College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Saturday, February 15.
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12:00 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh vs. Miami
Miami ranks 359th in the nation in points per possession allowed in road and neutral court games, while Pittsburgh has been one of the best teams in the nation at executing the little things, ranking 11th in free throw shooting percentage and 25th in fewest turnovers per possession on offense.
Pick: Pittsburgh -12.5 (Greg’s Handicap Pittsburgh -17.5)
St. Bonaventure vs. Massachusetts
Massachusetts continues to be one of the worst shooting teams in the nation, ranking 260th in points per possession and 353rd in 3-point shooting percentage, while St. Bonaventure is 47th in points per possession allowed away from home and is allowing teams to rebound only 24.1% of their missed shots, which ranks 33rd in the nation.
Pick: St. Bonaventure +1 (Greg’s Handicap St. Bonaventure -4.5)
UNC Greensboro vs. Furman
UNC Greensboro has been great on both ends of the floor along the perimeter, ranking 56th in 3-point shooting percentage on offense and 13th in opponents’ 3-point shooting on defense in games played away from home. Furman is allowing teams to shoot 36% from 3-point range in SOCON play and, in a tight game, has the free throw shooting disadvantage, with their 68.2% free throw shooting ranking 301st in the country, while UNC Greensboro is 133rd in this department.
Pick: UNC Greensboro +2.5 (Greg’s Handicap UNC Greensboro -2)
Clemson vs. Florida State
Florida State ranks 32nd in the nation in turnovers forced per possession at home this season and will look to force Clemson to the inside, with the Tigers ranking 13th in 3-point shooting percentage but 206th in 2-point shooting percentage when away from home.
Pick: Florida State +3.5 (Greg’s Handicap Florida State +1.5)
St. Joseph’s vs. George Mason
George Mason is fifth in the nation in points per possession allowed, while ranking 314th in turnovers per possession on offense. Both teams rank 124th or worse in points per possession on offense, with St. Joseph’s being 41st in points per possession allowed.
Pick: St. Joseph’s vs. George Mason Under 134 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 128.5)
2:00 PM Eastern
Coastal Carolina vs. James Madison
Coastal Carolina should exploit a James Madison defense that ranks 277th in the nation in points per possession allowed away from home. Both teams will have plenty of clean possessions, as each is outside the top 280 in turnovers forced per possession on defense, with James Madison ranking 331st in opponent 3-point shooting percentage away from home at 38%.
Pick: Coastal Carolina +10.5 (Greg’s Handicap Coastal Carolina +5.5)
Georgetown vs. Butler
Georgetown ranks 17th in the country in points per possession allowed, while Butler is 250th in the percentage of missed shots that result in an offensive rebound and 268th in total possessions per game. Georgetown is 228th in possessions per game and 321st in 3-point shooting, which leads to their offense ranking 238th in points scored per possession.
Pick: Georgetown vs. Butler Under 141.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 135.5)
Houston vs. Arizona
Houston leads the country in fewest points per possession allowed on defense, while Arizona is 276th in 3-point shooting percentage at 31.8%, compared to Houston, which is sixth, making 39.4% of their 3-point shots.
Pick: Houston -1.5 (Greg’s Handicap Houston -5.5)
Penn State vs. Washington
Washington allows teams to shoot just 28.9% from 3-point range at home, but ranks 348th in road opponent 3-point shooting percentage away from home at 38.9%, while Penn State is 30th in the country in turnovers forced per possession at home.
Pick: Penn State -5.5 (Greg’s Handicap Penn State -9.5)
Vermont vs. Maine
Maine ranks 29th in the country in points per possession allowed at home and faces a Vermont offense that is 334th in points per possession away from home. Vermont’s 3-point shooting defense is completely different away from home, allowing teams to make 26.6% of their 3-point shots at home compared to 36.9% in road or neutral court venues.
Pick: Maine -2.5 (Greg’s Handicap Vermont -6)
3:00 PM Eastern
Southern Indiana vs. Lindenwood
Lindenwood ranks 351st in points per possession and 291st in rebound percentage, with a 3-point shooting percentage that ranks 359th. This masks Southern Indiana’s weakness of ranking 352nd in opponent 3-point shooting percentage.
Pick: Southern Indiana +2 (Greg’s Handicap Southern Indiana -1.5)
3:30 PM Eastern
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State
Sam Houston State ranks 11th in the country in home 3-point shooting percentage at 40.9%, while Kennesaw State’s 28.8% 3-point shooting ranks 352nd in the country. Additionally, Kennesaw State ranks 322nd in the percentage of turnovers that result in a turnover.
Pick: Sam Houston State -1 (Greg’s Handicap Sam Houston State -6)
4:00 PM Eastern
Auburn vs. Alabama
While Alabama ranks 107th overall in points per possession allowed on defense, that ranking improves to 50th at home. They are also fifth in home 3-point shooting percentage defense at 25.6%, while Auburn is 31st in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 30.4%. This is critical with Alabama attempting 47% of their field goals from 3-point range, the 30th-highest percentage in the country.
Pick:Â Auburn vs. Alabama Under 173.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 167.5)
CS Fullerton vs. CS Bakersfield
CS Fullerton has yet to find a point guard, with no one on the roster averaging more than 1.8 assists per game. The team ranks 356th in points per possession on offense and 316th in points per possession allowed on defense, in addition to ranking 299th in rebound percentage. CS Bakersfield is 97th in this department.
Pick: CS Bakersfield -10.5 (Greg’s Handicap CS Bakersfield -12.5)
UT Martin vs. Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois ranks just 358th in points per possession on offense and 273rd in rebound percentage, while allowing teams to shoot 36.1% from 3-point range at home, which ranks 299th. UT Martin is 103rd in rebound percentage, while Eastern Illinois is 273rd in this category.
Pick: UT Martin PK (Greg’s Handicap UT Martin -5.5)
Coppin State vs. NC Central
Coppin State ranks 363rd out of 364 teams in points per possession on offense and 234th in the country in total possessions per game, while NC Central ranks ninth in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at home. Both teams are ranked 266th or worse in turnovers per possession on offense.
Pick: Coppin State vs. NC Central Under 143 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 135.5)
10:00 PM Eastern
Boise State vs. San Diego State
San Diego State ranks 24th in the country in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 30.1% and is allowing the 11th-fewest points per possession, while ranking just 249th in points per possession on offense. Boise State leads the country in defensive rebound percentage, with opponents rebounding only 19.2% of their missed shots.
Pick: Boise State vs. San Diego State Under (Greg’s Handicapped Total 134.5)
12:00 AM Eastern
UC Irvine vs. Hawaii
Hawaii is 305th in home 3-point shooting percentage, making 30.4% of their 3-point shots, but ranks 16th in rebound percentage, while UC Irvine is 297th in turnovers per possession on offense but fourth in fewest points per possession allowed in road or neutral court settings.
Pick: UC Irvine vs. Hawaii Under 138.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 131.5)