College football bowl game series trends for 2023-24

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Despite the matchups for each bowl series changing every year, there are definitive betting patterns that have formed in each of the games. Naturally, when you have different types of weather environments, specific conference vs. conference matchups, and other traditions in play, there’s always the chance for repeating results. You’ll see that along with the details of the games, the teams/lines, etc, (as of Thursday, December 7), I have listed some trends that have developed and which side or total betting option they favor. The games are listed in date and board order.

 

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 16, 2023

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl- Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)

(203) JACKSONVILLE ST (-3, 56.5) vs. (204) LA LAFAYETTE

* Sun Belt teams are 13-5 ATS in the New Orleans Bowl game dating back to 2005, but South Alabama did lose last year – FAVORS LA LAFAYETTE

* New Orleans Bowl games are 14-4 Over the total since 2005 – FAVORS OVER

 

Avocados from Mexico Cure Bowl – Exploria Stadium (Orlando, Florida)

(205) MIAMI OHIO vs. (206) APPALACHIAN ST (-5.5, 47)

* Underdogs have pulled outright upsets in five of the last seven Cure Bowl games and are 6-1 ATS – FAVORS MIAMI OHIO

 

New Mexico Bowl – University Stadium (Albuquerque, New Mexico)

(207) NEW MEXICO ST (-3, 51) vs. (208) FRESNO ST

* Mountain West teams are 11-4 SU and ATS in the New Mexico Bowl dating back to 2007 – FAVORS FRESNO ST

 

Starco Brands LA Bowl – SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)

(209) UCLA (-2, 50) vs. (210) BOISE ST

* Mountain West teams have won both prior LA Bowl games outright and ATS over Pac-12 foes – FAVORS BOISE ST

 

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl – Independence Stadium (Shreveport, Louisiana)

(211) CALIFORNIA vs. (212) TEXAS TECH (-3, 58)

* Independence Bowl totals are 7-3-1 OVER in the last 11 – FAVORS OVER

* Favorites own a 10-6 ATS edge in the last 16 Independence Bowl games, including last year’s 23-16 Houston win over ULL – FAVORS TEXAS TECH

 

Myrtle Beach Bowl – Brooks Stadium (Conway, South Carolina)

(213) GA SOUTHERN (-3.5, 49) vs. (214) OHIO U

* Favorites have prevailed SU and ATS in all three prior Myrtle Beach Bowl games – FAVORS GA SOUTHERN

 

Celebration Bowl – Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)

(308901) HOWARD vs. (308902) FLORIDA AM (-8.5, 46.5)

* The MEAC representative is 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six Celebration Bowl games – FAVORS HOWARD

 

MONDAY, DECEMBER 18, 2023

Famous Toastery Bowl – Jerry Richardson Stadium, Charlotte, NC

(201) W KENTUCKY vs. (202) OLD DOMINION (-2.5, 55.5)

* This is the inaugural game in the Famous Toastery Bowl game series

 

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19, 2023

Scooters Coffee Frisco Bowl – Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)

(215) TX-SAN ANTONIO (-10, 54.5) vs. (216) MARSHALL

* The last three games in the Frisco Bowl series went Over the total – FAVORS OVER

 

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2023

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl – FAU Stadium (Boca Raton, Florida)

(217) SYRACUSE (-3, 61) vs. (218) SOUTH FLORIDA

* Favorites are now 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven installments of the Boca Raton Bowl – FAVORS SYRACUSE

* Designated home teams have won the last seven Boca Raton Bowl games ATS – FAVORS SOUTH FLORIDA

 

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 22, 2023

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl – Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

(219) UCF (-5, 64) vs. (220) GEORGIA TECH

* Favorites are 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS in the Gasparilla Bowl series since inception – FAVORS UCF

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23, 2023

76 Birmingham Bowl – Protective Life Stadium (Birmingham, Alabama)

(221) DUKE vs. (222) TROY (-7.5, 44)

* Favorites are on a 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS surge in the last 10 years of the Birmingham Bowl – FAVORS TROY

 

Camellia Bowl – Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)

(223) ARKANSAS ST vs. (224) N ILLINOIS (-1, 53.5)

* In one of the rare MAC bowl advantages, MAC teams are 5-2 ATS in their seven appearances in the Camellia Bowl series – FAVORS N ILLINOIS

 

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl- Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas)

(225) JAMES MADISON (-3, 41) vs. (226) AIR FORCE

* Underdogs have won the last three Armed Forces Bowl games ATS and are 9-5 ATS since 2009 – FAVORS AIR FORCE

* AIR FORCE is just 2-4 SU and ATS in six prior Armed Forces Bowl games – FAVORS JAMES MADISON

 

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl – Albertsons Stadium (Boise, Idaho)

(227) GEORGIA ST vs. (228) UTAH ST (-1, 63.5)

