrimmaging Tuesday. Without him, the Warriors will need to play a near-perfect game to beat San Antonio.
👉 Zach’s Best Bets later today →
🎧 Zach’s Hardwood Handicapper podcast →
👉 Explore NBA Opta AI projections (no paywall) →
There’s a massive NBA slate Wednesday, but a lot of it is noise. Luckily, a few games actually matter.
The headliner is Hawks-Magic in a big Southeast Division showdown — and yeah, it’s especially meaningful if you’re riding with me on that Atlanta future. The Hawks are up 2.5 games, and a road win would really stick the knife in Orlando.
Next up: Celtics-Heat in the first game of ESPN’s doubleheader. Miami has been solid all year but still hasn’t convinced anyone it’s a real East contender. A win over Boston would go a long way in changing that.
The nightcap features Spurs-Warriors, but Golden State is still without Stephen Curry — though he did return to scrimmaging Tuesday. Without him, the Warriors will need to play a near-perfect game to beat San Antonio.
👉 Zach’s Best Bets later today →
🎧 Zach’s Hardwood Handicapper podcast →
👉 Explore NBA Opta AI projections (no paywall) →
🏒 NHL: Avalanche trend to know
VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis was kind enough to send me this for the newsletter:
Colorado is laying a big number again Wednesday (-450 vs. Vancouver).
👉 It’s their 13th game this season as a (-300+) favorite (most in NHL)
👉 Also their 4th game at (-400+) — another league high
Dominance in these spots:
👉 9-3 on the Puck Line (-1.5) as (-300+) favorites
👉 3-0 as (-400+) favorites, outscoring opponents 20-5
Fast starts have been the edge:
👉 2+ first-period goals in all three (-400+) games
👉 Scored within the first 5 minutes every time
🎯 Prop angles to consider:
👉 Goal in first 5 minutes
👉 Colorado goal in first 5 minutes
👉 1st period Over 1.5 goals
👉 Colorado 1st period Team Total Over 1.5
👉 JD’s Best Bets later today →
Colorado is laying a big number again Wednesday (-450 vs. Vancouver).
👉 It’s their 13th game this season as a (-300+) favorite (most in NHL)
👉 Also their 4th game at (-400+) — another league high
Dominance in these spots:
👉 9-3 on the Puck Line (-1.5) as (-300+) favorites
👉 3-0 as (-400+) favorites, outscoring opponents 20-5
Fast starts have been the edge:
👉 2+ first-period goals in all three (-400+) games
👉 Scored within the first 5 minutes every time
🎯 Prop angles to consider:
👉 Goal in first 5 minutes
👉 Colorado goal in first 5 minutes
👉 1st period Over 1.5 goals
👉 Colorado 1st period Team Total Over 1.5
👉 JD’s Best Bets later today →
⛳ Valero Texas Open preview
Final tune-up before Augusta — and one last shot at a Masters invite.
Wes Reynolds breaks down this week’s Valero Texas Open, where a mix of contenders and long shots are chasing form — and in some cases, a win-and-you’re-in ticket to the Masters.
👉 Co-favorites include Ludvig Åberg and Tommy Fleetwood, with a deep board behind them
👉 Course fit matters at TPC San Antonio — tight fairways, firm greens and wind often decide it
👉 Expect volatility: recent winners have ranged from -9 to -20 depending on conditions
🎯 Betting focus: targeting players trending with approach + putting, plus long shots who can handle tough scoring setups.
👉 Read Wes’ full picks and analysis →
🎧 Listen to the Long Shots podcast with Wes, Kelley Bydlon and Matt Brown→
Wes Reynolds breaks down this week’s Valero Texas Open, where a mix of contenders and long shots are chasing form — and in some cases, a win-and-you’re-in ticket to the Masters.
👉 Co-favorites include Ludvig Åberg and Tommy Fleetwood, with a deep board behind them
👉 Course fit matters at TPC San Antonio — tight fairways, firm greens and wind often decide it
👉 Expect volatility: recent winners have ranged from -9 to -20 depending on conditions
🎯 Betting focus: targeting players trending with approach + putting, plus long shots who can handle tough scoring setups.
👉 Read Wes’ full picks and analysis →
🎧 Listen to the Long Shots podcast with Wes, Kelley Bydlon and Matt Brown→
