The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 8. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Higher-ranked home teams playing as single-digit favorites or underdogs against a worse-ranked opponent have gone 68-30 SU and 60-35-3 ATS (63.2%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (-6.5 vs Houston)

* Teams that have won their last two games outright while losing both ATS have been fantastic when hosting a conference team in the next outing, 69-37-1 ATS (65.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NORTHWESTERN (-16.5 vs Rutgers)

* Teams coming off losses in which they were road dogs of less than 3 points are just 69-120 ATS (36.5%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-7.5 vs Rice), CINCINNATI (+10.5 vs Texas Tech), WISCONSIN (+3 vs USC)

• BOISE STATE is a perfect 11-0 ATS in conference play when coming off a close win of 7 points or fewer
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-12.5 at Washington State)

* CFB teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 116-22 SU and 87-46-5 ATS (65.4%) since 2016. 
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LIBERTY (-10 at Kennesaw State), LA LAFAYETTE (-10 at Southern Miss)

* BAYLOR has dominated Kansas in head-to-head play recently, going 12-0 SU and ATS since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY): BAYLOR (-3 at Kansas)

* IOWA is 24-8-1 ATS (75%) as a ROAD favorite since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (-6.5 at Minnesota)

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS: ARMY +1.5 at Tulsa (projections have line at ARMY -4.8)

College Football Systems Based Upon AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB Ranked Team System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 234-123 SU and 203-145-9 ATS (58.3%). 
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TEXAS (-3 vs Ole Miss), UTAH (-6.5 vs Houston)

Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 130-34 SU and 97-63-4 ATS (60.6%). 
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (-6.5 vs Houston)

Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 68-30 SU and 60-35-3 ATS (63.2%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (-6.5 vs Houston)

CFB Ranked Team System #5: Unranked teams that favored over ranked teams in Power 4 conference games boast a record of 63-33 SU and 52-40-4 ATS (56.5%) dating back to November 2016.
System Match (PLAY): SOUTH CAROLINA (-2.5 vs Tennessee)

CFB Ranked Team System #6: Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 364-29 SU but just 170-219-4 ATS (43.7%) versus unranked conference opponents since October 2015.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MIAMI (FL) (-20.5 vs Pitt), SMU (-19.5 vs California), NORTHWESTERN (-16.5 vs Rutgers)

CFB Ranked Team System #8: Teams coming off an upset win over a Top 15 ranked team are 129-92 SU but just 98-122-1 ATS (44.5%) in the follow-up contest dating back to November 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): AUBURN (+7.5 vs LSU), BYU (-6.5 at UCF), TENNESSEE (+2.5 at South Carolina)

CFB Ranked Team System #9: Teams coming off a home loss to a top-10-ranked team are just 144-152 SU and 132-162-2 ATS (44.9%) in their next game since October of 2016.
System Match (FADE): INDIANA (-7 at Michigan)

CFB Ranked Team System #10: Ranked teams coming off a close loss of 7 points or fewer and playing an unranked team are 125-31 SU but just 65-87-4 ATS (42.8%) since December of 2015.
System Match (FADE): INDIANA (-7 at Michigan)

CFB Ranked Team System #11: Ranked teams coming off a close win of 7 points or fewer where they didn’t cover the point spread, are on a 231-55 SU and 163-120-3 ATS (57.6%) surge when favored in the next game since October of 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI (FL) (-20.5 vs Pitt), BOISE STATE (-12.5 at Washington State), NORTHWESTERN (-16.5 vs Rutgers), UTAH (-6.5 vs Houston)

CFB Ranked Team System #12: Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 68-29 SU and 57-39-1 ATS (59.4%) in the next game since November of 2021.
System Match (PLAY): ALABAMA (-14 vs Texas A&M)

CFB Ranked Team System #13: Teams still unranked even after beating a ranked team in the prior game are 88-42 SU but just 56-72-2 ATS (43.8%) when favored in the follow-up contest since November of 2015.
System Match (FADE): SOUTH CAROLINA (-2.5 vs Tennessee)

CFB Ranked Team System #14: Teams still ranked even after losing as 7-point favorites or more are 76-38 SU but 45-67-2 ATS (40.2%) in the follow-up games. These teams are also 68-45-1 Under the total (60.2%) in these next contests since September of 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TEXAS (-3 vs Ole Miss), ALABAMA (-14 vs Texas A&M)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): OLE MISS-TEXAS (o/u at 53.5), ALABAMA-TEXAS A&M (o/u at 50.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #15: Teams coming off a win over a ranked team and playing another ranked team are just 74-103 SU and 76-98-3 ATS (43.7%) since September 2019. These teams are also 87-47 Under the total (64.9%) in these next contests dating back to September of 2021.
System Matches (FADE ALL): AUBURN (+7.5 vs LSU), SOUTH CAROLINA (-2.5 vs Tennessee), OLE MISS (+3 at Texas), HOUSTON (+6.5 at Utah)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): LSU-AUBURN (o/u at 51.5), TENNESSEE-SOUTH CAROLINA (o/u at 50.5), OLE MISS-TEXAS (o/u at 53.5), HOUSTON-UTAH (o/u at 56.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #16: Teams playing in the middle game(s) of what winds up being 3+ straight games versus ranked opponents have been quite successful, going 103-81 SU and 112-70-2 ATS (61.5%) dating back to November of 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): AUBURN (+7.5 vs LSU), WISCONSIN (+3 vs USC)

These detail top trends and systems for college football conference play.

* Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than 3 points have struggled lately, 90-124 ATS (42.1%) since 2011.
System Match (FADE): BOWLING GREEN (+3.5 at Buffalo)

* Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than 7 points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 152-128 ATS (54.3%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): IOWA ST (+10 at Arizona), UTAH STATE (+12.5 at Texas St)

* Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than 3 points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play against team, 32-49 ATS (39.5%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): AUBURN (+7.5 vs LSU)

* Conference home favorites coming off a double-digit conference loss are just 219-293 ATS (42.8%) since 2016
System Matches (FADE ALL): MEMPHIS (-10 vs East Carolina), VIRGINIA (-1.5 vs Duke), FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-7.5 vs Rice), TROY (-14.5 vs LA Monroe), ALABAMA (-14 vs Texas A&M), GEORGIA TECH (-4 vs Boston College), NEVADA (-5.5 vs San Jose State)

* Teams playing in a home conference game after losing and yielding 48+ points to another conference rival the previous game are just 73-106 ATS (40.8%) since 2020
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-7.5 vs Rice), WASHINGTON STATE (+12.5 vs Boise St), ARIZONA STATE (+3.5 vs Kansas State), COLORADO STATE (+1.5 vs San Diego State)

* Teams playing as road underdogs in conference play after a game in which they turned the ball over 4+ times have been huge Under plays on totals, 130-88 (59.6%) since 2016
System Match (PLAY UNDER): AKRON-KENT STATE (o/u at 46.5)

* Big 10 road favorites of -4 or less have gone 30-12 SU and 27-15 ATS (64.3%) in conference play since 2021
System Match (PLAY): USC (-3 at Wisconsin)

* Over the total is 21-8 (72.4%) in SEC non-neutral expected-tight matchups (within a field goal -3 to +3) with totals <= 51.5 since 2021
System Match (PLAY OVER): TENNESSEE-SOUTH CAROLINA (spread SC -2.5, o/u 50.5)

* Under the total is 75-51-1 (59.5%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DUKE-VIRGINIA (spread UVA -1.5, o/u 47.5), VIRGINIA TECH-CLEMSON (spread CLEM -2.5, o/u 49.5)

* Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 72-30 SU and 61-41 ATS (59.8%) in conference play since 2015
System Match (PLAY): LA LAFAYETTE (-10 at Southern Miss)

* Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 56-32-1 (63.6%) rate since 2015 (including 22-6 (78.6%) when total is >= 59)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA-MARSHALL (o/u at 66.5), JAMES MADISON-APPALACHIAN STATE (o/u at 56.5)

* Favorites of >= 4 points on MWC Friday Nights have gone 57-5 SU (~+38.13 units) since 2016
System Match (PLAY): AIR FORCE ML (-205 at Wyoming)

* AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 118-19 SU and 77-54-6 ATS (58.8%) in conference play since 2015
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MEMPHIS (-10 vs East Carolina), FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-7.5 vs Rice)

* MAC home/neutral underdogs in the +2.5 to +5.5 line range have seen their totals go Under at a 44-23 rate (65.7%) in conference play since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIAMI (OH)-CENTRAL MICHIGAN (spread CMU +2.5, o/u 40.5)

* Under the total is 60-40-1 (60%) in Conference USA expected-tight matchups (-3 to +2.5 line range) since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): MISSOURI STATE-DELAWARE (spread DEL -3, o/u 53.5), NEW MEXICO STATE-SAM HOUSTON STATE (spread SHSU +2.5, o/u 44.5)

Top Team Trends in Conference Games

Negative FADE trends:

• MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE is on a 0-11 ATS skid in conference play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (FADE): MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+10 at FIU)

• USC has not handled outright road wins well, going 1-10 ATS in the next contest if against conference opponents
• USC has lost 18 of its L25 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trends Match (FADE): USC (-3 at Wisconsin)

• HAWAII is just 4-20 ATS in its last 24 conference games when favored by single digits
Trend Match (FADE): HAWAII (-4 at Northern Illinois)

• AKRON is on a 9-15 ATS skid in MAC play when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (FADE): AKRON (+3 at Kent St)

Positive FOLLOW trends:

• BALL STATE has won 11 of its last 13 games ATS in MAC play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (PLAY): BALL STATE (-14.5 vs Sacramento State)

• BOISE STATE is a perfect 11-0 ATS in conference play when coming off a close win of 7 points or fewer
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-12.5 at Washington State)

• OLD DOMINION has won 11 of its last 17 games ATS as a conference underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+12.5 at LA Tech)

• GEORGIA STATE is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 16-8 ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (-2.5 at Arkansas State)

• NORTHWESTERN is on a 13-2-1 ATS Big Ten run when coming off a close win of 7 points or less
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTHWESTERN (-16.5 vs Rutgers)

• MICHIGAN is 13-9 ATS in its last 22 games vs. Big Ten foes when coming off a home win
Trend Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (+7 vs Indiana)

• EASTERN MICHIGAN is an impressive MAC road underdog, 20-8 ATS in the last 28
Trend Match (PLAY): EASTERN MICHIGAN (+12.5 at Ohio)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Huge week-to-week point spread movement
CFB teams that see their point spread in one game being at least 52 points worse than the prior game have performed very well in that follow-up contest since 2012, going 112-84 ATS (57.1%).
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS A&M (+14 at Alabama)

Forcing many TOs doesn’t lead to success in next outing at home
Teams playing as home favorites after a game in which they forced 4+ turnovers are just 79-102 ATS (43.6%) since 2021.
System Match (FADE): KENTUCKY (-10.5 vs Vanderbilt)

Playing well offensively but losing a good sign for next outing
College football teams that lost a game as an underdog despite gaining 550 or more yards on offense have bounced back well lately, going 63-48-2 ATS (56.8%) over the last 13 years. 
System Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+10.5 vs Texas Tech)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders
Over the last thirteen years, CFB teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 87-66-2 ATS (56.9%) in the follow-up contest.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OREGON (-8.5 at Illinois), KENTUCKY (-10.5 vs Vanderbilt), UTAH STATE (+13.5 at Texas State)

Road favorites struggle when coming off a close loss
Road favorites coming off a close loss of 10 points or fewer are just 77-112 ATS (40.7%) since 2022. Over the total is also 112-80 (58.3%) in these games.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OKLAHOMA (-4.5 at Mississippi State), INDIANA (-7 at Michigan)

