The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 10. This report emulates the process Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team use to handicap each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Higher-ranked home teams playing as single-digit favorites or underdogs against a worse-ranked opponent have gone 70-30 SU and 62-35-3 ATS (63.9%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (-5.5 vs BYU)

* Favorites are on an extended 19-1 SU and 18-2 ATS run in the Tulsa-Tulane series
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (-1.5 at Tulane)

* NOTRE DAME is 24-6 ATS (80%) as a single-digit favorite since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): NOTRE DAME (-6 vs Miami FL)

* Teams that have lost their last three games SU and ATS, all in conference play, have gone just 66-96 ATS (40.7%) when hosting a conference foe in the next game.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MISSISSIPPI STATE (-3 vs Vanderbilt), UTEP (+9.5 vs Hawaii)

* Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play against team, 33-51 ATS (39.3%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): TROY (+4.5 vs Louisiana Tech)

* Teams coming off losses in which they were road dogs of less than three points are just 72-123 ATS (36.9%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): UCONN (+7 vs North Carolina), WISCONSIN (-17.5 vs Rutgers), TENNESSEE (-6.5 vs Kentucky)

* PURDUE is 1-15 ATS (6.3%) as a conference home favorite since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): PURDUE (-6.5 vs Maryland)

* Under the total is 77-51-1 (60.2%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLEMSON-SYRACUSE (spread SYR +2.5, o/u at 50.5)

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS: WESTERN KENTUCKY +1.5 at MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (projections have line at WKU -4)

College Football Systems Based On AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB Ranked Team System #1 – Games featuring two ranked teams
In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are now 237-123 SU and 206-145-9 ATS (58.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UTAH (-5.5 vs BYU), MISSOURI (+2.5 vs Texas), LSU (-5.5 vs Alabama), TENNESSEE (-6.5 vs Kentucky), NOTRE DAME (-6 vs Miami FL), OLE MISS (+3.5 vs Georgia)

Digging deeper into that data, when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 132-34 SU and 99-63-4 ATS (61.1%).
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (-5.5 vs BYU)

Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 70-30 SU and 62-35-3 ATS (63.9%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (-5.5 vs BYU)

CFB Ranked Team System #5: Unranked teams favored over ranked teams in Power 4 conference games boast a record of 66-33 SU and 55-40-4 ATS (57.9%) dating to November 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NORTHWESTERN (-2.5 vs Iowa)

CFB Ranked Team System #6: Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 371-29 SU but just 175-221-4 ATS (44.2%) versus unranked conference opponents since October 2015.
System Match (FADE): TEXAS TECH (-17.5 vs West Virginia)

CFB Ranked Team System #7: Unranked teams on the road versus a ranked team and playing as favorites or underdogs of seven or fewer points have gone 95-59 Under the total (61.7%) dating back to October 2016.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): TEXAS A&M-SOUTH CAROLINA (spread SC -7, o/u at 51.5), OKLAHOMA-FLORIDA (spread UF -6, o/u at 44.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #9: Teams coming off a loss at home to a top-10 ranked team are just 146-152 SU and 132-164-2 ATS (44.6%) in the next game since October of 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NORTH CAROLINA (-7 at UConn), CINCINNATI (+11.5 at Houston)

CFB Ranked Team System #11: Ranked teams coming off a close win of seven points or fewer where they didn’t cover the point spread are on a 236-55 SU and 167-121-3 ATS (58%) surge when favored in the next game since October of 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW MEXICO (-9.5 at Nevada), BOISE STATE (-17.5 at Colorado State)

CFB Ranked Team System #12: Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 70-30 SU and 59-40-1 ATS (59.6%) in the next game since November of 2021.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OHIO STATE (-7.5 vs Oregon), FLORIDA (-6 vs Oklahoma)

CFB Ranked Team System #15: Teams coming off a win over a ranked team and playing another ranked team are just 75-109 SU and 78-103-3 ATS (43.1%) since September 2019. These teams are also 90-51 Under the total (63.8%) in these next contests dating back to September of 2021.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OREGON (+7.5 at Ohio State), GEORGIA (-3.5 at Ole Miss)
System Match (PLAY UNDER ALL): OREGON-OHIO STATE (o/u at 46.5), GEORGIA-OLE MISS (o/u at 56.5)

These detail top trends and systems for college football conference play.

* Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 91-125 ATS (42.1%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): RICE (+16.5 at North Texas), OKLAHOMA STATE (-4.5 at Kansas State), TEXAS STATE (+6.5 at Oregon State)

* Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 154-132 ATS (53.8%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): RICE (+16.5 at North Texas), MICHIGAN STATE (+13.5 at Michigan), WEST VIRGINIA (+16.5 at Texas Tech)
* WATCH FOR TEXAS A&M at SOUTH CAROLINA (+7 CURRENTLY) *

* Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 33-51 ATS (39.3%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): TROY (+4.5 vs LA Tech)

* Conference home favorites coming off a double-digit conference loss are just 224-301 ATS (42.9%) since 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): UMASS (-3 vs Ball State), AUBURN (-10.5 vs Arkansas), FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-4.5 vs Missouri State), OHIO STATE (-7 vs Oregon), PURDUE (-6.5 vs Maryland), APPALACHIAN STATE (-5.5 vs Georgia State), UAB (-8.5 vs Charlotte), FLORIDA (-6 vs Oklahoma), MISSISSIPPI STATE (-3 vs Vanderbilt), WISCONSIN (-17.5 vs Rutgers), MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (-1.5 vs W Kentucky), OREGON STATE (-6.5 vs Texas State)

* Teams playing in a home conference game after losing and yielding 48+ points to another conference rival the previous game are just 78-108 ATS (41.9%) since 2020.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+7 vs UTSA), FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-4.5 vs Missouri State)

* Teams playing as road underdogs in conference play after a game in which they turned the ball over 4+ times have been huge Under plays on totals, 132-89 (59.7%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): OLD DOMINION-COASTAL CAROLINA (o/u at 43.5), ARKANSAS-AUBURN (o/u at 52.5)

* Big Ten road favorites of -4 or less have gone 31-13 SU and 27-16-1 ATS (62.8%) in conference play since 2021.
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR NEBRASKA at ILLINOIS (-4.5 CURRENTLY)

* Big Ten home favorites in the -17 to -30.5 line range with a total of <= 56 have gone Under the total at a 43-21 (67.2%) rate in conference play since 2017.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): RUTGERS-WISCONSIN (spread WIS -17.5, o/u at 45.5)

* Over the total is 22-9 (71%) in SEC non-neutral expected-tight matchups (within a field goal -3 to +3) with totals <= 51.5 since 2021.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): TEXAS-MISSOURI (spread MIZ +2.5, o/u at 42.5), VANDERBILT-MISSISSIPPI STATE (spread MSST -3, o/u at 48.5)

* Under the total is 77-51-1 (60.2%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLEMSON-SYRACUSE (spread SYR +2.5, o/u at 50.5)

* Under the total is 32-13-1 (71.1%) in ACC matchups with spreads >= 13-points and totals >= 60.5 since 2016.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): LOUISVILLE-GEORGIA TECH (spread GT +14.5, o/u at 61.5)

* Home underdogs of > 10 points on Tues/Wed Night MACtion have gone Over the total at a 16-4-1 (80%) rate since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): OHIO-AKRON (spread AKRON +12.5, o/u at 51.5), TOLEDO-SACRAMENTO STATE (spread SAC STATE +25.5, o/u at 53.5)

* Favorites in the -16.5 to -30.5 line range on Tues/Wed Night MACtion are 22-6 (78.6%) ATS since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): TOLEDO (-25.5 at Sacramento State)

* AAC FAVORITES in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 122-19 SU and 78-57-6 ATS (57.8%) in conference play since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UTSA (-7 at FAU), UAB (-8.5 vs Charlotte), NAVY (-7.5 vs Temple)

* Favorites of >= 4 points on MWC Friday Nights have gone 57-6 SU (~+35.53 units) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NEW MEXICO ML (-375 at Nevada)

* Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 58-33-1 (63.7%) rate since 2015.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): JAMES MADISON-SOUTHERN MISS (o/u at 58.5)

* Sun Belt small home favorites/pick-’ems in the PK to -5.5 line range and totals within the 52.5-65 range have had these totals go Under at a 45-21 (68.2%) rate since 2015.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): GEORGIA STATE-APPALACHIAN STATE (spread APP -5.5, o/u at 55.5)

* Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 74-30 SU and 63-41 ATS (60.6%) in conference play since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA TECH (-4.5 at Troy)

* Under the total is 60-43-1 (58.3%) in Conference USA expected-tight matchups (-3 to +2.5 line range) since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DELAWARE-KENNESAW STATE (spread KENN +1.5, o/u at 56.5), WESTERN KENTUCKY-MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (spread MTSU -1.5, o/u at 53.5)

Negative FADE trends:
HAWAII is just 5-20 ATS in its last 25 conference games when favored by single digits
Trend Match (FADE): HAWAII (-9.5 at UTEP)

