Every February, I’m reminded of an old gambling joke. You may have heard it:
A guy tells his buddy, “I’ve lost a ton of money betting on football — $20,000 on the NFL and $30,000 on college football.”
His friend asks, “Ever bet on hockey?”
The guy replies, “Are you nuts? I don’t know anything about hockey!”
Now substitute “hockey” with “NASCAR.”
Maybe you don’t know a lot about betting NASCAR — but Steve Makinen does.
Steve has been running NASCAR race simulations for years, and he’s coming off his best season yet: 12 outright winners in 36 races, good for an overall profit of +30.8 units.
With the season-opening Daytona 500 on Sunday, Steve recaps last year’s results, explains the methodology behind his simulations, and shares early Best Bets for the Great American Race.
👉 Read Steve’s Daytona 500 betting preview
Steve has already posted his initial simulation, and he’ll continue updating it after qualifying, Thursday’s Duels, and Saturday’s practice.
👉 Visit the NASCAR Betting Hub (simulations + odds)
PGA Best Bets
Kelley Bydlon is feeling good after cashing on Chris Gotterup at +4000 in Phoenix, so the good vibes are high on the Long Shots podcast this week.
Kelley, Wes Reynolds and Matt Brown run through their models and offer their picks for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Wes also has his weekly writeup with Best Bets.
Quick Hits
College Basketball: Greg “Hoops” Peterson has Best Bets for tonight’s menu. Adam Burke offers his top picks Monday–Saturday, available mid-morning on our college basketball page. You’ll also find Tyler Shoemaker’s plays, based on his men’s and women’s power ratings, and Josh Appelbaum‘s betting splits analysis.
Get real-time steam alerts from the DonBest Screen. Sign up now for a 7-day free trial at go.donbest.com. Use the promo code VSIN10 for 10% off your initial subscription.
NBA: Zach Cohen‘s Best Bets and Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report will hit around mid-morning on our NBA page.
Soccer: Nigel Seely has three plays for today’s EPL slate.
Horse Racing: We have Aqueduct picks from the Daily Racing Form’s Mike Beer.
