Rushing yards and rushing touchdowns for NCAAF RBs
The college football season is just about here and there are a lot of interesting betting options available at DraftKings Sportsbook. They recently posted some player props for running backs, including rushing yards and rushing touchdowns for notable Power Five players. We’re taking a look at three of our favorites here, with all three coming from big programs. So, make sure you keep reading to get in some bets that should be fun to track throughout the course of this season.
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Trey Benson Rushing Yards: 1,000.5 (-115/-115)
Last season, Benson rushed for 990 yards on 154 carries for the Seminoles. He did that even though Treshaun Ward and Lawrance Toafili combined to tote the rock 188 times. But Ward is no longer with Florida State, which opens up 95 touches in this offense. And Toafili’s role decreased significantly as the season went on. So, it isn’t hard to envision a scenario in which Benson sees a big increase in workload this season — even with freshman Rodney Hill looking the part of a future star at the position.
Not only is Benson in line for an increase in carries this year, but the Florida State offensive line should be one of the most improved units in the nation. The Seminoles brought in Jeremiah Byers to be their right tackle, and he’s fresh off a season in which he was a First Team All-Conference USA performer at UTEP. And Colorado transfer Casey Roddick is another high-level starter at guard. On top of that, left tackle Bless Harris is back from an injury. So, Benson should have a lot more holes to work with in 2023, which is scary to think about considering he averaged 6.4 yards per carry behind last year’s leaky line. And Benson has added a lot of muscle, which should help in the durability department.
Overall, Benson seems like he’s poised for a breakout season, and the timing couldn’t be better with the 21-year-old looking to be picked somewhat early in the 2023 NFL Draft.
Pick: Benson Over 1,000.5 Rushing Yards
Braelon Allen Rushing Touchdowns: 10.5 (-120/-110)
Allen rushed for at least 11 touchdowns in each of his first two years playing college football, and I’m not sure why the talented junior wouldn’t reach that mark again in 2023. I know there’s a lot of talk about Wisconsin switching to the Air Raid offense under new offensive coordinator Phil Longo, but that’s not the deathblow to the running game that people seem to think it is. Just a few years ago, Longo’s offense supported gigantic rushing seasons for both Javonte Williams and Michael Carter. The two combined to rush for 2,385 yards and 28 touchdowns for the Tar Heels in 2020. There’s no reason the same can’t happen with Allen and backup Chez Mellusi in 2023.
Wisconsin’s offensive line should be a bit better in 2023 than it was in 2022, which is another reason to love Allen’s rushing props. And in case you’re worried about Mellusi stealing touchdowns away from Allen, it shouldn’t be too much of an issue. Allen is the better between-the-tackles rusher, so Wisconsin will lean on him and his big body to punch it in whenever the Badgers need a few yards.
Pick: Allen Over 10.5 Rushing Touchdowns
TreVeyon Henderson Rushing Touchdowns: 10.5 (-105/-125)
Henderson should be a heck of a lot better this year than he was in an injury-riddled 2022 season. After rushing for 1,248 yards with 15 touchdowns in 2021, Henderson rushed for only 571 yards and six touchdowns in 2022. But Henderson did play only eight games last year, and he’s fully healthy heading into this season. So, it’s very reasonable to expect big numbers, as he is one of the most talented running backs in college football and is playing in a great offense. Still, I can’t really see him scoring 11 touchdowns on the ground in 2023.
One of the main reasons it’s hard to envision Henderson living in the end zone this year is that Miyan Williams is an excellent short-yardage option. Williams is a bowling ball of a runner, and he racked up 14 touchdowns in 2022. So, head coach Ryan Day and offensive coordinator Brian Hartline will likely continue to utilize Williams’ bruising between-the-tackle style when the Buckeyes are in the red zone. And Henderson will be the go-to guy between the 20s.
With all that in mind, I can get on board with Henderson going Over his rushing yard total, but he’s going to have a hard time reaching double-digit touchdowns — even with his ability to break long runs. It’ll be especially difficult with some of the tough road games on Ohio State’s schedule. And it also doesn’t help that three of the Buckeyes’ starting linemen from last season are now in the NFL.
Pick: Henderson Under 10.5 Rushing Touchdowns
