Today the weekend wraps up with a 22-game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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2 p.m. ET: Manhattan (-1.5, 142.5) at Niagara

Manhattan (14-12) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 77-72 win over Canisius but failed to cover as 6.5-point road favorites. On the other hand, Niagara (10-18) has dropped four in a row and just came up short against Iona 65-63, failing to cover as 1-point home dogs.

This line opened with Niagara listed as a 1-point home favorite. Wiseguys have gotten down hard on Manhattan, flipping the Jaspers from a 1-point road dog to a 1.5-point road favorite. In other words, we are seeing sharp “dog to favorite” line movement in favor of Manhattan.

At Circa, Manhattan is only receiving 50% of spread bets but a whopping 98% of spread dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy on their favor.

Ken Pom has Manhattan winning by one point (74-73). As a result, many pros have elected to play the Jaspers on the moneyline at -120.

Manhattan has the better offensive efficiency (169th vs 299th), offensive rebound percentage (32% vs 23%) and free-throw percentage (76% vs 74%). The Jaspers also take better care of the ball (190th in turnovers vs 275th).

The Jaspers average 76 PPG compared to 68 PPG for the Purple Eagles. Manhattan also averages more rebounds per game (37 vs 31). Manhttan is 9-8 in conference play. Niagara is 5-12.

3 p.m. ET: Murray State at Belmont (-3, 150.5)

Murray State (15-15) has rotated wins and losses over their last four games and just took down Indiana State 85-75, covering as 5.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Belmont (20-10) has won three of their last four and just held off Missouri State 74-65, covering as 1.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Belmont listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Belmont, pushing the Bruins up from -2.5 to -3. We’ve even seen some shops reach -3.5. Essentially, all movement and liability has come down on the home favorite.

At DraftKings, Belmont is taking in 79% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars, indicating heavy one-way support from both sharps and the betting public.

Ken Pom has Belmont winning by three points (78-75). With this in mind, value driven bettors have looked to avoid a push by playing the Bruins on the moneyline at -150. At DraftKings, Belmont is receiving 83% of moneyline bets and 90% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers banking on the Bruins to earn a straight up victory on their home court.

Belmont has the better offensive efficiency (64th vs 172nd), effective field goal percentage (56% vs 50%) and three-point shooting (39% vs 34%). The Bruins also take better care of the ball (62nd in turnovers vs 166th). Belmont averages 81 PPG compared to 73 PPG for Murray State.

Belmont is 10-5 at home this season. Murray State is 5-7 on the road.

7 p.m. ET: North Florida (-3.5, 157.5) vs Austin Peay

This is the first round of the Atlantic Sun conference tournament. It will be played on a neutral court at Flowers Hall in Florence, Alabama.

North Florida (15-16) has lost two straight and just came up short against Eastern Kentucky 86-81, losing outright as 1.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Austin Peay (13-18) has dropped three of their last four and just fell to West Georgia 73-70, losing outright as 4.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with North Florida listed as a 1.5-point neutral site favorite. Sharps have hammered North Florida, steaming the Ospreys up from -1.5 to -3.5. At DraftKings, North Florida is receiving 67% of spread bets and a hefty 86% of spread dollars, indicating modest public support but also heavy sharp action in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy.

Ken Pom has North Florida winning by two points (81-79). For this reason, wiseguys have specifically targeted North Florida on the moneyline at -170. At DraftKings, the Ospreys are receiving 62% of moneyline bets and 84% of moneyline dollars, further indication of respected action banking on a North Florida straight up win to kick off the ASUN tournament.

North Florida has the better offensive efficiency (106th vs 256th), effective field goal percentage (53% vs 48%), offensive rebound percentage (28% vs 26%) and three-point shooting (35% vs 34%).

North Florida averages 83 PPG compared to 71 PPG for Austin Peay.

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