Road underdogs solid when coming off a blowout loss
Road underdogs of +27 or fewer are 128-72 ATS (64%) coming off a loss of 27 points or more since 2022. Under the total is also 112-88 (56%) in these games.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SACRAMENTO STATE (+14.5 at Ball State), CALIFORNIA (+19.5 at SMU)

Ride teams off uber-dominant performances
Any team coming off a game scoring 60+ points is 87-62 ATS (58.4%) in the follow-up game since 2022.
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS STATE (-13.5 vs Utah State)

Big upsets turn into focused defensive efforts next time out
Teams coming off a road conference upset loss in which they were favored by -7 or more have been big Under the total teams, 67-48 (58.3%) since 2021. These teams’ defensive points allowed fell from 31.8 PPG to 21.7 PPG.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): TEXAS A&M-ALABAMA (o/u at 50.5)

Small road underdog losses can be demoralizing
Teams coming off losses in which they were road dogs of less than 3 points are just 69-120 ATS (36.5%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-7.5 vs Rice), CINCINNATI (+10.5 vs Texas Tech), WISCONSIN (+3 vs USC)

Home favorites off a small conference upset haven’t been good bets
Teams coming off outright conference upsets when a dog of +3 points or fewer are just 67-99 ATS (40.4%) when favored at home in the follow-up game.
System Match (FADE): NORTH CAROLINA (-7.5 vs Syracuse)

CFB Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors 

The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action.

CFB Streaks Betting System #1: Teams that have lost their last two games outright but won both ATS have been bad bets when playing as underdogs again in the next contest, going 56-84 ATS (40%) since 2017.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SYRACUSE (+7.5 at North Carolina), WASHINGTON STATE (+12.5 vs Boise State)

CFB Streaks Betting System #2: Teams that have won their last two games outright while losing both ATS have been fantastic when hosting a conference team in the next outing, 69-37-1 ATS (65.1%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NORTHWESTERN (-16.5 vs Rutgers)

CFB Streaks Betting System #3: Teams that have won back-to-back conference games both SU and ATS while being defensively dominant (<12 PPG allowed in those two games), have been tremendous when playing on the road in the next game, 59-34 ATS (63.4%) since 2019.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LIBERTY (-10 at Kennesaw St), OLE MISS (+3 at Texas)

CFB Streaks Betting System #6: Teams either on 4-game ATS winning streaks or 4-game ATS losing streaks have been bad bets as small favorites (-4.5 or shorter) in the next contest, going just 92-105 SU and 77-117-3 ATS (39.7%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): TEXAS (-3 vs Ole Miss)

CFB Streaks Betting System #7: Road/neutral teams who have won their last four ATS have been solid bets as larger favorites (-7.5 or higher) in the next game, going 87-17 SU and 57-43-4 ATS (57%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): LIBERTY (-10 at Kennesaw St)

CFB Streaks Betting System #11: Teams coming off of four straight SU wins and are now playing as a large underdog (+7 or more) to a conference opponent with a better scoring defense on the year have meant heavy Under – 44-22 (66.7%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR HOUSTON at UTAH (spread HOU +6.5 currently, o/u 56.5)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best & worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

* LA LAFAYETTE is 17-10 SU and 20-7 ATS (74.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAFAYETTE (-10 at Southern Miss)

* KENTUCKY is 18-25 SU but 25-18 ATS (58.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (-10.5 vs Vanderbilt)

* NAVY is 17-25 SU but 26-16 ATS (61.9%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (+2.5 vs North Texas)

* TULANE is 19-21 SU but 24-15 ATS (61.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): TULANE (+2.5 vs UTSA)

College football revenge systems

Home/Road revenge line range angles that have thrived
Teams seeking revenge at home in a competitive line range (-3.5 to +3.5) after getting blown out by this opponent on the road (>= 20 point loss) last time have been solid bets, going 93-74 SU and 98-65-4 ATS (60.1%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE (+2.5 vs New Mexico State), TULANE (+2.5 vs UTSA), COLORADO STATE (+1.5 vs San Diego State)

Double-digit road favorites have been good producers in the revenge role, going 54-46 ATS (54%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LIBERTY (-10 at Kennesaw State), LA LAFAYETTE (-10 at Southern Miss)

Teams who lost as underdogs but are now seeking revenge as road favorites of -4.5 or higher have performed well, going 53-11 SU and 41-22-1 ATS (65.1%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LIBERTY (-10 at Kennesaw State), LA LAFAYETTE (-10 at Southern Miss)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 120-135 ATS (47.1%) since 2016. 
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARMY (+1.5 at Tulsa), SMU (-19.5 vs California), TOLEDO (-3 vs Western Michigan), SAN JOSE STATE (+5.5 at Nevada),

Current won-lost records are a good indicator of revenge chances
College football teams seeking revenge and having at least four more wins on the season than their opponent have been very successful, going 116-22 SU and 87-46-5 ATS (65.4%) since 2016. 
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LIBERTY (-10 at Kennesaw St), LA LAFAYETTE (-10 at Southern Miss)

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* TEXAS A&M is 7-15 SU & 6-15-2 ATS (28.6%) on the road since 2021
* ALABAMA is on a 33-12 ATS (73.3%) surge at home
Trend Match (PLAY): ALABAMA (-14 vs Texas A&M)

* ARIZONA STATE is 31-19-1 (62%) ATS as underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA STATE (+3.5 vs Kansas State)

* BALL STATE is 42-33-1 (56%) Under the total over last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SACRAMENTO STATE-BALL STATE (o/u at 51.5)

* GEORGIA TECH is 12-29-1 ATS (29.3%) in the last 42 games as a favorite
* BOSTON COLLEGE is 32-18 (64%) ATS in conference games since 2020
Trends Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+4 at Georgia Tech)

* BOWLING GREEN is 22-34 (39.3%) ATS as underdog since 2019
* BUFFALO is 26-17-1 (60.5%) ATS at home since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-3.5 vs Bowling Green)

* CALIFORNIA is 33-23 (58.9%) ATS as underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): CALIFORNIA (+19.5 at SMU)

