As I continue my in-depth look at the college football betting trends and systems behind the entire 2024-25 bowl game schedule, the next subject focuses on trends for each bowl series. Despite the matchups for each bowl series changing every year, there are definitive betting patterns that have formed in each of the games. Naturally, when you have different types of weather environments, specific conference vs. conference matchups, and other traditions in play, there’s always the chance for repeating results. Along with the details of the games, the teams/lines.etc, (as of Wednesday, 12/18), I have listed some trends that have developed and which side or total betting option they favor. The games are listed in date and board order. Enjoy this next part of a series of bowl trend articles I am putting together for VSiN.

Thursday, December 19, 2024

 

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R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Caesars Superdome – New Orleans

(205) GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-4.5/48.5) vs. (206) SAM HOUSTON STATE

* Sun Belt teams are 14-5 ATS in the New Orleans Bowl game dating back to 2005– FAVORS Georgia Southern
* New Orleans Bowl games are 15-4 Over the total since ’05 – FAVORS OVER the total

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Friday, December 20, 2024

StaffDNA Cure Bowl

Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida

(207) OHIO U (-5/56.5) vs. (208) JACKSONVILLE STATE

* Underdogs have pulled outright upsets in five of the last eight Cure Bowl games and are 7-1 ATS – FAVORS Jacksonville State
* Sun Belt teams are just 1-5 ATS in their last six Cure Bowl appearances – FAVORS Ohio U

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, Florida

(209) TULANE vs. (210) FLORIDA (-13/49.5)

* Favorites are 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS in the Gasparilla Bowl series since inception, but UCF did lose last year to Georgia Tech – FAVORS Florida
* Since 2011, nine of the 12 most recent Gasparilla Bowl games went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER the total

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Monday, December 23, 2024

Myrtle Beach Bowl

Brooks Stadium – Conway, South Carolina

(219) COASTAL CAROLINA vs. (220) TX-SAN ANTONIO (-9.5/55.5)

* Favorites have gone 3-1 SU and ATS in the four prior Myrtle Beach Bowl games, but Georgia Southern did lose a year ago – FAVORS TX-San Antonio

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Albertsons Stadium – Boise, Idaho

(221) NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-3/40.5) vs. (222) FRESNO STATE

* MAC TEAMS are just 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in the Potato Bowl series since 2012– FAVORS Fresno State
* Over the total is 13-4 in the last 17 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl games – FAVORS OVER the total
* Outright winners are on a 25-2 ATS surge in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl series

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Tuesday, December 24, 2024

Hawai’i Bowl

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex – Honolulu

(223) SOUTH FLORIDA vs. (224) SAN JOSE STATE (-3/61)

* Underdogs are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six editions of the Hawaii Bowl – FAVORS South Florida SU and ATS
* Bettors have moved the opening line incorrectly in five of the last six Hawaii Bowl games – FAVORS TBD

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Thursday, December 26, 2024

GameAbove Sports Bowl

Ford Field – Detroit

(225) PITTSBURGH (-7/51) vs. (226) TOLEDO

* MAC teams are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 appearances in the originally known Motor City Bowl series – FAVORS Pittsburgh
* Over the total has gone 5-2 in the GameAbove Sports Bowl series since 2016 – FAVORS OVER the total

Rate Bowl

Chase Field – Phoenix

(227) RUTGERS vs. (228) KANSAS STATE (-7/50.5)

* Favorites have swept the last six Rate Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS KANSAS STATE
* Ten of the last 12 Guaranteed Rate Bowl games went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER the total

68 Ventures Bowl

Hancock Whitney Stadium – Mobile, Alabama

(229) ARKANSAS STATE vs. (230) BOWLING GREEN (-7/50.5)

* Sun Belt teams are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 years of this Mobile, AL bowl series formerly known as Lending Tree Bowl – FAVORS Arkansas State
* Favorites have swept the last four 68 Ventures Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS Bowling Green
* The last four 68 Ventures Bowl games went Over the total – FAVORS OVER the total

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Friday, December 27, 2024

Birmingham Bowl

Protective Stadium – Birmingham, Alabama

(231) GEORGIA TECH (-2.5/51.5) vs. (232) VANDERBILT

* Favorites are on a 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS surge in the last 11 years of the Birmingham Bowl – FAVORS GEORGIA TECH

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Amon G. Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas

