WNBA Picks
With only two days of action left before the WNBA All-Star break, I’d say I’m optimistic about where TSI projections are currently, especially after a completely disastrous start to the season. We’ve got two games on tap for Tuesday and a handful coming tomorrow, so there’s still some opportunity to make some money before the All-Star events, which I don’t anticipate having any action on, but who knows.
Here are today’s projections from the T Shoe Index:
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics (-1.5), O/U 164.5
Man, this is a game I wish I could’ve published an article more quickly on, because LA opened as a 4.5-point favorite (not sure how), but that has been hammered 6 points the other way, as Washington is (rightfully, per TSI) favored now. The total has remained at 164.5. TSI projects Washington -9 with a total of 162.5. So, I guess you could say TSI is low on LA, especially at home. I think we’ve faded them at home two or three straight games, and it’s worked out pretty well, as their home rating is a whopping 9 points worse than their away rating. It’s mind-blowing, yet a profitable strategy, as they’re just 1-9 ATS at home! I generally don’t give out bets in alignment with huge steam like this, but there’s still so much value here according to the projections that I’m going to do it.
WNBA Pick: Washington Mystics -1.5 (Play to -3)
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever (-15.5), O/U 167
Another sizable line move in this game, as Indiana opened just 12.5 point favorites but have been steamed out to -15.5, while the total has jumped up from 164.5 to 167. Indiana has been very inconsistent this season, but appear to be turning a corner in their last couple of games, maybe? It could just be Caitlin Clark getting healthier, although her shooting numbers are atrocious right now, but her impact on the game and the defensive scheme cannot be overstated. TSI projects Fever -15 with a total of 163.5, but given the way they’ve lit it up the last couple of games (game totals averaging 183), it’s hard for me to get all the way to an official Under, but that would be the lean based on the projections. I’m just going to pass.
WNBA Pick: Pass
For all of my WNBA picks, including prop bets and live plays, be sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex and turn your notifications on to get real-time updates from me on all things WNBA.
