College basketball best bets and projections
Something about betting sweep the night before just makes the following day so much better immediately, no matter how many or few bets you actually placed. In our case, a 2-0 Wednesday was just what the doctor ordered. I had hoped to get involved on the women’s side of things but due to personal life obligations, I was not able to do so. There is a juicy slate today, so I’m expecting to be involved with some women’s basketball today, as well as two more men’s bets in the chamber.
Follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, for today’s top women’s bets.
Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.
These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on.
As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors.
Here are the TSI projections for today, February 29th:
How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.
Men’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Abilene Christian | Southern Utah | -1.4 | 150.2 |
| Albany (NY) | New Hampshire | 2.0 | 154.6 |
| Binghamton | Maine | -0.3 | 136.4 |
| Bryant | Massachusetts-Lowell | -6.7 | 152.7 |
| Cal Poly | UC Santa Barbara | -15.2 | 139.2 |
| Cal State Bakersfield | UC San Diego | -4.2 | 143.6 |
| Cal State Fullerton | Long Beach State | -6.4 | 147.8 |
| Cal State Northridge | UC Irvine | -6.5 | 149.0 |
| California Baptist | Stephen F. Austin | -0.6 | 140.0 |
| Campbell | College of Charleston | -15.6 | 152.1 |
| Central Connecticut State | Long Island University | 13.6 | 143.9 |
| Delaware | Northeastern | 7.6 | 142.3 |
| Denver | Kansas City | 1.9 | 153.5 |
| Drexel | Stony Brook | 10.5 | 142.6 |
| East Carolina | Memphis | -2.6 | 146.0 |
| Eastern Illinois | Western Illinois | -6.4 | 133.5 |
| Eastern Washington | Montana | 2.7 | 153.7 |
| Elon | William & Mary | 3.4 | 143.1 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Merrimack | -5.5 | 146.7 |
| Gardner-Webb | Longwood | -0.9 | 145.7 |
| Gonzaga | San Francisco | 1.7 | 154.0 |
| Grand Canyon | Texas-Rio Grande Valley | 23.0 | 151.6 |
| Hampton | Monmouth | -4.1 | 149.2 |
| Hawaii | UC Davis | 0.0 | 141.7 |
| Hofstra | UNC Wilmington | -3.2 | 149.1 |
| Idaho | Montana State | 0.4 | 141.9 |
| Idaho State | Northern Arizona | 7.2 | 142.0 |
| Jacksonville State | UTEP | 2.6 | 135.9 |
| Le Moyne | Wagner | 2.0 | 135.0 |
| Liberty | New Mexico State | 14.3 | 138.8 |
| Lindenwood | Southern Indiana | -9.0 | 142.0 |
| Little Rock | Tennessee State | 2.8 | 149.1 |
| Loyola Marymount | San Diego | 6.0 | 145.5 |
| Maryland-Baltimore County | NJIT | 1.7 | 150.9 |
| Michigan | Rutgers | -5.3 | 141.4 |
| Morehead State | Southeast Missouri State | 20.4 | 140.5 |
| Nebraska | Ohio State | -0.6 | 145.5 |
| North Carolina A&T | Towson | -11.5 | 134.2 |
| North Dakota | South Dakota State | -3.2 | 149.5 |
| North Dakota State | South Dakota | -0.6 | 153.2 |
| Northern Colorado | Weber State | -6.8 | 152.0 |
| Omaha | St. Thomas | -7.6 | 140.5 |
| Pepperdine | Saint Mary’s (CA) | -13.3 | 143.8 |
| Portland | Santa Clara | -12.9 | 148.5 |
| Sacred Heart | Stonehill | 6.4 | 144.2 |
| Seattle | UT Arlington | 8.4 | 147.3 |
| Southern California | Washington State | -9.9 | 144.4 |
| Stanford | Utah | -7.6 | 152.0 |
| Tarleton State | Utah Tech | 6.2 | 145.0 |
| Tennessee Tech | Tennessee-Martin | -11.7 | 150.8 |
| UCLA | Washington | -5.9 | 143.6 |
Bets:
Tennessee State +8.5
Bryant/U Mass Lowell Under 161
Women’s
| Team | Team | TSI | TSI O/U |
| Abilene Christian | Southern Utah | 10.0 | 140.0 |
| Alabama | Florida | 10.8 | 138.6 |
| Albany (NY) | New Hampshire | 8.5 | 117.0 |
