Tonight we have a loaded College Basketball slate on tap with roughly 40 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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6:30 p.m. ET: North Florida at UNC Asheville (-3, 161.5)

North Florida (7-4) has rotated wins and losses over their last four games and just took down UNC Greensboro 89-77, easily covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, UNC Asheville (6-4) has won three in a row and just brushed aside Western Carolina 78-61, covering as 7-point home favorites. This line opened with UNC Asheville listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Despite being a relatively unpopular added/extra game, sharps have gotten down hard on UNC Asheville, steaming the home team up from -1.5 to -3. UNC Asheville is receiving 71% of spread bets and 82% of spread dollars at DraftKings, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split. UNC Asheville has the better free throw shooting (69% vs 62%) and superior defensive efficiency (228th vs 318th). UNC Asheville is giving up 74.2 PPG compared to North Florida allowing 81.5 PPG. UNC Asheville is a perfect 3-0 at home. Ken Pom has UNC Asheville winning by two points (82-80). Those looking to follow the sharp move but wary of a close game that may not cover the spread might prefer to play UNC Asheville on the moneyline at -155. We could also be looking at a higher scoring game here, as the total has ticked up from 158.5 to 161.5. The over is only taking in 39% of bets but a hefty 67% of dollars at DraftKings, signaling a rare sharp contrarian over reverse line move.

7 p.m. ET: Marist (-2.5, 134.5) at Stony Brook

Marist (6-2) has won six of their last seven games and just outlasted Manhattan 82-75, covering as 2-point road favorites. On the other hand, Stony Brook (3-7) just snapped a five-game losing skid with a 72-55 win over Rider, winning outright as 6-point road dogs. This line opened with Marist listed as a 1.5-point road favorite. Sharps seem to think this line was a bit low and have pounced on Marist, steaming the road favorite up from -1.5 to -2.5, with some shops even hanging -3. At Circa, Marist is receiving 80% of spread bets but 99% of spread dollars, further evidence of wiseguys in Vegas backing the Red Foxes. Marist has the better offensive efficiency (249th vs 313th), defensive efficiency (210th vs 298th), effective field goal percentage (53% vs 44%) and three point shooting (35% vs 30%). Ken Pom has Marist winning by two points (69-67). He also has Marist ranked much higher (240th vs 318th). Those looking to mitigate some risk could instead play the Red Foxes on the moneyline at -150. At DraftKings, Marist is taking in 72% of moneyline bets and 89% of moneyline dollars, indicated heavy action on the road team to win straight up. Marist has a notable rest advantage, having last played on December 8th compared to Stony Brook last playing on December 14th. Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total slightly from 135 to 134.5. The under is only receiving 30% of bets but 75% of dollars at DraftKings, a massive sharp money under discrepancy.

8 p.m. ET: Lamar (-3, 139.5) at Southern Miss

Lamar (5-5) has won four straight and just crushed Louisiana 74-45, winning outright as 3-point road dogs. Conversely, Southern Miss has dropped two straight and just got steamrolled by Ole Miss 77-46, failing to cover as 23-point home dogs. This line opened with Lamar listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the points with Lamar, driving the Cardinals up from -2.5 to -3. This is another added/extra game, which means the public is largely overlooking the unpopular matchup but pros have taken interes and caused an “obscure sharp line move.” Lamar has the better offensive efficiency (221st vs 319th), defensive efficiency (139th vs 212th), offensive rebound percentage (35% vs 27%), three point shooting (36% vs 31%) and free throw shooting (71% vs 59%). Ken Pom has Lamar winning by three points (72-69). He also has Lamar ranked much higher (176th vs 282nd). Lamar is only allowing 65.7 PPG compared to Southern Miss giving up 79.7 PPG. Sharps have specifically targeted Lamar to win straight up (-150), as they are taking in only 50% of moneyline bets but 99% of moneyline dollars at Circa. Lamar is in the midst of a five-game road trip and has so far gone a perfect 3-0. Wiseguys seem to be leaning over as well, as we’ve seen the total rise from 138.5 to 139.5.

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