* CINCINNATI is 7-20 ATS (25.9%) as an underdog since 2021
* CINCINNATI is 11-25 (30.6%) ATS in Conference games since 2022
Trends Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (+10.5 vs Texas Tech)

* COLORADO is 13-7 (65%) ATS in the last 20 games following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO (+12.5 at Oklahoma State)

* EASTERN MICHIGAN is 43-23 (65.2%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2016
* OHIO is 28-16 ATS (63.6%) in Conference games over the last five seasons
Trends Match: 1 PLAY EASTERN MICHIGAN, 1 PLAY OHIO

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 20-31-1 (39.2%) in Conference games over L7 seasons
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-10 vs Middle Tennessee State)

* GEORGIA STATE is 24-15-1 (61.5%) ATS in the last 40 road/neutral games
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (-2.5 at Arkansas State)

* HAWAII is 15-29 (34.1%) ATS as favorite since 2015
* NORTHERN ILLINOIS is 6-27-2 (18.2%) ATS in the last 35 home games
Trends Match: 1 FADE HAWAII, 1 FADE NORTHERN ILLINOIS

* IOWA is 24-8-1 ATS (75%) as road favorite since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (-6.5 at Minnesota)

* IOWA STATE is 37-20-2 ATS (64.9%) in following up a SU loss since 2015
* IOWA STATE is 20-10 (66.7%) ATS as Underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA ST (+10 at Arizona)

* JAMES MADISON is 35-19 (64.8%) ATS as favorite since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): JAMES MADISON (-10.5 at Appalachian State)

* KANSAS is 46-30-1 (60.5%) Over the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): BAYLOR-KANSAS (o/u at 53.5)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 46-32-1 (59%) Over the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 17-24 (41.5%) ATS in Conference games over the last five seasons
Trends Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-12.5 vs Old Dominion), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)

* LSU is 7-21 (25%) ATS in the last 28 road/neutral games
Trend Match (FADE): LSU (-7.5 at Auburn)

* CENTRAL MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (81.8%) in the last 11 as home underdog in conference games
* MIAMI (OH) is on a 44-33-1 (57.1%) Under the total run over the last six seasons
Trends Match: PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+2.5 vs Miami (OH), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 40.5)

* MICHIGAN STATE is 23-12 (65.7%) to the Under against ranked opponents since 2017
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MICHIGAN STATE-UCLA (o/u at 44.5)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 23-15 (60.5%) ATS at Home since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): MISSISSIPPI STATE (+4.5 vs Oklahoma)

* NORTH CAROLINA is 3-10-1 (23.1%) ATS in the last 14 as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): NORTH CAROLINA (-7.5 vs Syracuse)

* OLE MISS is 18-24-2 (42.9%) ATS in Conference games since 2021
Trend Match (FADE): OLE MISS (+3 at Texas)

* PITTSBURGH is 50-32 (61%) Over the total since 2020
* PITTSBURGH is 4-9 ATS (30.8%) in the last 13 games as a road underdog
Trends Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (+20.5 at Miami (FL)), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 50.5)

* RICE is 12-3 (80%) to the Under as a road underdog since 2023
* FAU is 14-9 (60.9%) to the Under as a home favorites since 2020
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): RICE-FLA ATLANTIC (o/u at 52.5)

* RUTGERS is 30-13 (69.8%) to the Under in road games since 2018
* NORTHWESTERN is 33-16 (67.3%) to the Under as a home favorite since 2013
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): RUTGERS-NORTHWESTERN (o/u at 58.5)

* SOUTH ALABAMA is 21-41 (33.9%) ATS coming off SU Win since 2014
Trend Match (FADE): SOUTH ALABAMA (-2.5 at Marshall)

* SAN DIEGO ST is 55-35 (61.1%) Under the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SAN DIEGO STATE-COLORADO STATE (o/u at 63.5)

* TENNESSEE is 8-15 (34.8%) ATS as an Underdog since 2020
* SOUTH CAROLINA is 18-13 (58.1%) ATS as a favorite in the last six seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): SOUTH CAROLINA (-2.5 vs Tennessee)

* STANFORD is 12-22-1 (35.3%) ATS in last 35 home games
Trend Match (FADE): STANFORD (+6.5 vs NC State)

* USC is 4-16 SU and 3-17 ATS (15%) in the last 20 visits to Eastern/Central time zone
* USC is 39-21 (65%) Over the total in the last four seasons
Trends Match: FADE USC (-3 at Wisconsin), also PLAY OVER in USC-WISCONSIN (o/u at 49.5)

* UTAH STATE is 9-19 ATS (32.1%) in road/neutral games over the last four seasons
Trend Match (FADE): UTAH ST (+13.5 at Texas St)

* VIRGINIA TECH is 10-26 (27.8%) ATS in the last 36 games following up a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): VIRGINIA TECH (+2.5 at Clemson)

* WASHINGTON STATE is 9-3 ATS (75%) as a home underdog since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON STATE (+12.5 vs Boise State)

* WYOMING is 17-5 ATS (77.3%) as a home underdog in conference games since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): WYOMING (+5.5 vs Air Force)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

Thursday, October 22

(315) EAST CAROLINA at (316) MEMPHIS
* Over the total has converted in the last five matchups between East Carolina and Memphis
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): EAST CAROLINA-MEMPHIS (o/u at 54.5)

Friday, October 23

(319) DUKE at (320) VIRGINIA
* VIRGINIA has won and covered their last six instances hosting Duke
Trend Match (PLAY): VIRGINIA (-1.5 vs Duke)

(323) AIR FORCE at (324) WYOMING
* WYOMING is on an absurd 14-2 ATS run in games with Air Force, including 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS in the last seven at home
Trend Match (PLAY): WYOMING (+5.5 vs Air Force)

Saturday, October 24

(327) WEST VIRGINIA at (328) TCU
* WEST VIRGINIA is 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS in the last 12 matchups with TCU
Trend Match (PLAY): WEST VIRGINIA (+9.5 at TCU)
* Under the total is also on a 9-2 surge in the last 11 of the overall series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): WEST VIRGINIA-TCU (o/u at 56.5)

