Today we wrap up the work week with a smaller than usual 13 game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7 p.m. ET: Saint Peter’s at Iona (-1.5, 140.5)
Saint Peter’s (15-9) has won three of their last four and just held off Fairfield 83-74, covering as 3.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Iona (15-12) has dropped four of their last five and just came up short against Niagara 70-68, losing outright as 4-point road favorites.
This line opened with Iona listed as a 1-point home favorite.
Sharps have laid the short chalk, pushing Iona up from -1 to -1.5 across the market.
At DraftKings, Iona is taking in 49% of spread bets and 55% of spread dollars. At Circa, Iona is receiving 43% of spread bets and over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Gaels at home.
Ken Pom has Iona winning by two points (73-71).
As a result, bettors may prefer to gain some added cushion by playing Iona on the moneyline at -115.
Iona has buy-low value as a short favorite on a losing skid against a sell-high dog on a winning streak.
Iona has the better effective field goal percentage (162nd vs 347th), three-point shooting (102nd vs 331st), commit fewer turnovers on offense (156th vs 186th) and hold their opponents to a better three-point shooting percentage (39th vs 157th).
Iona is 9-3 at home this season. Saint Peter’s is 3-8 on the road.
This is also a revenge play for the Gaels, who lost to the Peacocks 77-63 on the road back in late January.
7 p.m. ET: Milwaukee at Detroit (-1.5, 152.5)
Milwaukee (11-17) has won two straight and just edged Green Bay 75-72, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Detroit (12-13) has won four of their last five and just took down Youngstown State 76-70, winning outright as 4-point home dogs.
This line opened with Detroit listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have quietly sided with the home chalk, as Detroit is being juiced up -1.5 (-115) and has touched as high as -2.5 briefly. In other words, all movement and liability has been on the side of Detroit at home.
At DraftKings, Detroit is receiving 72% of spread bets and 79% of spread dollars. At Circa, Detroit is taking in 67% of spread bets and over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a one-way “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of the Mercy Titans.
Ken Pom has Detroit winning by four points (79-75). He also has the Mercy Titans ranked higher (246th vs 269th).
With this in mind, bettors looking to mitigate some risk in the event of a close game pay prefer a Detroit moneyline bet at -125.
At DraftKings, Detroit is receiving 66% of moneyline bets and a whopping 85% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of a heavy pro money backing a straight up victory for the home team.
Detroit has the better offensive efficiency (212th vs 231st) and defensive efficiency (271st vs 285th).
The Mercy Titans also have the better offensive rebound percentage (70th vs 100th) and free-throw percentage (21st vs 286th).
Detroit is 6-5 at home this season. Milwaukee is 3-11 on the road.
7 p.m. ET: Princeton at Brown (-1.5, 130.5)
Princeton (8-17) has dropped three in a row and just fell to Columbia 75-65, failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Brown (8-15) just snapped a six-game losing streak with a 79-76 win over Dartmouth, winning outright as 2.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Brown listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
The public sees two bad teams facing off and can’t decide whether to take the points or lay them.
However, despite this 50/50 ticket split at DraftKings we’ve seen Brown get juiced up -1.5 (-115) and even touch -2 at some shops. We’ve never seen this line get down to -1. Reading between the lines, all movement and liability has come down in favor of the Bears at home.
At DraftKings, Brown is receiving 50% of spread bets and 57% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split indicating public indecision but also respected smart money on the Bears.
Ken Pom has Brown winning by one point (65-64).
As a result, bettors may prefer to play it safe and take Brown on the moneyline at -130.
Brown has the better defensive efficiency (129th vs 240th), hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (141st vs 229th) and force more turnovers on defense (80th vs 334th).
The Bears also have the better field goal percentage (44% vs 42%) and grab more rebounds per game (36 vs 34).
Brown is 5-7 at home. Princeton is just 1-10 on the road.
This is also a revenge play for Brown, who lost to Princeton 63-53 on the road back in late January.
