HomeCollege BasketballCollege Basketball Best Bets and Projections for 2/21 from the T Shoe...

    College Basketball Best Bets and Projections for 2/21 from the T Shoe Index

    Tyler Shoemaker's T Shoe Index college basketball best bets and projections for February 21.


    College basketball best bets and projections

    Tuesday was a wash, with the UConn over cashing and the Fordham over falling quite a bit short. We had no women’s plays yesterday due to the small slate and nothing meeting my best bet criteria, so we live on to bet another day. Today’s slate is pretty satisfying on both the men’s and women’s sides, with nearly 50 games each. I’ve got a 3-pack of men’s bets and what I hope to be a solid volume day in women’s hoops as well, so be sure to follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, to get those women’s plays as I make them.

    Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.


    These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on. 

    As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors. 

    Here are the TSI projections for today, February 21st:

    How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.


    TeamTeamTSITSI O/U
    Air ForceNevada-Las Vegas-7.7140.1
    AmericanBoston University5.2131.8
    BradleyMissouri State3.5145.5
    BucknellHoly Cross4.9136.9
    Charleston SouthernSouth Carolina Upstate-6.4140.9
    CincinnatiOklahoma State11.7143.3
    ClemsonGeorgia Tech8.1147.4
    Coastal CarolinaGeorgia State-7.9152.6
    Colorado StateNew Mexico-3.2154.7
    DaytonGeorge Mason0.9140.8
    DukeMiami (FL)4.5151.9
    East Tennessee StateVirginia Military Institute12.9145.1
    George WashingtonSaint Joseph’s-9.2156.9
    GeorgetownSt. John’s (NY)-8.5148.8
    IllinoisPenn State8.8157.8
    Illinois StateNorthern Iowa-0.1137.1
    Indiana StateValparaiso16.8151.9
    Jacksonville StateMiddle Tennessee8.3129.7
    James MadisonMarshall12.2153.6
    KentuckyLouisiana State5.4166.7
    La SalleSt. Bonaventure-5.3148.6
    LongwoodUNC Asheville3.4147.4
    LouisvilleNotre Dame0.3139.6
    Loyola (MD)Navy-0.8134.0
    MercerThe Citadel2.2135.9
    MississippiMississippi State-5.7143.8
    Murray StateSouthern Illinois-6.0139.0
    Rhode IslandRichmond-3.8146.2
    South FloridaUTSA10.0157.0
    TulsaWichita State-2.4145.8
    UNC GreensboroWestern Carolina5.3143.9


    James Madison -6.5

    Army/Lehigh Over 129.5

    Air Force/UNLV Over 133.5


    TeamTeamTSITSI O/U
    Air ForceSan Diego State-7.0133.5
    AkronBowling Green State-4.5132.9
    AmericanBoston University-7.9128.8
    Arkansas StateTroy-0.2151.7
    Ball StateCentral Michigan21.8132.8
    Boise StateNew Mexico3.9120.7
    Brigham YoungTCU2.6133.4
    BucknellHoly Cross1.2112.2
    BuffaloNorthern Illinois5.0129.6
    Central FloridaOklahoma State-5.0130.9
    Charleston SouthernSouth Carolina Upstate2.1125.8
    CharlotteNorth Texas-8.5133.5
    Cleveland StateIUPUI19.7142.1
    DuquesneGeorge Washington7.0127.3
    East CarolinaSouth Florida5.6119.9
    Eastern MichiganWestern Michigan-11.3122.3
    FordhamSaint Louis3.3139.3
    Fresno StateNevada3.7130.3
    George MasonSt. Bonaventure20.9126.5
    HoustonIowa State-4.3144.4
    Jacksonville StateMiddle Tennessee-30.3120.1
    Kansas StateWest Virginia-2.1129.5
    Kent StateOhio16.8135.5
    La SalleRichmond-33.3134.6
    LongwoodUNC Asheville-3.7125.7
    LouisianaSouth Alabama4.5117.8
    Loyola (IL)Massachusetts14.9131.0
    Loyola (MD)Navy3.8126.5
    MarshallTexas State9.5144.9
    Maryland-Eastern ShoreMorgan State8.7120.3
    Miami (OH)Toledo-18.2119.9
    Michigan StatePurdue11.6146.9
    Nevada-Las VegasWyoming11.1133.0
    Northern KentuckyPurdue Fort Wayne-1.7139.4
    Robert MorrisWright State-14.4130.2
    Saint Joseph’sVirginia Commonwealth3.8113.3
    San Jose StateUtah State7.4127.3
    Southern UtahUT Arlington-4.5144.9
    TexasTexas Tech27.9131.0
    Tyler Shoemaker
    Tyler Shoemaker
    Tyler Shoemaker is the creator of the T Shoe Index, his proprietary ratings and projections system he incorporates into his writing and analysis at VSiN, Cleveland.com and SaturdayGlory.com. He's been with VSiN since the start of the 2023 college football season and covers college football, NFL, men's and women's college basketball, and the WNBA.

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