WNBA Betting Systems for the 2025 Season:

Typically, the number 13 has been associated with bad luck. Perhaps that could turn, starting now, as I unveil 13 lucky betting systems that could help you navigate to profits in this WNBA season. The systems stem from a variety of factors, including line ranges, last game performance, team strength statistics and more. As you take in this piece, understand that I have never studied this subject before for WNBA betting, so what I’m revealing is not only new to you but to me as well. With the Caitlin Clark renaissance and exponential growth of WNBA betting going on, it was time.

 

For the record, the data I used for this study covered games since the start of the 2021 season, running all the way up through Monday, May 19. The sample contained 983 games, an amount easily conducive to finding foundational advantages. I hope you enjoy this fresh material, and I hope it helps you to big profits over the next few months.

WNBA Betting System #1
Huge favorites are a betting disaster
Since the start of the 2021 season, huge favorites of 12 points or more are 105-13 SU but just 44-74 ATS (37.3%).

WNBA Betting System #2
Mid-level road favorites have been very reliable
Rather than backing huge favorites, perhaps opt for mid-level road favorites of -3 to -6.5 points, as they are on a 78-25 SU and 62-41 ATS (60.2%) run since July 2022.

WNBA Betting System #3
Road favorites shake off upset losses quickly
Over the last 4+ seasons, there have been 32 occasions when a team played as a road favorite for a second straight game after being upset in the prior game. Those teams have boasted an impressive 27-5 SU and 22-9-1 ATS (71%) record in the follow-up games.

WNBA Betting System #4
Close losses have been great motivation for home chalk recently
Since the beginning of the 2022 season, teams playing as home favorites after coming off a close loss (eight points or fewer) have gone 77-15 SU and 56-33-3 ATS (62.9%).

WNBA Betting System #5
Teams on winning streaks are not good underdogs
Surprisingly, WNBA teams riding winning streaks of three or more games have not been good underdogs, as they are just 20-51 SU and 26-44-1 ATS (37.1%) in their last 71 tries in that role.

WNBA Betting System #6
Teams coming off good defensive efforts are good underdogs
Teams coming off a game in which they allowed 68 points or fewer and are set up as underdogs have gone 35-58 SU but 55-36-2 ATS (60.4%) over the last 4+ seasons.

WNBA Betting System #7
Weren’t hitting on 3-point shots last game? No problem, Part 1
Teams playing on the road and coming off a game in which they made four 3-point shots or fewer boast a record of 59-67 SU but 76-49-1 ATS (60.8%) since 2021.

WNBA Betting System #8
Weren’t hitting on 3-point shots last game? No problem, Part 2
Teams playing a second straight home game and coming off a game in which they made four 3-point shots or fewer are 36-22 SU and 38-20 ATS (65.5%) since 2021.

WNBA Betting System #9
Home teams rally from overtime losses
Losing in overtime would figure to be a drain on a WNBA team mentally, however, hosts in this situation are on a run of 14-9 SU and 17-6 ATS (73.9%) as we play into the 2025 season. Incidentally,  those games are also on an 18-5 Under the total (78.3%) surge as fatigue may play a factor.

WNBA Betting System #10
Road teams with big scoring deficits are surprisingly good bets
We saw in #1 above that huge favorites haven’t made for good wagers in the WNBA recently. Well, similarly, road teams scoring 10+ points per game fewer than their host counterparts are on an 11-38 SU but 33-16 ATS (67.3%) run since 2021.

WNBA Betting System #11
Explosive home teams are not reliable favorites
This is a similar foundational angle as #10 above, but home teams averaging more than 86.5 PPG in the WNBA have struggled when laying 5.5 points or more, going 97-29 SU but just 50-76 ATS (39.7%) over the last 4+ seasons.

WNBA Betting System #12
Well-rested big underdogs can be trusted
There are times throughout a WNBA season when teams get nearly a week of rest between games. When underdogs of seven points or more have been on 6+ days rest, they have thrived, going 21-10 ATS (67.7%) in their last 31 tries. 

WNBA Betting System #13
Significantly shorter rest has been a benefit for road teams
It seems that too much rest for home teams is a detriment against shorter-rested road opponents, as those visitors playing on 3+ days fewer rest have actually gone 27-26 SU and 34-17-2 ATS (66.7%) since 2021. Unbalanced schedules like this happen far more frequently in the WNBA than in other leagues.

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Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.