College Basketball Projections and Best Bets for 12/13 from the T Shoe Index

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T Shoe Index CBB projections for December 13

These smaller weekday slates have made for some tough sledding in terms of finding some winners. Minnesota came through for us yesterday, covering the 21.5 point spread; however, our two totals came up just short, resulting in a 1-2 day. Even my women’s best bet on Northwestern State didn’t cash. 

 

Thankfully, those types of days don’t happen too often, but it still is a kick to the groin when they do. But, I know the process is tried and true and we’ll keep swinging so I’m back with another day’s worth of projections and bets. I’m going to try to stick with 1-2 bets for these smaller slates from now on, expanding my volume on the bigger slates. 

As always, follow me on X @TShoeIndex to get my women’s best bets as soon as I make them, but due to lines getting posted later in the day, I’m unable to include them in my daily write-ups. Here are the projections for today’s men’s and women’s games:

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These “Projections and Best Bets” pieces will be occurring 2-3x per week on VSiN.com once we get through bowl season, so buckle up and get ready to take advantage of having the T Shoe Index at your disposal from now on. 

As a refresher, the T Shoe Index (TSI) is my proprietary rating system that I use for college football, NFL, men’s and women’s college basketball, and WNBA. It is a tempo and opponent-adjusted rating that allows us to answer the question, “How many points would team A be expected to score and allow vs Team B”, based on a myriad of statistical factors. 

Here are the TSI projections for today, December 13th:

How to read this sheet: the “TSI Projected Spread” is the projected point margin based on TSI ratings. If the number is positive, that indicates Team 1 is projected to win by that margin, if the number is negative, that indicates Team 2 is projected to win by that margin. i.e. today, Samford is projected to beat Alabama A&M by 23.8 points, with a projected total of 154. 

Men’s