Today the weekend wraps up with a 28-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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1 p.m. ET: Merrimack at Iona (-1, 132.5)

Merrimack (14-13) has dropped three straight and just came up short against Sacred Heart 60-59, losing outright as 5.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Iona (12-15) just snapped a two-gam losing skid with a 65-60 win over Manhattan, covering as 3.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Merrimack listed as a 1-point road favorite. Sharps have jumped on Iona at home, flipping the Gaels from a 1-point home dog to 1-point home favorite. Some books are even up to Iona -1.5. At DraftKings, Iona is receiving 68% of spread bets and a whopping 95% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

This is also one of smallest and least heavily bet games of the day, which means the line move and bet splits are likely to be coming from wiseguys with an edge, not the betting public.

Pros have looked to mitigate some risk by playing Iona to win straight up (-115). At DraftKings, Iona is receiving 63% of moneyline bets and 76% of moneyline dollars, another sharp discrepancy.

Iona has a sizable edge on the offensive boards, ranking 7th in offensive rebound percentage compared to 356th for Merrimack. Iona averages 37 rebounds per game compared to 28 rebounds per game for Merrimack.

4 p.m. ET: Drake at Northern Iowa (-1.5, 125.5)

Drake (24-3) just rebounded from their third loss of the season by taking down Illinois Chicago 74-57 and easily covering as 10.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Northern Iowa (19-9) has won six straight and just upset Belmont 82-75, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Drake listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. The public thinks this line is way too short and 63% of spread bets are backing Drake on the road. However, despite the public siding with Drake we’ve actually seen this line flip to Northern Iowa -1.5 at home. In other words, we are seeing sharp “dog to favorite” reverse line movement in favor of Northern Iowa.

At DraftKings, Northern Iowa is only taking in 37% of spread bets but a whopping 66% of spread dollars, a notable sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet split and further evidence of pros fading the trendy dog Bulldogs. Those looking for some added protection in the event of a close game may prefer a Northern Iowa moneyline play at -115.

Northern Iowa has the better effective field goal percentage (56% vs 55%), three-point shooting (38% vs 37%) and takes better care of the ball (72nd in turnover percentage vs 303rd).

Northern Iowa is 13-2 at home this season. This is also a revenge spot for Northern Iowa, who lost to Drake on the road 66-52 earlier this season.

6 p.m. ET: USC at Rutgers (-3.5, 153.5)

USC (14-12) has dropped four of their last five and just got rolled by Maryland 88-71, failing to cover as 11.5-point road dogs. On the other hand, Rutgers (13-14) just snapped a three-game losing skid with an 89-85 overtime win over Washington, winning outright as 2.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Rutgers listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Sharps have pounced on the Scarlet Knights laying short chalk, steaming Rutgers up from -2.5 to -3.5. At DraftKings, Rutgers is receiving 64% of spread bets and 76% of spread dollars, indicating both Pro and Joe support in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split.

Ken Pom has Rutgers winning by one point (78-77). As a result, those looking to tail the sharp Scarlet Knights move might prefer a moneyline play (-170) instead of laying the points. At DraftKings, Rutgers is taking in 74% of moneyline bets and 78% of moneyline dollars, signaling heavy one-way support in favor of a home straight up victory.

Rutgers has the better offensive rebound percentage (31% vs 26%) and takes better care of the ball (66th in turnover percentage vs 139th). Rutgers is averaging 36 rebounds per game compared to 31 rebounds per game for USC.

Rutgers is 9-5 at home. USC is 3-4 on the road.

The Scarlet Knights also enjoy a “rest vs tired” advantage, having last played on February 19th compared to USC last playing on February 20th.

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