(233) OKLAHOMA (-5/43.5) vs. (234) NAVY 

* Military teams are on a 5-1 SU and ATS run in the Armed Forces Bowl series since 2016 – FAVORS Navy
* Over the total is 8-2 in the last 10 Armed Forces Bowl games – FAVORS OVER the total

AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium – Memphis, Tennessee

(235) TEXAS TECH vs. (236) ARKANSAS (-2/55)

* Underdogs are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 Liberty Bowl games – FAVORS Texas Tech

DirecTV Holiday Bowl

Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

(237) SYRACUSE (-14/59.5) vs. (238) WASHINGTON STATE

* Underdogs are 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 installments of the Holiday Bowl series – FAVORS Washington State

SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl

Allegiant Stadium – Las Vegas

(239) TEXAS A&M (-3.5/52) vs. (240) USC

* The last 19 Las Vegas Bowl games with totals of 58 or less are 14-5 Under – FAVORS UNDER the total
* The last five Las Vegas Bowl games all went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER the total

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Saturday, December 28, 2024

Wasabi Fenway Bowl

Fenway Park – Boston

(241) CONNECTICUT vs. (242) NORTH CAROLINA (-2/53.5)

* ACC teams won both of the prior Fenway Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS North Carolina
* Both prior Fenway Bowl games went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER the total

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl

Yankee Stadium – Bronx, New York

(243) BOSTON COLLEGE vs. (244) NEBRASKA (-2.5/45.5)

* Big Tem teams are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS vs. ACC teams in the last nine years of the Pinstripe Bowl game – FAVORS Nebraska

Isleta New Mexico Bowl

University Stadium – Albuquerque, New Mexico

(245) LA LAFAYETTE vs. (246) TCU (-13.5/58)

* Underdogs are on a current 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS run in the New Mexico Bowl series, and are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 – FAVORS LA Lafayette

Pop-Tarts Bowl

Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida

(247) IOWA STATE vs. (248) MIAMI (FL) (-3.5/55.5)

* Under the total has converted in 15 of the last 19 games of this Orlando bowl series – FAVORS UNDER the total

* Favorites have swept the last eight Pop Tart Bowl games while going 7-1 ATS – FAVORS Miami FL

Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl

Arizona Stadium – Tucson, Arizona

(249) MIAMI (OH) (-2.5/42.5) vs. (250) COLORADO STATE

* MAC teams are on a 2-1 SU and 2-0-1 ATS run in the Arizona Bowl game series – FAVORS Miami (OH)

Go Bowling Military Bowl

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium – Annapolis, Maryland

(251) EAST CAROLINA vs. (252) NC STATE (-5.5/58.5)

* Favorites are 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS in the first 14 installments of the Military Bowl series – FAVORS NC State
* Bettors have been correct in moving the line in eight straight Military Bowl games – FAVORS NC State
* Eleven of the last 14 Military Bowl games went Over the total – FAVORS OVER the total

Valero Alamo Bowl

Alamodome – San Antonio

(253) BYU vs. (254) COLORADO (-3/54.5)

* Underdogs of +3.5 points or smaller are on an 8-3 ATS run in the Alamo Bowl – FAVORS BYU
* Totals of 57 or less in the Alamo Bowl game are 12-5 Under since inception – FAVORS UNDER the total

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

Independence Stadium – Shreveport, Louisiana

(289) LOUISIANA TECH vs. (290) ARMY (-17/44)

* Favorites own a 13-7 ATS edge in the last 20 Independence Bowl games, including wins in each of the last two years – FAVORS Army

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Monday, December 30, 2024

TransPerfect Music City Bowl

Nissan Stadium – Nashville, Tennessee

(257) IOWA vs. (258) MISSOURI (-3/40.5)

* Outright winner is 22-2-1 ATS in the previous 25 Music City Bowl games
* SEC teams have lost the last four Music City Bowl games outright and ATS – FAVORS Iowa

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Tuesday, December 31, 2024

ReliaQuest Bowl

Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, Florida

(259) ALABAMA (-10.5/43.5) vs. (260) MICHIGAN

* SEC teams have gone 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in the last nine editions of the ReliaQuest Bowl – FAVORS Alabama
* Designated road teams are on a significant 13-2 ATS run in the ReliaQuest Bowl series – FAVORS Alabama

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

Sun Bowl Stadium – El Paso, Texas

(261) LOUISVILLE (-2.5/49.5) vs. (262) WASHINGTON

* The last four Sun Bowl games with competitive lines of -3.5 or fewer went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER the total
* The last six Sun Bowl games with totals of less than 51 went Over the total – FAVORS OVER the total

