Today we have a loaded midweek College Basketball slate on tap with roughly 50 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5-minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

 

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6:30 p.m. ET: Radford at UNC Asheville (-2.5, 144.5)

Radford (14-8) just snapped a two-game losing skid with an 82-69 win over Presbyterian, easily covering as 2.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, UNC Asheville (15-6) has won five in a row and just took down Charleston Southern 69-61, covering as 3.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with UNC Asheville listed as low as a 2-point home favorite. Pros pounced on UNC Asheville laying short chalk, driving the Bulldogs up from -2 to -2.5, with some shops even approaching -3. Essentially, all movement and liability has been on the home favorite.

At DraftKings, UNC Asheville is receiving 79% of spread bets and 85% of spread dollars. This split is especially notable when you consider the fact that this is an added/extra game. In other words, it’s a tiny, low-bet matchup that the public is overlooking but sharps have specifically targeted.

Pros have specifically focused on UNC Asheville to win straight up (-150), as the Bulldogs are taking in 83% of moneyline bets and 92% of moneyline dollars at DraftKings, another “low bets, higher dollars” wiseguy bet discrepancy.

Ken Pom has UNC Asheville winning by three points (75-72). UNC Asheville has the better effective field goal percentage (52% vs 50%) and takes better care of the ball, ranking 26th in turnover percentage compared to 249th for Radford. UNC Asheville is 9-0 at home this season. Radford is 5-7 on the road.

7 p.m. ET: East Tennessee at UNC Greensboro (-2.5, 136.5)

East Tennessee (12-9) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Chattanooga 71-63 and losing outright as 4-point home favorites. On the other hand, UNC Greensboro (13-8) has won three of their last four and just edged VMI 60-57 but failed to cover as 7.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with UNC Greensboro listed as a 1.5-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the short chalk, driving UNC Greensboro up from -1.5 to -2.5. At DraftKings, UNC Greensboro is receiving 83% of spread bets and 86% of spread dollars, indicating heavy one-way Pro and Joe support in their favor.

Pros have also looked to mitigate some risk by playing UNC Greensboro on the moneyline (-145), as the Spartans are taking in 76% of moneyline bets and 89% of moneyline dollars at DraftKings.

Ken Pom has UNC Greensboro winning by three points (68-65). The Spartans have the superior three-point shooting (37% vs 35%) and free-throw shooting (74% vs 65%). UNC Greensboro is 7-1 at home. East Tennessee is 3-6 on the road.

9 p.m. ET: Alabama at Mississippi State (-1.5, 165.5)

Alabama (17-3, ranked 4th) has won three in a row and just brushed aside LSU 80-73 but failed to cover as 17.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Mississippi State (16-4, ranked 14th) has won two of their last three and just edged South Carolina 65-60 in overtime but failed to cover as 6.5-point road favorites.

This line opened at roughly a pick’em, with some books opening Mississippi State a slight 1-point home favorite. The public thinks Alabama is the far better team and they can’t believe this line is a virtual toss-up. However, despite 78% of spread bets at DraftKings backing the Crimson Tide, we’ve seen Mississippi State inch up to a 1.5-point home favorite. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Bulldogs, as the line has moved in their favor despite being the unpopular play.

At DraftKings, Mississippi State is only receiving 22% of spread bets but 40% of spread dollars, a sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in one of the most heavily bet games of the night. Pros seem to be specifically targeting the Bulldogs on the moneyline (-120). At DraftKings, Mississippi State is receiving 23% of moneyline bets and 47% of moneyline dollars. Meanwhile, at Circa the Bulldogs are raking in 67% of moneyline bets and over 90% of moneyline dollars.

Ken Pom has Mississippi State winning by one point (83-82). The Bulldogs have the better defensive efficiency (37th vs 43rd) and rank 54th in forced turnover percentage compared to 343rd for Alabama. Mississippi State also takes better care of the ball, ranking 32nd in turnover percentage compared to the Crimson Tide ranking 137th. When two ranked teams face off, the home favorite is 22-11 (67%) straight up this season and 156-48 (76%) straight up since 2021.

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