(331) RICE at (332) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
* Underdogs/road teams are on a 3-3 SU and 5-0-1 ATS surge in Owls vs Owls rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): RICE (+7.5 at FAU)

(333) SYRACUSE at (334) NORTH CAROLINA
* NORTH CAROLINA is 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS in games versus Syracuse since 2002
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTH CAROLINA (-7.5 vs Syracuse)

(345) MIAMI (OH) at (346) CENTRAL MICHIGAN
* MIAMI (OH) is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS versus Central Michigan since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (OH) (-2.5 at Central Michigan)

(365) BAYLOR at (366) KANSAS
* BAYLOR has dominated Kansas in head-to-head play recently, going 12-0 SU and ATS since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY): BAYLOR (-3 at Kansas)

(367) VIRGINIA TECH at (368) CLEMSON
* CLEMSON is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven matchups with Virginia Tech
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEMSON (-2.5 vs Virginia Tech)

(373) LA LAFAYETTE at (374) SOUTHERN MISS
* SOUTHERN MISS is 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS versus LA Lafayette since 2001
Trend Match (PLAY): SOUTHERN MISS (+10 vs LA Lafayette)

(375) LSU at (376) AUBURN
* AUBURN is 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven instances hosting SEC foe LSU
Trend Match (PLAY): AUBURN (+7.5 vs LSU)

(377) IOWA at (378) MINNESOTA
* IOWA is 9-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Minnesota
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (-6.5 at Minnesota)

(385) SAN JOSE STATE at (386) NEVADA
* NEVADA is 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS when hosting SJSU since 2002
Trend Match (PLAY): NEVADA (-5.5 vs San Jose State)

(405) VANDERBILT at (406) KENTUCKY
* VANDERBILT is 3-4 SU but 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Lexington, KY
Trend Match (PLAY): VANDERBILT (+10.5 at Kentucky)

(409) SAN DIEGO STATE at (410) COLORADO STATE
* SAN DIEGO STATE is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven trips to Fort Collins, CO
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN DIEGO STATE (-1.5 at Colorado State)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 7:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 645-715 ATS (47.4%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA, EAST CAROLINA, VIRGINIA, LSU, RICE, MIAMI (FL), TCU, MIAMI (OH), AKRON, BALL STATE, BOWLING GREEN, UCF, GEORGIA TECH, MINNESOTA, OKLAHOMA, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, NORTH TEXAS, UCLA, OHIO, LA MONROE, LOUISIANA TECH, SAN JOSE STATE, LA LAFAYETTE, WASHINGTON STATE, SAN DIEGO STATE, CLEMSON, TEXAS STATE, TULANE, UTAH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since start of 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 287-306 ATS (48.4%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, in 2024 it was 46.6%. Last year it was six games over .500.
System Matches (FADE ALL): VIRGINIA, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, BALL STATE, UCLA, OHIO, LOUISIANA TECH, TEXAS STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 410-462 ATS (47%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): SOUTH ALABAMA, LSU, TEXAS TECH, MIAMI (OH), BAYLOR, OKLAHOMA, NORTH TEXAS, LA LAFAYETTE, SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 68%+ majority of the handle was on small home favorites of 7 points or fewer for an ATS wager since the start of the 2023 season, this majority group is 95-76 ATS (55.6%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): VIRGINIA, GEORGIA TECH, SOUTH CAROLINA, CLEMSON, UTAH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 173-154-2 ATS (52.9%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): EAST CAROLINA, UMASS, ARMY, RICE, RUTGERS, AKRON, BOWLING GREEN, LA MONROE, SAN JOSE STATE, COLORADO, OLE MISS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past four seasons, this majority group has gone 170-143-1 ATS (54.3%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): UMASS, ARMY, WEST VIRGINIA, LA MONROE, SAN JOSE STATE, OLE MISS, NORTH DAKOTA STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their record since the start of 2022 is 310-256 (54.8%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, DELAWARE, SOUTH ALABAMA, NEW MEXICO STATE, JAMES MADISON, LIBERTY, MEMPHIS, UMASS, VIRGINIA, ARMY, AIR FORCE, NC STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 68-52 (56.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): UTAH STATE-TEXAS STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 79-63 (55.6%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NEW MEXICO STATE-SAM HOUSTON STATE, INDIANA-MICHIGAN, BOWLING GREEN-BUFFALO, OKLAHOMA-MISSISSIPPI STATE, HAWAII-NORTHERN ILLINOIS, MICHIGAN STATE-UCLA, OLD DOMINION-LOUISIANA TECH, SAN JOSE STATE-NEVADA, NORTH DAKOTA STATE-NEW MEXICO

CFB DK Betting Splits system #11: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 223-195 (53.3%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): AIR FORCE-WYOMING, WESTERN MICHIGAN-TOLEDO, MIAMI OH-CENTRAL MICHIGAN, AKRON-KENT ST, BYU-UCF, OLD DOMINION-LOUISIANA TECH, SYRACUSE-NORTH CAROLINA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #12: Since the start of the 2022 season, majority handle bettors have been quite sharp in two different contrarian ways for betting totals in non-conference games. When greater than 80% majorities have gotten behind Overs for totals of less than 55, they’ve gone 67-37 (64.4%).
System Match (PLAY OVER): UMASS-CONNECTICUT 