* Mountain West teams are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five Famous Idaho Potato Bowl games, but SJSU did lose last year – FAVORS UTAH ST

* Over the total is 12-4 in the last 16 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl games – FAVORS OVER

* Outright winners are on a 24-2 ATS surge in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl series

 

68 Ventures Bowl – Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama)

(229) S ALABAMA (-16, 47) vs. (230) E MICHIGAN

* Sun Belt teams are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 years of this Mobile, AL bowl series formerly known as Lending Tree Bowl – FAVORS S ALABAMA

 

SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl – Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)

(231) UTAH (-7, 41.5) vs. (232) NORTHWESTERN

* The last 18 Las Vegas Bowl games with totals of 58 or less are 13-5 Under – FAVORS UNDER

* Pac-12 teams are on a run of 7-2 ATS in their last nine Las Vegas Bowl games – FAVORS UTAH

 

EasyPost Hawai’i Bowl – Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Honolulu)

(233) COASTAL CAROLINA vs. (234) SAN JOSE ST (-9.5, 54)

* Underdogs are 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five editions of the Hawaii Bowl – FAVORS COASTAL CAROLINA SU and ATS

 

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 26, 2023

Quick Lane Bowl – Ford Field (Detroit)

(235) BOWLING GREEN vs. (236) MINNESOTA (-4, 38)

* Underdogs own an 8-7 SU and 10-4-1 ATS edge in the Quick Lane Bowl series since 2007 – FAVORS BOWLING GREEN

* Big Ten teams have gone 5-1 SU and ATS in six prior Quick Lane Bowl appearances – FAVORS MINNESOTA

 

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl – Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas)

(237) TEXAS ST UNIV (-4, 59.5) vs. (238) RICE

* Favorites are a perfect 10-0 SU in the First Responders Bowl series, going 6-2-2 ATS – FAVORS TEXAS ST UNIV

 

Guaranteed Rate Bowl – Chase Field (Phoenix)

(239) KANSAS (-12.5, 64.5) vs. (240) UNLV

* Favorites have swept the last five Guaranteed Rate Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS KANSAS

* Ten of the last 11 Guaranteed Rate Bowl games went Under the total – FAVORS UNDER

 

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27, 2023

Military Bowl Presented by Go Bowling – Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Maryland)

(241) VIRGINIA TECH (-7.5, 46) vs. (242) TULANE

* Favorites are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS in the first 13 installments of the Military Bowl series – FAVORS VIRGINIA TECH

* Bettors have been correct in moving the line in seven straight Military Bowl games – FAVORS VIRGINIA TECH

* Ten of the last 13 Military Bowl games went Over the total – FAVORS OVER

 

Duke’s Mayo Bowl – Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, North Carolina)

(243) NORTH CAROLINA vs. (244) WEST VIRGINIA (-3, 56.5)

* ACC reps are just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 games of the Duke’s Mayo bowl series, including a four game current losing streak – FAVORS WEST VIRGINIA

* Underdogs are on a 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS run in the last six Duke’s Mayo Bowl games – FAVORS NORTH CAROLINA

 

DIRECTV Holiday Bowl – Petco Park (San Diego)

(245) LOUISVILLE (-8, 57.5) vs. (246) USC

* Underdogs are 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine installments of the Holiday Bowl series – FAVORS USC

* Pac-12 teams are just 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 Holiday Bowl games despite massive regional advantage – FAVORS LOUISVILLE

* Bettors are just 1-7 ATS in the last 8 Holiday Bowl games when moving the opening point spread– FAVORS USC

 

TaxAct Texas Bowl – NRG Stadium (Houston)

(247) TEXAS A&M (-3, 53) vs. (248) OKLAHOMA ST

* Outright winners are 20-1-1 ATS in the history of the Texas Bowl series

* Designated home teams have won the last five Texas Bowl games SU and ATS – FAVORS OKLAHOMA ST

 

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 28, 2023

Wasabi Fenway Bowl – Fenway Park (Boston)

(249) SMU (-11.5, 51) vs. (250) BOSTON COLLEGE

* Last year’s Fenway Bowl was the first in the series, with Louisville (-2.5) beating Cincinnati 24-7

 

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl – (Bronx, NY)

(251) RUTGERS vs. (252) MIAMI FL (-2.5, 41.5)

* Big Ten teams are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS vs. ACC teams in the last eight years of the Pinstripe Bowl game – FAVORS RUTGERS

 

Pop Tarts Bowl – Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)

(253) NC STATE vs. (254) KANSAS ST (-3, 47)

* Under the total has converted in 14 of the last 18 games of this Orlando bowl series – FAVORS UNDER

* Favorites have swept the last seven Pop Tart Bowl games while going 6-1 ATS – FAVORS KANSAS ST

 

Valero Alamo Bowl – Alamodome (San Antonio)

