100 CFB head-to-head trends for 2022 season

College football is defined by traditions as much as any other sport, and oftentimes these traditions can lead to repeat performances amongst teams. One of the best ways to observe this from a betting perspective is by analyzing the head-to-head series trends between teams. With the first full week of the 2022 season getting underway Thursday, here is a list of 100 top head-to-head trends that you’ll want to mark on your calendars. You’ll see that I’ve included the game date for every one of the trends.

Note that our VSiN Pro Matchups subscribers will get all the top head-to-head trends for the season weekly. That said, the trends below are “extra special,” with each one being at least 7 games over .500, and thus quite profitable in recent years.

I’ve grouped the trends into several different categories and sorted them by date of the game. Enjoy the analysis and best of luck with your college football wagers this week, and every week for the coming season. Hopefully this analysis plays a part in your ticket cashing ventures.

Lay the wood

* Favorites are on an 8-0 ATS run in the North Texas-SMU head-to-head series (9/3)

* Favorites are riding a 9-0-1 ATS record into the 2022 series meeting between Syracuse and Louisville (9/3)

* Favorites in the New Mexico State-UTEP series have gone 7-0-1 ATS since '13 (9/10)

* On a current 4-0 ATS run, favorites in the Tulane-Houston series are 15-3 ATS since '03 (9/30)

* Favorites have had their way in the MAC series between Miami-Ohio and Buffalo, 11-2-1 ATS since '08 (10/1)

* Laying the points in the Memphis-East Carolina series has been profitable lately, with a 9-1 ATS mark L10 (10/15)

* With ATS wins in 16 of the L17 head-to-head meetings, laying the points in the Tulsa-Tulane series has been nearly automatic of late (11/5)

* Favorites are riding an 8-1-1 ATS record into the 2022 series meeting between Tennessee and South Carolina (11/19)

* The Chalk is on an extended 18-5 ATS run in the Florida-Florida State rivalry (11/25)

Steve’s thoughts: Any trend going 16 out of 17 is significant in my opinion, so don’t gloss over the 11/5 game between Tulsa and Tulane simply because there are a number of huge tilts on the schedule that week. Last year it was Tulsa taking a 20-13 decision at Tulane, covering a 3.5-point road chalk number. The teams are expected to be fairly even in 2022, and the favored team might be decided by home-field advantage, in this case Tulsa.

Back the barking dog

* Underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the L8 of the Duke-Northwestern series (9/10)

* Another series involving Big Ten teams, Minnesota-Michigan State has seen the underdog go 10-2 ATS since 2001 (9/24)

* Boise State has huge underdog trends in two Mountain West Conference series — 7-0 ATS SDSU and 8-0 ATS Fresno State (9/30, 10/8)

* ACC rivals Duke and Georgia Tech have played a competitive series of late, with underdogs on a 7-0-1 ATS run (10/8)

* The underdog in the Virginia-Miami head-to-head series is on a 15-3 ATS surge (10/29)

* Underdogs have won eight straight ATS in the Louisville-Wake Forest ACC series (10/29)

* Fifteen of the L17 Tulsa-SMU matchups have been won ATS by underdogs (10/29)

* The Kansas State-Baylor rivalry has seen underdogs go 12-3 ATS in the L15 (11/12)

* Dating back to '07, underdogs are now on a run of 11-4 ATS in the Paul Bunyan Axe game between Minnesota and Wisconsin (11/26)

Steve’s thoughts: The most profitable trend on this list is the one between Virginia and Miami, and it could prove to be a big contest, with the Hurricanes seeking an ACC title and having to travel through Charlottesville on 10/29. In all likelihood, Miami will be the favorite that day, not a good sign for them. The biggest game among the above bunch could be the Minnesota-Wisconsin season-ending contest in Madison, where both teams could be in the hunt for a spot in the conference title game.

