Is tonight’s Rams-Seahawks game the most significant Thursday Night Football matchup since the NFL started scheduling them in 2006?
You definitely could make a case.
The winner will have a clear path to the conference’s No. 1 seed, which gets the only first-round bye in the current 14-team playoff format.
(The Athletic has a tremendous interactive tool to calculate playoff possibilities.)
How important is the top seed? Since the 2020 season when this format was implemented, the No. 1 seed has reached the Super Bowl five times.
In the previous five years under the 12-team, two-bye format, the top seed made it three times.
Here is what else you should know about tonight’s game (8:15 ET, Amazon Prime):
As of Wednesday night, the line was Seattle -1.5 at DraftKings and -2 at Circa. 👉 Betting Splits.
With a chance of rain and gusts up to 40 mph at Lumen Field, the Total has dropped to 45 to 42 at Circa. 👉 Kevin Roth’s forecast.
Rams WR Davonte Adams (knee/hamstring) is listed as doubtful. 👉 Injury Report.
One other tidbit for you: Rams WR Puka Nacua said Tuesday that officials make bad pass interference calls just to get on TV.
I don’t know if refs make bad calls to get on TV, but I do know they don’t love being criticized.
Nacua’s receiving yards prop is at 91.5 at DraftKings. Opta AI projects 112.48 yards. Give me the Under.
Zach Cohen offers his analysis and Best Bets.
Dave Tuley has a betting strategy for TNF.
Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report is in. ChatGPT’s analysis of his data: Rams +1.5 is a Best Bet this week because:
➡️ Rams are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 same-season road rematches.
➡️ Rams are 25-6 ATS in December since 2018.
➡️ Rams 5-0 ATS in last five trips to Seattle
➡️ Rams are underpriced underdog, according to Makinen’s power ratings
Look for Josh Appelbaum‘s TNF Sharp Report mid-morning.
More TNF resources
>Opta AI prop projections for TNF.
>Fantasy Points WR/CB Matchup Tool
>Follow live in-game odds from FanDuel
>VSiN Pro subscribers have access to our NFL picks page with plays from hosts and guests.
Everything we do on Week 16 will be posted here.
Dolphins shakeup: The Dolphins have decided to bench Tua Tagovailoa and start rookie Quinn Ewers vs. the Bengals. The line started the week at Miami -1.5, but the QB switch moved it to Cincinnati -4 at Circa.
Countdown to CFP
We’re just a day away from the College Football Playoff opener.
👉 Buy your VSiN CFP Betting Guide for just $14.99.
To make sure we provide you with the latest opt-outs and lines, we post our individual bowl previews on VSiN.com (72 hours in advance).
Tonight
>Xbox Bowl: Missouri State (-1 from +1.5) vs. Arkansas State, 9 ET (ESPN2)
Friday
>Myrtle Beach Bowl: Kennesaw State (+3) vs. Western Michigan, 11 a.m. ET (ESPN)
>Gasparilla Bowl: Memphis (+4.5) vs. NC State, 2:30 ET (ESPN)
>CFP First Round: Alabama (+1) at Oklahoma, 8 ET (ABC/ESPN)
Saturday
>CFP First Round: Miami (+3) at Texas A&M, Noon ET (ABC/ESPN)
>CFP First Round: Tulane (+17) at Ole Miss (preview coming later today), 3:30 ET (TNT)
>CFP First Round: James Madison (+21) at Oregon, 7:30 ET (TNT)
New this year: The CFP is forcing teams to submit injury reports.
Everything we do during bowl season is posted here.
Others CFB resources
VSiN Pro subscribers have access to the CFB Picks page.
Quick Hits
NBA: Zach Cohen‘s Best Bets and Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report will hit around mid-morning on our NBA page. Our Opta AI NBA player props projections are here.
College Basketball: Greg “Hoops” Peterson has his Best Bets for today’s menu. Adam Burke offers his college basketball Best Bets Monday-Saturday. You can find them on our college basketball page mid-morning.
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NHL: VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis will post his Best Bets around mid-day.
Horse Racing: 1/ST BET’s Jeremy Plonk has picks for today’s menu at the Fair Grounds.
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