College basketball best bets and projections

There’s no way around it, Sunday was an absolute bloodbath for me. Shockingly, most of the violence occurred on the women’s side, as I went just 1-6 for my worst day of the season. Men’s bets split, 1-1, after a solid 4-2 Saturday. Pretty small slates on both men’s and women’s hoops today, so volume will be low as I lick my wounds from yesterday, but be sure to follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, to get my women’s bets as I make them.

Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.

 

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These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on. 

As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors. 

Here are the TSI projections for today, February 19th:

How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.

Men’s

TeamTeamTSITSI O/U
Alabama A&MArkansas-Pine Bluff2.7157.1
Alabama StateMississippi Valley State20.2128.7
Alcorn StateFlorida A&M7.3146.6
Bethune-CookmanJackson State-4.0147.0
ColgateLafayette6.8134.7
College of CharlestonWilliam & Mary17.1152.2
Coppin StateMaryland-Eastern Shore-7.6128.3
Delaware StateMorgan State6.3146.9
GramblingPrairie View-1.3135.8
HoustonIowa State6.0136.1
HowardSouth Carolina State7.8153.2
Incarnate WordTexas A&M-Commerce3.5144.1
Kansas StateTexas-7.9144.6
LamarSoutheastern Louisiana0.4147.5
New OrleansNicholls State-4.7151.0
Norfolk StateNorth Carolina Central9.9137.9
Northwestern StateTexas A&M-Corpus Christi-12.6140.0
SouthernTexas Southern0.8138.2
VirginiaVirginia Tech-1.3133.4

Bet:

Houston/Iowa State Over 127.5

Women’s

TeamTeamTSITSI O/U
Alabama A&MArkansas-Pine Bluff-7.1136.1
Alabama StateMississippi Valley State1.8125.9
Alcorn StateFlorida A&M1.6120.6
Bethune-CookmanJackson State-18.9127.3
ConnecticutCreighton16.3144.0
Coppin StateMaryland-Eastern Shore-5.8115.3
Delaware StateMorgan State-4.1126.6
DukeNotre Dame1.2135.0
GramblingPrairie View9.7135.8
HowardSouth Carolina State20.2115.1
IllinoisIndiana-8.3141.1
Louisiana StateTexas A&M13.0141.4
Norfolk StateNorth Carolina Central22.7134.3
SouthernTexas Southern12.7122.0
TempleTulane8.5134.3