College Football 2024 Betting Split Systems:

With college football “Week 0” just about 10 days away, I continue my preseason prep work by preparing the DraftKings College Football Betting Splits Systems that we will track and qualify in the VSiN College Football Analytics Reports. If you haven’t been following my DK Betting Splits work over the last couple of years, these systems, and the splits, for that matter, have become popular.

In short, the numbers that DK provides in this feed summarize the percentage of the money handle and number of bets there is on each side of a wagering option for the games in most major sports. In preseason articles I published in the 2023 Football Betting Guides, I outlined different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the 2022 season for both college and pro football. I continued tracking and updating those systems in order for bettors to focus on the best ways to use the numbers. I am here now to share the angles that we will begin the 2024 season using.

 

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If you saw my recent release highlighting the DK Betting Splits Systems for NFL Preseason, you’ll quickly realize that while profitable, these college football systems aren’t nearly as definitive as those for NFL Preseason. That has as much to do with the sheer number of games as anything. However, in many ways, a system with ATS percentages of around 55% on a bigger sample size might be considered as or more effective than one that is 10% higher on far less volume. Keep that in mind as you review and plan to utilize these systems in 2024. Also note that the qualifying plays for these angles are listed by VSiN on the Analytics Reports each week and are updated twice each week, first on the initial Tuesday release and second on the morning of every huge Saturday slate of games.

One key concept readers need to consider when utilizing the systems is that not all rely on fading the public majorities. Some of them are built on the premise of getting behind the masses, as some of these angles prove there are some spots in which the public has thrived with college football, note #6 specifically.

Here are the systems with updated language and records heading into the 2024 season. Note that these systems only include games matching two FBS opponents against one another:

DK College Football Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when 80% or more of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 82-97 ATS (45.8%). This angle has consistently produced at around 46% since it was first discovered. If you see the gray shading on the VSiN betting splits handle page 80% or higher, it is best to fade it.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #2: When 75%+ of the number of bets were on a particular side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 164-188 ATS (46.6%). In 2022, it was 46.5%; in 2023, it was 46.7%, maintaining incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits number of bets page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 164-190 ATS (46.3%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2023, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #4: When the majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 142-132 ATS (51.8%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates and goes to show that being on the “smart” side of the majority handle can pay off.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #5: When the majority number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone 126-111 ATS (53.2%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4 actually, and though it was down a bit for 2023, it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #6: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022 and 2023 season record was 150-90 (62.5%)! This shows that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times, their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of the handle backed the team with more season wins in an FBS vs. FBS contest for an ATS wager over the past two seasons, this majority group has gone just 313-354 ATS (46.9%). More than not, bettors like to back the “better team” in a matchup, regardless of what the point spread indicates. Again, the point spread is always the eternal equalizer.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 54. In games since the start of the 2022 season, where the totals reached 57 or higher, and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 51-38 (57.3%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 89 of 1567 games.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 70%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 25-13 (63.2%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.

DK College Football Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 45 or lower, 75%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 52-34 (60.5%). This system improved its win percentage in 2023. Again, not a ton of plays here in the grand scheme but the more public option of number of bets has been pretty good when going against the grain.

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