Today we have a loaded slate of College Basketball on tap with roughly 50 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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7 p.m. ET: Monmouth at Stony Brook (-3.5, 136.5)
Monmouth (11-12) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Hofstra 73-57 and failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. On the other hand, Stony Brook (14-9) has won five in a row and just held off Elon 72-68, winning outright as 4.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Stony Brook listed as a 3-point home favorite.
Sharps have sided with Stony Brook at home, pushing the Seawolves up from -3 to -3.5.
At DraftKings, Stony Brook is taking in 76% of spread bets and 93% of spread dollars, a one-way “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of the home chalk.
This line move and bet split is especially notable considering this is a very tiny, low-bet matchup that the public is largely overlooking. However, based upon the market reaction, we can infer that pros have taken a keen interest in this game and sided with the Seawolves at home.
Ken Pom has Stony Brook winning by three points (69-66). He also has the Seawolves ranked higher (214th vs 225th).
With this in mind, value-minded bettors looking to mitigate some risk and protect themselves in the event of a close game may prefer a Stony Brook moneyline play at -170.
At DraftKings, Stony Brook is taking in 91% of moneyline bets and 95% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro money backing the home team to win straight up.
Stony Brook has the better offensive efficiency (230th vs 282d), effective field goal percentage (203rd vs 282nd) and three-point shooting (64th vs 184th).
Stony Brook is 9-2 at home this season. Monmouth is 3-7 on the road.
9 p.m. ET: Memphis at UAB (-1.5, 153.5)
Memphis (10-11) has dropped three of their last four and just came up short against Tulane 78-76, losing outright as 8.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, UAB (14-8) has won two straight and just held off North Texas 72-68, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with UAB listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have quietly supported UAB, as the Blazers are being juiced up -1.5 (-115 or -120) across the market and even briefly reached as high as a -2.5. Essentially, all movement and liability has come down in favor of the short home chalk.
At DraftKings, UAB is receiving 70% of spread bets and 82% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” Pro and Joe split in their favor.
Ken Pom has UAB winning by one point (74-73).
With this in mind, UAB backers may prefer a moneyline play (-130) instead of laying the points.
At DraftKings, the Blazers are taking in 54% of moneyline bets and a hefty 75% of moneyline dollars, another sharp split signaling a slight public lean but also heavy sharp action in favor of a straight up UAB victory.
UAB has the better offensive efficiency (131st vs 216th) and takes far better care of the ball, ranking 5th in turnover percentage compared to 339th for Memphis.
UAB also enjoys a one-day rest advantage, having last played on January 31st while Memphis last played on February 1st.
Memphis is just 1-6 on the road, the 2nd worst road record in the American Conference.
10 p.m. ET: Cal State Northridge (-2.5, 176.5) at Cal Poly
Cal State Northridge (13-10) has won two in a row and just crushed UC San Diego 81-64, easily winning outright as 1.5-point home dogs. Similarly, Cal Poly (9-14) has also won two straight and just held off UC Riverside 94-87, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Cal State Northridge listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.
The public is largely overlooking this tiny late-night matchup. However, pros have sided with Cal State Northridge laying short chalk, steaming the Matadors up from -1.5 to -2.5.
Ken Pom has Cal State Northridge winning by two points (87-85). He also has the Matadors ranked higher (188th vs 247th).
As a result, many pros have looked to gain some added cushion by playing Cal State Northridge on the moneyline at -135.
At DraftKings, Cal State Northridge is receiving 59% of moneyline bets and a whopping 81% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy and further evidence of respected smart money playing the Matadors to win straight up.
Short road favorites -4 or less with at least a half point of line movement in their favor, like the Matadors here, are 79-44 (64%) straight up with a 10% ROI this season.
Cal State Northridge has the better offensive efficiency (190th vs 205th), defensive efficiency (178th vs 282nd), offensive rebound percentage (121st vs 190th) and does a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to their opponents (17th vs 161st).
Cal Poly is just 4-5 at home, tied for the worst home record in the Big West.