The comforts of home

* Hosts are on a 9-game ATS winning streak in the SMU-UCF series (10/1)

* The host team in the Mississippi State-Kentucky rivalry has converted eight in a row against the spread (10/15)

* Home field has been quite advantageous in the Arizona-Washington series, as hosts are on a 10-2 ATS surge (10/15)

* Hosts have gone 9-2 ATS in the L11 of these series: Kansas-Oklahoma (10/15) and Arizona State-Colorado (10/29)

* Home teams are on an 8-1 ATS surge in the Mississippi State-LSU clash (10/22)

* Hosts are on an 8-game ATS winning streak in the North Texas-UTSA head-to-head series (10/22)

* Home teams also own a 9-2 ATS edge in the L11 of these series: Buffalo-Ohio (11/1) and North Carolina-Wake Forest (11/12)

* In the intra-state ACC series between NC State and Wake Forest, hosts have gone 13-2 ATS in the L15 (11/5)

* Home field has meant a ton in the Memphis-UCF series, with hosts going 14-1 ATS in L15 (11/6)

* Home field has been quite advantageous in the Washington State-Arizona State series, as hosts are on a 13-4 ATS surge (11/12)

* Hosts are 7-0-1 ATS in the L8 of the Arkansas-Missouri series (11/25)

* Known as perhaps the nation's biggest rivalry, home teams are 13-5 ATS in L18 installments of Auburn-Alabama Iron Bowl (11/26)

Steve’s thoughts: Right at the top of the list we have a key game between American Athletic Conference title hopefuls SMU and UCF. If the trend holds, the Knights will have an early leg up in what appears to be a four-team battle for the crown. Of course, no game gets the college football blood boiling more than an Iron Bowl contest between Auburn and Alabama, and in the rivalry, home-field advantage has meant a lot. The Tide will host the game in 2022 and will likely be a favorite in excess of 20 points.

Road field advantage?

* The UL rivalry between Monroe and Lafayette has seen an incredible 18-1 ATS road trend develop of late (9/24)

* Road teams are on 7-game winning streaks in TCU-SMU (9/24) and Purdue-Wisconsin series (10/22)

* Road teams in the Tulsa-Navy (10/8) and Indiana-Ohio State (11/12) series are on 8-1 ATS surges

* In the MAC series between Eastern Michigan and Ball State, road teams are 14-4 ATS since '04 (10/22)

* The visitor in the Texas-Oklahoma State Big 12 series has gone 11-3-1 ATS in the L15 (10/22)

* Road teams have been the best wager in the MAC series between Miami-

Ohio and Akron recently, 9-1 ATS in L10 (10/29)

* The visitor in the Florida State-Miami ACC series has gone 12-4 ATS in the L16 (11/5)

* The visitor in the Ball State-Toledo MAC series has gone 11-3 ATS in the L14 (11/8)

* Road teams have been solid in the MAC series between Western Michigan and Central Michigan recently, 9-0-1 ATS in L10 (11/16)

* The road teams in the Mountain West series between Fresno State and Nevada are on 9-2 ATS surge (11/19)

* Visitors in the Big Game between Stanford and Cal are on a 10-2-1 ATS surge (11/19)

* Road teams have been money in the Northwestern-Purdue Big Ten series recently, 8-1-1 ATS in L10 (11/19)

* The visitor in the Boise State-Wyoming Mountain West series has gone 12-4 ATS in the L16 (11/19)

* Road teams have been incredible in the Georgia Tech-Georgia rivalry, 17-3-1 ATS in L21 (11/26)

* The visitor in the Louisville-Kentucky football rivalry has gone 11-2 ATS in the L13 (11/26)

* Visiting teams have gone 8-1 ATS in L9 of UTEP-UTSA series (11/26)

Steve’s thoughts: This is a huge list and goes to show how motivated college football teams can get by having a chance to knock off their rivals on their home fields. The first trend continues to amaze me, as regardless of how strong each of the teams has been in any given year, it is the road team that seems to always play better in the Louisiana battle between Monroe and Lafayette. This year it is the Ragin’ Cajuns that figure to benefit from recent series history. Perhaps the biggest game from the road-field advantage list pits Texas at Oklahoma State on Oct. 22, with both teams hoping to contend for a Big 12 crown this fall.

One-sided dominance

* Arkansas State has converted 12-straight point spread wins versus Louisiana-Monroe (10/1)

* Temple will go into its 2022 matchup versus Memphis on a 7-game ATS winning streak (10/1)