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NCAAF tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ARMY +1.5 (+6.3)
2. TULANE +2.5 (+5.4)
3. TENNESSEE +2.5 (+5.1)
4. ARKANSAS STATE +2.5 (+3.7)
5. MISSOURI STATE +3 (+3.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. TROY -14.5 (+4.4)
2. HAWAII -4 (+4.2)
3. NEW MEXICO -4.5 (+3.8)
4(tie). CONNECTICUT -14.5 (+3.2)
FLORIDA ATLANTIC -7.5 (+3.2)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MISSISSIPPI STATE +4.5 (+7.6)
2(tie). WYOMING +5.5 (+4.6)
SOUTHERN MISS +10 (+4.6)
4. TULANE +2.5 (+3.6)
5. COLORADO STATE +1.5 (+3.4)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ALABAMA -14 (+6.5)
2. UCLA -14 (+5.2)
3(tie). SOUTH ALABAMA -1.5 (+3.4)
MIAMI (FL) -20.5 (+3.4)
5. OKLAHOMA STATE -12.5 (+3.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIAMI (OH)-CENTRAL MICHIGAN OVER 40.5 (+7.6)
2. OREGON-ILLINOIS OVER 50.5 (+5.4)
3. BOWLING GREEN-BUFFALO OVER 44.5 (+5.0)
4. NEW MEXICO STATE-SAM HOUSTON STATE OVER 44.5 (+4.3)
5. OLD DOMINION-LOUISIANA TECH OVER 45.5 (+4.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. COLORADO-OKLAHOMA STATE UNDER 55.5 (-6.1)
2(tie). WEST VIRGINIA-TCU UNDER 56.5 (-3.8)
PITTSBURGH-MIAMI (FL) UNDER 50.5 (-3.8)
4. OLE MISS-TEXAS UNDER 53.5 (-3.2)
5. UTSA-TULANE UNDER 51.5 (-2.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SACRAMENTO STATE +14.5 (+9.1)
2(tie). KENNESAW STATE +10 (+8.5)
MICHIGAN STATE +14 (+8.5)
4. EASTERN MICHIGAN +12.5 (+7.4)
5. UMASS +14.5 (+6.1)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. TEXAS -3 (+11.8)
2. GEORGIA TECH -4 (+5.4)
3. FLORIDA ATLANTIC -7.5 (+4.9)
4. TOLEDO -3 (+4.3)
5. OREGON -9.5 (+3.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. OKLAHOMA-MISSISSIPPI STATE OVER 44.5 (+5.8)
2. NEW MEXICO STATE-SAM HOUSTON STATE OVER 44.5 (+5.6)
3(tie). RICE-FLORIDA ATLANTIC OVER 52.5 (+5.2)
BYU-UCF OVER 43.5 (+5.2)
VIRGINIA TECH-CLEMSON OVER 49.5 (+5.2)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN DIEGO STATE-COLORADO STATE UNDER 63.5 (-4.3)
2. ARMY-TULSA UNDER 54.5 (-4.0)
3. LIBERTY-KENNESAW STATE UNDER 50.5 (-3.6)
4. SOUTH ALABAMA-MARSHALL UNDER 66.5 (-3.3)
5. JAMES MADISON-APPALACHIAN STATE UNDER 56.5 (-3.0)

Comparing Effective Yards Per Play Ratings to This Week’s Matchups

The following are taken from an article posted on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, looking at how Steve Makinen comes up with his ratings and any edges in games each weekend. Track these games to see how they fare, or back them already if you agree with the logic.

(403) TEXAS A&M at (404) ALABAMA
Actual Home Line: ALABAMA -14
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: ALABAMA -35.4
Difference: 21.4, Favors – ALABAMA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: ALABAMA -33.5
Difference: 19.5, Favors – ALABAMA

(341) PITTSBURGH at (342) MIAMI (FL)
Actual Home Line: MIAMI (FL) -20.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: MIAMI (FL) -37.4
Difference: 16.9, Favors – MIAMI (FL)
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: MIAMI (FL) -26.9
Difference: 6.4, Favors – MIAMI (FL)

(327) WEST VIRGINIA at (328) TCU
Actual Home Line: TCU -9.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TCU -24.7
Difference: 15.2, Favors – TCU
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TCU -21.7

(343) TEXAS TECH at (344) CINCINNATI
Actual Home Line: CINCINNATI +10.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: CINCINNATI -3.7
Difference: 14.2, Favors – CINCINNATI
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: CINCINNATI -2.4
Difference: 12.9, Favors – CINCINNATI
Difference: 12.2, Favors – TCU

(391) IOWA STATE at (392) ARIZONA
Actual Home Line: ARIZONA -10
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: ARIZONA -23.9
Difference: 13.9, Favors – ARIZONA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: ARIZONA -16.9
Difference: 6.9, Favors – ARIZONA

(365) BAYLOR at (366) KANSAS
Actual Home Line: KANSAS +3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: KANSAS -10.6
Difference: 13.6, Favors – KANSAS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: KANSAS -7.7
Difference: 10.7, Favors – KANSAS

(363) USC at (364) WISCONSIN
Actual Home Line: WISCONSIN +3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: WISCONSIN -9.6
Difference: 12.6, Favors – WISCONSIN
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: WISCONSIN -6.2
Difference: 9.2, Favors – WISCONSIN

(337) INDIANA at (338) MICHIGAN
Actual Home Line: MICHIGAN +7
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: MICHIGAN +19
Difference: 12, Favors – INDIANA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: MICHIGAN +14.6
Difference: 7.6, Favors – INDIANA

(395) OKLAHOMA at (396) MISSISSIPPI STATE
Actual Home Line: MISSISSIPPI STATE +4.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: MISSISSIPPI STATE -7.5
Difference: 12, Favors – MISSISSIPPI STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: MISSISSIPPI STATE -12.7
Difference: 17.2, Favors – MISSISSIPPI STATE

(331) RICE at (332) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Actual Home Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC -7.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC +4.2
Difference: 11.7, Favors – RICE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC +5.3
Difference: 12.8, Favors – RICE

(357) RUTGERS at (358) NORTHWESTERN
Actual Home Line: NORTHWESTERN -16.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: NORTHWESTERN -27
Difference: 10.5, Favors – NORTHWESTERN
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: NORTHWESTERN -25.1
Difference: 8.6, Favors – NORTHWESTERN

(323) AIR FORCE at (324) WYOMING
Actual Home Line: WYOMING +4.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: WYOMING -5.6
Difference: 10.1, Favors – WYOMING
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: WYOMING -3.1
Difference: 7.6, Favors – WYOMING

