Men’s and Women’s College Basketball Best Bets:

Welcome back to the daily edition of men’s and women’s college basketball projections, courtesy of my proprietary ratings system, the T Shoe Index (TSI). As a reminder, TSI is an opponent-adjusted and tempo-adjusted ratings system that utilizes several key performance metrics to rate teams and project results for every matchup across the sport. If you’re new to women’s college basketball betting, oftentimes the lines are posted much closer to tip-off and therefore bets aren’t able to be made at the time of writing this morning article, so be sure to follow me on X @TShoeIndex to get my women’s plays. Here are today’s college basketball projections and bets:

Men’s

DateTeamTeamTSITSI Total
1/21/2026AmericanColgate-2.5153.1
1/21/2026ArizonaCincinnati15.6143.5
1/21/2026Arizona StateWest Virginia1.4145.0
1/21/2026Boston CollegePittsburgh-0.1132.6
1/21/2026Boston UniversityLafayette6.2153.6
1/21/2026BradleyIndiana State8.0150.2
1/21/2026BucknellArmy4.6149.5
1/21/2026California BaptistUtah Tech11.0141.3
1/21/2026ChattanoogaEast Tennessee State-6.6144.0
1/21/2026CreightonXavier4.9149.4
1/21/2026DavidsonFordham7.1134.2
1/21/2026Detroit MercyPurdue Fort Wayne1.8157.0
1/21/2026DrakeMurray State-0.5159.4
1/21/2026GonzagaPepperdine33.5144.6
1/21/2026Grand CanyonSan Diego State-0.3149.4
1/21/2026IllinoisMaryland20.0153.1
1/21/2026Illinois StateNorthern Iowa3.5127.2
1/21/2026KentuckyTexas7.5158.0
1/21/2026La SalleDayton-7.3137.1
1/21/2026LongwoodGardner-Webb11.3159.4
1/21/2026MercerWestern Carolina11.9161.8
1/21/2026NavyHoly Cross7.7136.5
1/21/2026NebraskaWashington5.8147.8
1/21/2026New MexicoFresno State10.9142.4
1/21/2026North CarolinaNotre Dame8.3142.5
1/21/2026North TexasUTSA10.7124.2
1/21/2026OaklandIU Indy13.8187.0
1/21/2026Old DominionTroy-1.6160.6
1/21/2026OmahaSouth Dakota3.1164.3
1/21/2026PresbyterianCharleston Southern0.1140.1
1/21/2026Queens (NC)North Alabama6.6165.2
1/21/2026RiceTemple-1.8149.5
1/21/2026RichmondRhode Island2.8146.8
1/21/2026Saint Mary’s (CA)Oregon State14.8143.4
1/21/2026Sam HoustonKennesaw State5.6169.1
1/21/2026San DiegoWashington State-2.9155.1
1/21/2026SeattleLoyola Marymount4.0139.1
1/21/2026South Carolina UpstateUNC Asheville0.4141.3
1/21/2026USCNorthwestern2.4161.2
1/21/2026Southern UtahUtah Valley-15.7154.1
1/21/2026SyracuseVirginia Tech2.7149.1
1/21/2026Texas A&MMississippi State6.1163.2
1/21/2026The CitadelFurman-11.3145.3
1/21/2026TulsaMemphis3.9153.4
1/21/2026UT ArlingtonTarleton State6.6144.8
1/21/2026ValparaisoSouthern Illinois-3.9141.6
1/21/2026VillanovaGeorgetown6.8150.5
1/21/2026VMIUNC Greensboro-3.4154.1
1/21/2026Western KentuckyLiberty1.3151.4
1/21/2026Wichita StateEast Carolina17.9142.0
1/21/2026WinthropRadford13.2165.4
1/21/2026WoffordSamford1.9153.7
1/21/2026Wright StateCleveland State14.0159.2
Positive # = Left Team Projected Favorite
Negative # = Right Team Projected Favorite

Bets:
VMI/UNC Greensboro Over 150.5
La Salle +10.5
Kentucky/Texas Over 154.5

Women’s

1/21/2026AkronCentral Michigan-12.5145.1
1/21/2026Arkansas StateOld Dominion5.9149.9
1/21/2026ArmyBucknell16.9109.8
1/21/2026Ball StateU Mass15.4139.0
1/21/2026BaylorUCF18.7124.8
1/21/2026Boise StateFresno State4.9136.2
1/21/2026Bowling GreenOhio1.7146.9
1/21/2026BYUTexas Tech-5.6129.3
1/21/2026ButlerDePaul7.8131.2
1/21/2026Central ArkansasWest Georgia7.2138.3
1/21/2026ColgateAmerican1.8116.5
1/21/2026Colorado StateGrand Canyon6.2129.4
1/21/2026DenverKansas City-6.5130.3
1/21/2026DuquesneDayton0.8127.4
1/21/2026FordhamSaint Louis-0.9135.9
1/21/2026Gardner-WebbPresbyterian14.1114.0
1/21/2026High PointWinthrop22.0143.2
1/21/2026Holy CrossNavy-1.3131.6
1/21/2026Iowa StateCincinnati18.0151.1
1/21/2026IU IndyNorthern Kentucky-5.0134.8
1/21/2026Kansas StateHouston16.1130.7
1/21/2026LafayetteBoston University-0.1123.3
1/21/2026LouisianaCoastal Carolina-19.4127.4
1/21/2026Loyola (IL)La Salle-0.6114.2
1/21/2026Loyola (MD)Lehigh-4.0125.1
1/21/2026Miami (OH)Buffalo17.9124.7
1/21/2026UNLVAir Force13.4120.2
1/21/2026North DakotaSouth Dakota State-26.5133.9
1/21/2026Northern IllinoisWestern Michigan-1.6112.1
1/21/2026OregonMinnesota1.6131.9
1/21/2026Purdue Fort WayneCleveland State4.5129.9
1/21/2026RadfordLongwood-4.7137.7
1/21/2026Rhode IslandDavidson0.3121.9
1/21/2026Robert MorrisYoungstown State-0.9121.9
1/21/2026San Jose StateNevada-7.8114.7
1/21/2026St. BonaventureGeorge Mason-11.8121.8
1/21/2026St. John’s (NY)Marquette-7.4124.0
1/21/2026St. ThomasNorth Dakota State-13.8130.2
1/21/2026Tarleton StateUT Arlington-0.1123.5
1/21/2026Texas StateAppalachian State-6.5115.9
1/21/2026UCLAPurdue28.1145.4
1/21/2026UNC AshevilleSouth Carolina Upstate5.2113.7
1/21/2026VCUGeorge Washington-1.0114.1
1/21/2026WashingtonPenn State14.4155.6
1/21/2026West VirginiaArizona State13.1125.7
1/21/2026WisconsinNebraska-14.7147.9
1/21/2026WyomingUtah State0.3117.6
1/23/2026BradleyValparaiso27.1139.0
1/23/2026DrakeEvansville9.7143.5
1/23/2026DrexelStony Brook9.6109.2
1/23/2026ElonNorth Carolina A&T7.2122.7
1/23/2026HamptonCampbell-6.5119.4
1/23/2026NortheasternWilliam & Mary-2.9127.2
1/23/2026Northern IowaMurray State-2.2148.1
1/23/2026TowsonHofstra9.4125.4
1/23/2026UNC WilmingtonCollege of Charleston-16.9137.8
Positive # = Left Team Projected Favorite
Negative # = Right Team Projected Favorite

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