Cheez-It Citrus Bowl

Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida

(263) SOUTH CAROLINA (-9.5/48) vs. (264) ILLINOIS

* Outright winners are on a 23-0 ATS run in Citrus Bowl games since 2002
* Big Ten teams are just 2-10 SU and ATS in their last 12 Citrus Bowl appearances – FAVORS South Carolina
* Favorites are on 11-3 SU and ATS run in the last 14 Citrus Bowl games, including five straight – FAVORS South Carolina

Kinder’s Texas Bowl

NRG Stadium – Houston, Texas

(265) BAYLOR (-1/59.5) vs. (266) LSU

* Outright winners are 21-1-1 ATS in the history of the Texas Bowl series
* Designated home teams have won the last six Texas Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS LSU

CFP Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

State Farm Stadium – Glendale, Arizona

(267) TBD vs. (268) BOISE STATE

* Outright winners have lost ATS just twice in the last 32 Fiesta Bowl games
* Favorites have gone 6-1 SU and ATS in the last six Fiesta Bowl games – FAVORS TBD

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Wednesday, January 1, 2025

CFP Quarterfinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta

(269) TBD vs. (270) ARIZONA STATE

* Underdogs own a 21-9-1 ATS edge in the Peach Bowl series since 1993 – FAVORS TBD

CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl

Rose Bowl – Pasadena, California

(271) TBD vs. (272) OREGON

* Big Ten teams have gone Over the total in 12 of the last 16 Rose Bowl games – FAVORS OVER the total
* Favorites are on a 14-3 SU and 11-6 ATS run in the last 17 years of Rose Bowl games – FAVORS Oregon likely

CFP Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl

Caesars Superdome – New Orleans

(273) TBD vs. (274) GEORGIA

* Outright winners are 23-1-1 ATS since 2000 in the Sugar Bowl

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Thursday, January 2, 2025

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

EverBank Stadium – Jacksonville, Florida

(275) DUKE vs. (276) OLE MISS (-14.5/52.5)

* Bettors are on a 2-11 slide when moving totals in the last 13 Gator Bowl games – FAVORS TBD (opened at 52.5)
* Favorites are on a run of 23-3 SU and 18-8 ATS in Gator Bowl games – FAVORS Ole Miss
* Designated home teams have won the last 10 Gator Bowl games ATS – FAVORS Ole Miss

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Friday, January 3, 2025

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl

Gerald J. Ford Stadium – Dallas

(277) NORTH TEXAS vs. (278) TEXAS STATE (-10/64.5)

* Favorites are a perfect 11-0 SU in the First Responders Bowl series, going 6-2-3 ATS – FAVORS TEXAS STATE 

Duke’s Mayo Bowl

Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina

(279) MINNESOTA (-6.5/42.5) vs. (280) VIRGINIA TECH

* ACC reps are just 4-11 ATS in the last 15 games of the Duke’s Mayo bowl series, including five straight current losing streak – FAVORS Minnesota

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Saturday, January 4, 2025

Bahamas Bowl

Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium – Nassau, Bahamas

(281) BUFFALO (-1.5/52) vs. (282) LIBERTY

* Bettors are just 1-6-2 ATS in the previous nine games of the Bahamas Bowl series when moving lines – FAVORS Liberty
* Underdogs are on a 3-0 ATS streak in the Bahamas Bowl series – FAVORS Liberty

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Thursday, January 9, 2025

CFP Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl

Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, Florida

(101) TBD vs. (102) TBD

* Underdogs are 14-7 ATS in the Orange Bowl dating back to 2004 but are just 1-3 SU and ATS in the last four – FAVORS TBD

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Friday, January 10, 2025

CFP Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic

AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas

(103) TBD vs. (104) TBD

* Favorites are on runs of 7-2 SU and ATS and 11-4 SU and ATS in the Cotton Bowl series. However, they have lost two straight – FAVORS TBD
* Outright winners are on a 21-0-1 ATS run in the last 22 Cotton Bowl games

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Monday, January 20, 2025

CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T

Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta

(107) TBD vs. (108) TBD

* Favorites have swept the last five National Championship games both SU and ATS – FAVORS TBD
* Bettors are on a 0-11-2 swoon when moving totals in the National Championship game – FAVORS TBD

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