(389) KANSAS STATE at (390) ARIZONA STATE
Actual Home Line: ARIZONA STATE +3.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: ARIZONA STATE -6.4
Difference: 9.9, Favors – ARIZONA STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: ARIZONA STATE -1.3
Difference: 4.8, Favors – ARIZONA STATE

(387) MICHIGAN STATE at (388) UCLA
Actual Home Line: UCLA -14
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: UCLA -23.6
Difference: 9.6, Favors – UCLA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: UCLA -23.8
Difference: 9.8, Favors – UCLA

(401) OLD DOMINION at (402) LOUISIANA TECH
Actual Home Line: LOUISIANA TECH -12.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: LOUISIANA TECH -22.1
Difference: 9.6, Favors – LOUISIANA TECH
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: LOUISIANA TECH -15.4
Difference: 2.9, Favors – LOUISIANA TECH

(319) DUKE at (320) VIRGINIA
Actual Home Line: VIRGINIA -1.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: VIRGINIA +7.7
Difference: 9.2, Favors – DUKE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: VIRGINIA +5
Difference: 6.5, Favors – DUKE

(373) LA LAFAYETTE at (374) SOUTHERN MISS
Actual Home Line: SOUTHERN MISS +10
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: SOUTHERN MISS +0.8
Difference: 9.2, Favors – SOUTHERN MISS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: SOUTHERN MISS +4.5
Difference: 5.5, Favors – SOUTHERN MISS

(379) OREGON at (380) ILLINOIS
Actual Home Line: ILLINOIS +9.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: ILLINOIS +0.6
Difference: 8.9, Favors – ILLINOIS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: ILLINOIS +2
Difference: 7.5, Favors – ILLINOIS

(375) LSU at (376) AUBURN
Actual Home Line: AUBURN +7.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: AUBURN -1.2
Difference: 8.7, Favors – AUBURN
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: AUBURN +4
Difference: 3.5, Favors – AUBURN

(371) HAWAII at (372) NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Actual Home Line: NORTHERN ILLINOIS +4.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: NORTHERN ILLINOIS -4.1
Difference: 8.6, Favors – NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: NORTHERN ILLINOIS -4.5
Difference: 9, Favors – NORTHERN ILLINOIS

(301) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE at (302) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Actual Home Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -10
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -18.4
Difference: 8.4, Favors – FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -17.9
Difference: 7.9, Favors – FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

(393) OLE MISS at (394) TEXAS
Actual Home Line: TEXAS -3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TEXAS -11.2
Difference: 8.2, Favors – TEXAS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TEXAS -6.8
Difference: 3.8, Favors – TEXAS

(333) SYRACUSE at (334) NORTH CAROLINA
Actual Home Line: NORTH CAROLINA -7.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: NORTH CAROLINA -15.3
Difference: 7.8, Favors – NORTH CAROLINA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: NORTH CAROLINA -13.5
Difference: 6, Favors – NORTH CAROLINA

(385) SAN JOSE STATE at (386) NEVADA
Actual Home Line: NEVADA -5.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: NEVADA -12
Difference: 6.5, Favors – NEVADA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: NEVADA -8.1
Difference: 2.6, Favors – NEVADA

(325) NC STATE at (326) STANFORD
Actual Home Line: STANFORD +6.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: STANFORD +0.3
Difference: 6.2, Favors – STANFORD
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: STANFORD +2.9
Difference: 3.6, Favors – STANFORD

(335) SACRAMENTO STATE at (336) BALL STATE
Actual Home Line: BALL STATE -14.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: BALL STATE -20.3
Difference: 5.8, Favors – BALL STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: BALL STATE -16.9
Difference: 2.4, Favors – BALL STATE

(361) GEORGIA STATE at (362) ARKANSAS STATE
Actual Home Line: ARKANSAS STATE +2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: ARKANSAS STATE +8.2
Difference: 5.7, Favors – GEORGIA STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: ARKANSAS STATE +5.6
Difference: 3.1, Favors – GEORGIA STATE

(353) BOWLING GREEN at (354) BUFFALO
Actual Home Line: BUFFALO -3.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: BUFFALO +2
Difference: 5.5, Favors – BOWLING GREEN
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: BUFFALO +2.5
Difference: 6, Favors – BOWLING GREEN

(349) EASTERN MICHIGAN at (350) OHIO U
Actual Home Line: OHIO U -12.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: OHIO U -17.9
Difference: 5.4, Favors – OHIO U
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: OHIO U -16.5
Difference: 4, Favors – OHIO U

(339) WESTERN MICHIGAN at (340) TOLEDO
Actual Home Line: TOLEDO -3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TOLEDO -8.3
Difference: 5.3, Favors – TOLEDO
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TOLEDO -13.7
Difference: 10.7, Favors – TOLEDO

(305) SOUTH ALABAMA at (306) MARSHALL
Actual Home Line: MARSHALL +2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: MARSHALL -1.6
Difference: 4.1, Favors – MARSHALL
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: MARSHALL -3
Difference: 5.5, Favors – MARSHALL

(345) MIAMI (OH) at (346) CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Actual Home Line: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: CENTRAL MICHIGAN -1.5
Difference: 4, Favors – CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +3.5
Difference: 1, Favors – MIAMI (OH)

(359) LA MONROE at (360) TROY
Actual Home Line: TROY -14.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TROY -10.6
Difference: 3.9, Favors – LA MONROE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TROY -15.5
Difference: 1, Favors – TROY

(413) NORTH DAKOTA STATE at (414) NEW MEXICO
Actual Home Line: NEW MEXICO -4.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: NEW MEXICO -1.2
Difference: 3.3, Favors – NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: NEW MEXICO -4.2
Difference: 0.3, Favors – NORTH DAKOTA STATE

(399) CALIFORNIA at (400) SMU
Actual Home Line: SMU -19.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: SMU -16.2
Difference: 3.3, Favors – CALIFORNIA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: SMU -25.8
Difference: 6.3, Favors – SMU