(255) ARIZONA (-3, 62) vs. (256) OKLAHOMA

* Big 12 teams are on a 10-4 SU and ATS surge in Alamo Bowl games but did lose last year – FAVORS OKLAHOMA

* Underdogs are on a 6-2 ATS run in the Alamo Bowl – FAVORS OKLAHOMA

 

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2023

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl – TIAA Bank Field (Jacksonville, Florida)

(257) CLEMSON (-7, 46.5) vs. (258) KENTUCKY

* Eleven of the last 15 Gator Bowl games have gone Under the total – FAVORS UNDER

* Favorites are on a run of 22-3 SU and 18-7 ATS in Gator Bowl games – FAVORS CLEMSON

* Designated home teams have won the last nine Gator Bowl games ATS – FAVORS KENTUCKY

 

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl – Sun Bowl Stadium (El Paso, Texas)

(259) NOTRE DAME (-8, 44) vs. (260) OREGON ST

* Favorites of five points or more are just 1-13 ATS in the Sun Bowl game since 1995 – FAVORS OREGON ST

* Pac-12 teams are just 1-5 AYS in their last six Sun Bowl appearances – FAVORS NOTRE DAME

 

AutoZone Liberty Bowl – Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (Memphis, Tennessee)

(261) MEMPHIS vs. (262) IOWA ST (-8.5, 57.5)

* Underdogs are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 Liberty Bowl games – FAVORS MEMPHIS

 

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic – AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)

(263) MISSOURI (-2.5, 48.5) vs. (264) OHIO ST

* Favorites are on runs of 7-1 SU and ATS, and 11-3 SU and ATS, in the Cotton Bowl series. However, USC did lose last year – FAVORS MISSOURI

* Outright winners are on a 20-0-1 ATS run in the last 21 Cotton Bowl games

 

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2023

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl – Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)

(265) OLE MISS vs. (266) PENN ST (-3.5, 49.5)

* Underdogs own 20-9-1 ATS edge in the Peach Bowl series since 1993 – FAVORS OLE MISS

 

TransPerfect Music City Bowl – Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)

(267) AUBURN (-2.5, 50) vs. (268) MARYLAND

* The outright winner is 21-2-1 ATS in the previous 24 Music City Bowl games

* SEC teams have lost their last 3 Music City Bowl games outright and ATS – FAVORS MARYLAND

 

Capital One Orange Bowl – Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida)

(269) GEORGIA (-14, 45) vs. (270) FLORIDA ST

* Underdogs are 14-6 ATS in the Orange Bowl dating back to 2004 – FAVORS FLORIDA ST

 

Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl – Arizona Stadium (Tucson, Arizona)

(271) TOLEDO vs. (272) WYOMING (-3, 44.5)

* MAC teams have won both Arizona Bowl games (1-0-1 ATS) since Wyoming’s 2019 win over Georgia State – FAVORS TOLEDO

 

MONDAY, JANUARY 1, 2024

ReliaQuest Bowl – Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)

(273) WISCONSIN vs. (274) LSU (-10.5, 56)

* SEC teams have gone 6-2 SU and ATS in the last eight editions of the ReliaQuest Bowl – FAVORS LSU

* Designated road teams are on a significant 12-2 ATS run in the ReliaQuest Bowl series – FAVORS WISCONSIN

 

Cheez-It Citrus Bowl – Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)

(275) IOWA vs. (276) TENNESSEE (-8.5, 36.5)

* Outright winners are on a 22-0 ATS run in Citrus Bowl games since 2002

* Big Ten teams are just 2-9 SU and ATS in their last 11 Citrus Bowl appearances – FAVORS TENNESSEE

* Favorites are on 10-3 SU and ATS run in the last 13 Citrus Bowl games, including four straight – FAVORS TENNESSEE

 

VRBO Fiesta Bowl – Univ of Phoenix Stadium (Glendale, AZ)

(277) LIBERTY vs. (278) OREGON (-16, 65.5)

* Outright winners have lost ATS just twice in the last 31 Fiesta Bowl games

* Favorites have gone 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six Fiesta Bowl games – FAVORS OREGON

 

CFP SEMIFINAL Rose Bowl Game – Rose Bowl (Pasadena, California)

(279) ALABAMA vs. (280) MICHIGAN (-1.5, 45.5)

* Big Ten teams have gone Over the total in 11 of the last 15 Rose Bowl games – FAVORS OVER

* Favorites are on a 13-3 SU and 10-6 ATS run in the last 16 years of Rose Bowl games – FAVORS MICHIGAN

 

CFP SEMIFINAL Allstate Sugar Bowl – Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)

(281) TEXAS (-4, 64) vs. (282) WASHINGTON

* Designated road teams are on a run of 12-3 SU and 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 Sugar Bowl games – FAVORS TEXAS

* Outright winners are 22-1-1 ATS since 2000 in the Sugar Bowl

 

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As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.