| Arizona | Southern California | -2.9 | 134.7 |
| Arizona State | UCLA | -22.0 | 136.3 |
| Arkansas | South Carolina | -24.5 | 138.3 |
| Auburn | Mississippi State | 7.4 | 130.1 |
| Austin Peay | Eastern Kentucky | -3.6 | 124.2 |
| Bellarmine | Lipscomb | -9.4 | 136.9 |
| Binghamton | Maine | -11.1 | 127.8 |
| Boston College | North Carolina | -3.2 | 134.9 |
| Bradley | Missouri State | -24.7 | 127.9 |
| Bryant | Massachusetts-Lowell | 14.8 | 125.6 |
| Cal Poly | UC Santa Barbara | 2.0 | 127.7 |
| Cal State Bakersfield | UC San Diego | -6.4 | 123.0 |
| Cal State Fullerton | Long Beach State | -1.1 | 133.6 |
| Cal State Northridge | UC Irvine | -25.1 | 123.0 |
| California | Oregon | 1.0 | 128.2 |
| California Baptist | Stephen F. Austin | 0.9 | 147.9 |
| Canisius | Iona | 7.2 | 123.6 |
| Central Connecticut State | Long Island University | -1.2 | 130.4 |
| Chattanooga | Furman | 3.6 | 126.7 |
| Clemson | Wake Forest | -1.1 | 130.3 |
| Colorado | Washington | 12.6 | 129.8 |
| Denver | Kansas City | -5.7 | 125.5 |
| Detroit Mercy | IUPUI | 7.1 | 130.3 |
| Drake | Illinois-Chicago | 12.6 | 138.3 |
| Duke | Virginia | 11.3 | 133.2 |
| East Tennessee State | Wofford | 0.9 | 122.0 |
| Eastern Illinois | Western Illinois | -0.8 | 137.3 |
| Eastern Washington | Montana | 1.5 | 133.6 |
| Fairfield | Quinnipiac | 23.2 | 132.1 |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Merrimack | -3.0 | 124.1 |
| Florida Gulf Coast | North Florida | 34.0 | 131.6 |
| Florida State | Louisville | -4.4 | 146.6 |
| Georgia | Louisiana State | -20.6 | 140.7 |
| Grand Canyon | Texas-Rio Grande Valley | 17.7 | 121.6 |
| Houston Christian | McNeese State | 1.0 | 132.1 |
| Idaho | Montana State | -4.6 | 115.1 |
| Idaho State | Northern Arizona | -6.7 | 136.9 |
| Illinois | Michigan State | -9.9 | 143.9 |
| Illinois State | Southern Illinois | 8.6 | 133.1 |
| Incarnate Word | Southeastern Louisiana | 1.4 | 118.4 |
| Jacksonville | Stetson | -4.3 | 124.9 |
| Jacksonville State | UTEP | -5.2 | 130.7 |
| Kentucky | Mississippi | -9.5 | 131.0 |
| Lamar | Texas A&M-Commerce | 12.7 | 137.2 |
| Le Moyne | Wagner | 14.0 | 124.2 |
| Liberty | New Mexico State | 5.2 | 125.2 |
| Lindenwood | Southern Indiana | -19.7 | 135.8 |
| Little Rock | Tennessee State | 3.1 | 119.6 |
| Loyola Marymount | Santa Clara | -16.4 | 126.4 |
| Manhattan | Mount St. Mary’s | -5.0 | 115.6 |
| Marist | Siena | -17.9 | 133.2 |
| Maryland | Wisconsin | 15.3 | 134.7 |
| Maryland-Baltimore County | NJIT | 5.7 | 125.5 |
| Miami (FL) | Pittsburgh | 14.4 | 125.2 |
| Missouri | Vanderbilt | -3.1 | 132.8 |
| Morehead State | Southeast Missouri State | 9.2 | 126.0 |
| NC State | Syracuse | 9.8 | 136.5 |
| New Orleans | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | -9.9 | 127.5 |
| Niagara | Rider | 15.2 | 135.7 |
| Nicholls State | Northwestern State | -2.6 | 122.0 |
| North Dakota | South Dakota State | -28.2 | 134.2 |
| North Dakota State | South Dakota | 8.1 | 135.4 |
| Northern Colorado | Weber State | 16.1 | 124.6 |
| Northern Iowa | Valparaiso | 21.7 | 133.7 |
| Notre Dame | Virginia Tech | 3.0 | 138.0 |
| Oakland | Wright State | 0.8 | 143.4 |
| Omaha | St. Thomas | 2.0 | 147.0 |
| Oregon State | Stanford | -4.5 | 135.1 |
| Pacific | San Diego | 7.5 | 136.9 |
| Sacred Heart | Stonehill | 25.5 | 126.9 |
| Saint Mary’s (CA) | San Francisco | -1.4 | 127.5 |
| Seattle | UT Arlington | -14.1 | 141.0 |
| Tarleton State | Utah Tech | -4.9 | 131.5 |
| Tennessee | Texas A&M | 6.6 | 132.2 |
| Tennessee Tech | Tennessee-Martin | -0.2 | 129.1 |
| Utah | Washington State | 8.8 | 135.1 |
