College basketball best bets and projections

Conference tournaments are beginning to get underway and it is officially the best time of year for college basketball. Something about betting higher-stakes games always feels more exhilarating, too, or maybe that’s just me. Nonetheless, VSiN has you covered with full conference tournament previews from a betting perspective, and I’ll have you covered with projections on every game as well.

Follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, for today’s top women’s bets.

 

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Compare my odds to the college basketball odds (Vegas odds) and also take a look at the college basketball betting splits for additional info.

These “College Basketball Best Bets and Projections” pieces will be occurring Monday-Thursday on VSiN.com, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on. 

As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors. 

Here are the TSI projections for today, March 5th:

How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin.

Men’s

TeamTeamTSITSI O/U
Air ForceWyoming-5.9141.3
AkronEastern Michigan13.8136.9
AlabamaFlorida4.7170.0
Albany (NY)Bryant-1.8158.1
ArmyHoly Cross5.8134.8
AuburnMissouri14.6147.9
Austin PeayNorth Florida6.6145.3
Ball StateKent State-3.5144.2
BinghamtonMaryland-Baltimore County-4.9154.2
Boise StateNevada4.8146.6
Bowling Green StateWestern Michigan-2.7143.5
BuffaloOhio-11.0149.0
Central MichiganNorthern Illinois1.0141.3
CincinnatiOklahoma-3.6143.5
ClemsonSyracuse7.8150.8
Coastal CarolinaLouisiana-Monroe3.0144.8
DartmouthHarvard-7.1137.0
DaytonSaint Louis9.5149.8
DePaulSt. John’s (NY)-18.6145.8
Detroit MercyMilwaukee-13.6150.1
DuquesneVirginia Commonwealth-5.7139.3
Eastern KentuckyJacksonville7.6143.9
Florida StatePittsburgh-9.0147.3
GeorgetownProvidence-6.4146.3
GeorgiaMississippi1.7147.0
Georgia TechWake Forest-12.4148.6
IllinoisPurdue1.1161.9
IUPUICleveland State-20.5143.5
KansasKansas State7.7145.3
LibertyMiddle Tennessee3.1139.5
LipscombNorth Alabama10.4154.1
LouisvilleVirginia Tech-9.2150.1
Loyola (MD)Navy-7.3138.7
Massachusetts-LowellMaine1.9142.2
Miami (OH)Toledo1.3148.6
Nevada-Las VegasSan Diego State-1.0142.3
New HampshireVermont-12.3141.7
North CarolinaNotre Dame11.9142.2
Oklahoma StateTexas Tech-1.4147.1
Old DominionTexas State-1.9137.4
Purdue Fort WayneRobert Morris14.3148.9
Queens (NC)Stetson-4.3153.9
South FloridaTulane10.2155.1

Bets:

Western Michigan +1.5

Coastal Carolina +2

Women’s

TeamTeamTSITSI O/U
Boise StateColorado State-4.2126.8
CharlotteEast Carolina2.1127.2
Coastal CarolinaSouth Alabama7.7132.7
DartmouthHarvard-23.7119.4
Detroit MercyRobert Morris12.2118.8
Fresno StateNew Mexico-1.5127.0
Georgia SouthernTexas State1.2133.0
IUPUIYoungstown State-9.8129.1
MemphisNorth Texas-8.8137.7
NevadaSan Jose State10.2126.9
Nevada-Las VegasUtah State35.2141.5
Northern KentuckyOakland1.6144.1
RiceUTSA0.2127.9
San Diego StateWyoming0.3127.3
South FloridaSouthern Methodist-1.1129.9
Southern MethodistSouth Florida1.1129.9
TulaneTulsa-4.7133.1
UABWichita State6.5140.1