Today we have a loaded College Basketball slate on tap with nearly 40-games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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7 p.m. ET: Marquette (-13.5, 147.5) at DePaul

Marquette (14-2, ranked 7th) has won five straight games and just brushed aside Georgetown 74-66 but failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, DePaul (9-8) has lost four straight and just fell to Xavier 77-63, failing to cover as 4.5-point home dogs.

This line opened with Marquette listed as a 12.5-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the wood with Marquette, steaming the Golden Eagles up from -12.5 to -13.5. At DraftKings, Marquette is receiving 82% of spread bets and 91% of spread dollars, indicating one-way support from both Pros and Joes in the form of a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split. At Circa, Marquette is only receiving 25% of spread bets but 52% of spread dollars, further evidence of the bigger, sharper wagers out in Vegas banking on Marquette to win big and cover the number.

Marquette enjoys a rest advantage, having last played on December 7th compared to DePaul last playing on December 11th. Marquette has the far better offensive efficiency (18th vs 129th), defensive efficiency (15th vs 157th), takes better care of the ball (turnover percentage 1st vs 241st) and free-throw shooting (76% vs 71%). Marquette is only giving up 66 PPG compared to DePaul allowing 74 PPG.

7 p.m. ET: North Texas (-3, 127.5) at East Carolina

North Texas (11-4) has won five of their last six games and just crushed Rise 81-59, cruising as 11-point home favorites. Conversely, East Carolina (9-8) has dropped seven of their last nine games and just came up short against Memphis 74-70 but managed to cover as 12-point road dogs.

This line opened with North Texas listed as a 3-point road favorite. North Texas is being juiced up -3 (-115) and several shops have ticked up to -3.5 at times throughout the day. This line has never fallen down to -2.5. Reading between the lines, all movement and liability appears to be on North Texas. At DraftKings, North Texas is taking in 67% of spread bets and 86% of spread dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Mean Green. Pros also seem to be playing North Texas straight up on the moneyline at -155. At DraftKings, North Texas is receiving 77% of moneyline bets and 86% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of sharps banking on the Mean Green to win the game.

North Texas has a rest advantage, having last played on December 8th compared to East Carolina last playing on December 11th. North Texas has the better offensive efficiency (101st vs 194th) and defensive efficiency (44th vs 148th). North Texas is only giving up 59 PPG compared to East Carolina allowing 72 PPG. North Texas also has the better effective field goal percentage (52% vs 46%), three-point shooting (36% vs 26%) and free-throw shooting (79% vs 72%).

10:30 p.m. ET: Iowa at USC (-2.5, 161.5)

Iowa (12-4) has won five of their last six games and just crushed Indiana 85-60, easily covering as 4.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, USC (10-6) just snapped a two-game losing skid with an 82-72 win over Illinois, winning outright as 12.5-point road dogs.

This line opened at roughly a pick’em, with some books opening Iowa as a short 1-point road favorite and others opening USC as a short 1-point home favorite. Regardless of the opener, we’ve seen one-way movement in favor of USC, as the Trojans have been steamed up to a 2.5-point home favorite. At DraftKings, USC is receiving 60% of spread bets and 82% of spread dollars. At Circa, USC is only getting 27% of spread bets but 43% of spread dollars. Both both are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of the Trojans.

Those interested in following the sharp move but also looking for added protection in what might be a close game could instead target USC on the moneyline at -145. At DraftKings, the Trojans are taking in 60% of moneyline bets and 87% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of pros playing USC to win straight up at home. USC has the better defensive efficiency (63rd vs 98th) and free-throw percentage (75% vs 68%). USC is 8-3 at home. Iowa is 0-2 on the road.

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