College basketball best bets and projections
Football season is officially over, as the Chiefs’ dynasty continued its reign Sunday night in an overtime win against the 49ers, so now all focus is on college hoops as we ramp up towards March Madness. Despite some good trolling on X this weekend, our men’s and women’s plays turned a profit and brought us to 125-85 on women’s plays and 74-65 on men’s. Not too shabby. Monday is a pretty small slate, so just two bets from me on the men’s side today and we’ll see if there are any plays of value on the women’s side as the lines trickle out, so follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, for those.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, February 11th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Alabama A&M | Grambling | -10.7 | 138.0 |
| Alabama State | Southern | -4.3 | 136.1 |
| Alcorn State | Mississippi Valley State | 11.7 | 139.0 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Jackson State | 3.8 | 156.2 |
| Bethune-Cookman | Texas Southern | 0.4 | 139.0 |
| Bucknell | Lehigh | 6.3 | 143.8 |
| Duke | Wake Forest | 1.7 | 154.5 |
| Elon | Towson | -18.4 | 139.5 |
| Florida A&M | Prairie View | 1.7 | 146.9 |
| Houston Christian | McNeese State | -22.7 | 144.9 |
| Incarnate Word | Lamar | -5.3 | 152.7 |
| Kansas | Texas Tech | 2.7 | 153.3 |
| New Orleans | Northwestern State | -6.4 | 148.8 |
| Nicholls State | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | -4.5 | 144.1 |
| Southeastern Louisiana | Texas A&M-Commerce | 7.1 | 135.9 |
| TCU | West Virginia | 11.3 | 153.7 |
Bets:
Wake Forest +7.5
Southeastern Louisiana -1
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Alabama A&M | Grambling | -9.6 | 134.2 |
| Alabama State | Southern | -19.0 | 119.0 |
| Alcorn State | Mississippi Valley State | 1.4 | 122.0 |
| Arizona | Southern California | -14.0 | 134.1 |
| Arkansas | Tennessee | -11.1 | 144.8 |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Jackson State | 4.5 | 139.7 |
| Bethune-Cookman | Texas Southern | 16.2 | 126.9 |
| Florida A&M | Prairie View | 6.7 | 130.0 |