(405) VANDERBILT at (406) KENTUCKY
Actual Home Line: KENTUCKY -10.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: KENTUCKY -13.8
Difference: 3.3, Favors – KENTUCKY
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: KENTUCKY -17.7
Difference: 7.2, Favors – KENTUCKY

(381) COLORADO at (382) OKLAHOMA STATE
Actual Home Line: OKLAHOMA STATE-12.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: OKLAHOMA STATE -15.5
Difference: 3, Favors – OKLAHOMA STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: OKLAHOMA STATE -12.4
Difference: 0.1, Favors – COLORADO

(407) BOISE STATE at (408) WASHINGTON STATE
Actual Home Line: WASHINGTON STATE +12.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: WASHINGTON STATE +9.6
Difference: 2.9, Favors – WASHINGTON STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: WASHINGTON STATE +5.6
Difference: 6.9, Favors – WASHINGTON STATE

(309) NEW MEXICO STATE at (310) SAM HOUSTON STATE
Actual Home Line: SAM HOUSTON STATE +3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: SAM HOUSTON STATE +5.7
Difference: 2.7, Favors – NEW MEXICO STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: SAM HOUSTON STATE +1.9
Difference: 1.1, Favors – SAM HOUSTON STATE

(315) EAST CAROLINA at (316) MEMPHIS
Actual Home Line: MEMPHIS -10
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: MEMPHIS -7.3
Difference: 2.7, Favors – EAST CAROLINA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: MEMPHIS -12.5
Difference: 2.5, Favors – MEMPHIS

(351) BYU at (352) UCF
Actual Home Line: UCF +6.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: UCF +9.2
Difference: 2.7, Favors – BYU
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: UCF +11.2
Difference: 4.7, Favors – BYU

(409) SAN DIEGO STATE at (410) COLORADO STATE
Actual Home Line: COLORADO STATE -1.1
Difference: 2.6, Favors – COLORADO STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: COLORADO STATE +1
Difference: 0.5, Favors – COLORADO STATE

(347) AKRON at (348) KENT STATE
Actual Home Line: KENT STATE -3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: KENT STATE -5.3
Difference: 2.3, Favors – KENT STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: KENT STATE -5.2
Difference: 2.2, Favors – KENT STATE

(317) MASSACHUSETTS at (318) CONNECTICUT
Actual Home Line: CONNECTICUT -14.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: CONNECTICUT -12.4
Difference: 2.1, Favors – MASSACHUSETTS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: CONNECTICUT -10.7
Difference: 3.8, Favors – MASSACHUSETTS

(383) HOUSTON at (384) UTAH
Actual Home Line: UTAH -6.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: UTAH -4.4
Difference: 2.1, Favors – HOUSTON
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: UTAH -5.7
Difference: 0.8, Favors – HOUSTON

(415) LIBERTY at (416) KENNESAW STATE
Actual Home Line: KENNESAW STATE +10
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: KENNESAW STATE +8
Difference: 2, Favors – KENNESAW STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: KENNESAW STATE +6.7
Difference: 3.3, Favors – KENNESAW STATE

(369) TX-SAN ANTONIO at (370) TULANE
Actual Home Line: TULANE +2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TULANE +0.5
Difference: 2, Favors – TULANE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TULANE -0.5
Difference: 3, Favors – TULANE

(303) MISSOURI STATE at (304) DELAWARE
Actual Home Line: DELAWARE -3
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: DELAWARE -1.2
Difference: 1.8, Favors – MISSOURI STATE
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: DELAWARE -2
Difference: 1, Favors – MISSOURI STATE

(355) TENNESSEE at (356) SOUTH CAROLINA
Actual Home Line: SOUTH CAROLINA -2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: SOUTH CAROLINA -4.3
Difference: 1.8, Favors – SOUTH CAROLINA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: SOUTH CAROLINA -4.2
Difference: 1.7, Favors – SOUTH CAROLINA

(313) JAMES MADISON at (314) APPALACHIAN STATE
Actual Home Line: APPALACHIAN STATE +10.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: APPALACHIAN STATE +12
Difference: 1.5, Favors – JAMES MADISON
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: APPALACHIAN STATE +7.6
Difference: 2.9, Favors – APPALACHIAN STATE

(377) IOWA at (378) MINNESOTA
Actual Home Line: MINNESOTA +7
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: MINNESOTA +5.5
Difference: 1.5, Favors – MINNESOTA
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: MINNESOTA +17
Difference: 10, Favors – IOWA

(397) NORTH TEXAS at (398) NAVY
Actual Home Line: NAVY +2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: NAVY +3.6
Difference: 1.1, Favors – NORTH TEXAS
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: NAVY +6.8
Difference: 4.3, Favors – NORTH TEXAS

(367) VIRGINIA TECH at (368) CLEMSON
Actual Home Line: CLEMSON -2.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: CLEMSON -1.6
Difference: 0.9, Favors – VIRGINIA TECH
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: CLEMSON -1
Difference: 1.5, Favors – VIRGINIA TECH

(329) BOSTON COLLEGE at (330) GEORGIA TECH
Actual Home Line: GEORGIA TECH -4
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: GEORGIA TECH -4.7
Difference: 0.7, Favors – GEORGIA TECH
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: GEORGIA TECH -6.5
Difference: 2.5, Favors – GEORGIA TECH

(321) ARMY at (322) TULSA
Actual Home Line: TULSA -1.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TULSA -1
Difference: 0.5, Favors – ARMY
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TULSA -1
Difference: 0.5, Favors – ARMY

(411) UTAH STATE at (412) TEXAS STATE  
Actual Home Line: TEXAS STATE -13.5
Effective Play-by-play Home Line: TEXAS STATE -13.7
Difference: 0.2, Favors – TEXAS STATE 
Effective FORECASTED Play-by-play Home Line: TEXAS STATE -16.3
Difference: 2.8, Favors – TEXAS STATE

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Steve Makinen
Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.

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