It’s a wrap for CFP: Indiana won the national championship, beating Miami 27-21 to complete an undefeated season. The Hoosiers, however, didn’t cover the closing -7.5. And, despite a 10-point first half, the Total went Over the closing 47/47.5. Ohio State and Notre Dame are co-favorites to win the 2027 championship at +650, per FanDuel, to be held in Las Vegas.
Makinen’s NBA Betting Systems based on DraftKings splits
With three football games left over the next few weeks, perhaps you are considering a different sport on which to bet a bob or two.
Steve Makinen has updated his analysis of the VSiN betting splits for the NBA and has a winning system.
And that is this: When you see what most of the bettors are wagering on — based on the DraftKings splits page — bet against them.
Here are the results through 633 games this season (but they sync with his analysis of three years of data):
– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8%
Now, you may not be inclined to bet on every NBA game, so Steve narrows down to 14 systems where the majority of bettors actually do well or where they are particularly bad.
Here is one example from Steve:
DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of the handle (money wagered) was backing the Under. When the majority has favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January 2023.
👉 Read the whole story from Steve.
I should point out that Steve does the homework for you in his daily NBA Analytics Report, pointing out the betting splits systems that match the day’s games. He also offers his other systems and trends for the slate of games. You can find them mid-day on our NBA page.
Zach Cohen also posts daily Best Bets, plus we have our new-ish Opta AI player prop projections.
NFL hiring & firing
The NFL coaching carousel filled two seats — and opened up another.
The Bills fired Sean McDermott, who posted 98-50 record but was 8-8 in the playoffs. Meantime, the Titans are finalizing a deal with 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh and Dolphins hired Packers defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley.
>The Seahawks, 2.5-point favorites vs. the Rams in the NFC Championship, will be without a key player the rest of the way. RB Zach Charbonnet suffered a torn ACL
Everything we do on the conference title games will be posted here.
Quick Hits
College Basketball: Greg “Hoops” Peterson has picks for today’s college basketball menu. Adam Burke offers his college basketball Best Bets Monday-Saturday. You can find them on our college basketball page mid-morning. Also look for Tyler Shoemaker‘s picks based on his ratings Monday-Thursday.
Get real-time steam alerts from the DonBest Screen. Sign up now for a 7-day free trial at go.donbest.com. Use the promo code VSIN10 for 10% off your initial subscription.
NHL: VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis will post his Best Bets around mid-day.
Australian Open: You will be able to get Zach Cohen‘s daily Best Bets here on our special Aussie Open page. Zach and Gill Alexander add their picks to our tennis picks page.