NEBRASKA is just 5-14-2 ATS in its last 21 games as a Big Ten favorite
Trend Match (FADE): NEBRASKA (-4.5 at Illinois)

TEMPLE is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 conference games when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (FADE): TEMPLE (+7.5 at Navy)

AKRON is on a 9-16 ATS skid in MAC play when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (FADE): AKRON (+12.5 vs Ohio)

Positive FOLLOW trends:
BOISE STATE is a perfect 12-0 ATS in conference play when coming off a close win of seven points or fewer
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-17.5 at Colorado State)

OLD DOMINION has won 11 of its last 19 games ATS as a conference underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+7 at Coastal Carolina)

TROY is on a 21-6 ATS run in Sun Belt play when coming off a win
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+4.5 vs LA Tech)

GEORGIA STATE is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 16-9 ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (+5.5 at Appalachian State)

NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 17-7 ATS conference road underdog in its last 24 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+10 at San Jose State)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game that was decided by a margin of 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next game, going just 156-201-1 ATS (43.7%) over the last decade-plus.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BOSTON COLLEGE (+6.5 vs Florida State), DUKE (-4.5 at NC State)

Playing well offensively but losing a good sign for next outing
College football teams that lost a game as an underdog despite gaining 550 or more yards on offense have bounced back well lately, going 64-48-2 ATS (57.1%) over the last 13 years.
System Match (PLAY): RICE (+16.5 at North Texas)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders
Over the last 13 years, CFB teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 91-70-2 ATS (56.5%) in the follow-up game.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): VIRGINIA TECH (+6 at SMU), SOUTH FLORIDA (+1.5 at East Carolina)

Road favorites struggle when coming off a close loss
Road favorites coming off a close loss of 10 points or fewer are just 79-114 ATS (40.9%) since 2022. Over the total is also 114-82 (58.2%) in these games.
System Matches (FADE ALL): JAMES MADISON (-14.5 at Southern Miss), NEBRASKA (-4.5 at Illinois), TULSA (-1.5 at Tulane), NORTH CAROLINA (-7 at UConn), OKLAHOMA STATE (-4.5 at Kansas State)

Road underdogs solid when coming off a blowout loss
Road underdogs of +27 or fewer are 129-75 ATS (63.2%) coming off a loss of 27 points or more since 2022. Under the total is also 115-89 (56.4%) in these games.
System Match (PLAY): UCF (+2.5 at Kansas)

Big upsets turn into focused defensive efforts next time out
Teams coming off a road conference upset loss in which they were favored by -7 or more have been big Under the total teams, 70-52 (57.4%) since 2021.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): VIRGINIA TECH-SMU (o/u at 55.5), SOUTH ALABAMA-LOUISIANA (o/u at 57.5), OKLAHOMA STATE-KANSAS STATE (o/u at 61.5)

Small road underdog losses can be demoralizing
Teams coming off losses in which they were road dogs of less than three points are just 72-123 ATS (36.9%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): UCONN (+7 vs North Carolina), WISCONSIN (-17.5 vs Rutgers), TENNESSEE (-6.5 vs Kentucky)

Home favorites off a small conference upset haven’t been good bets
Teams coming off outright conference upsets when a dog of +3 points or fewer are just 68-101 ATS (40.2%) when favored at home in the follow-up game.
System Match (FADE): ARKANSAS STATE (-14.5 vs Louisiana-Monroe)

CFB Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors

The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action.

CFB Streaks Betting System #1: Teams that have lost their last two games outright but won both ATS have been bad bets when playing as underdogs again in the next contest, going 57-85 ATS (40.1%) since 2017.
System Match (FADE): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+1.5 vs Eastern Michigan)

CFB Streaks Betting System #3: Teams that have won back-to-back conference games both SU and ATS while being defensively dominant (<12 PPG allowed in those two games) have been tremendous when playing on the road in the next game, 61-35 ATS (63.5%) since 2019.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DUKE (-4.5 at NC State), LOUISIANA TECH (-4.5 at Troy), LIBERTY (-16.5 at New Mexico State)

CFB Streaks Betting System #4: Teams that have won and covered three straight conference games are just 27-43 ATS (38.6%) in their last 70 games when going out of conference for the next game.
System Match (FADE): WAKE FOREST (vs Merrimack)

CFB Streaks Betting System #5: Teams that have lost their last three games SU and ATS, all in conference play, have gone just 66-96 ATS (40.7%) when hosting a conference foe in the next game.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MISSISSIPPI STATE (-3 vs Vanderbilt), UTEP (+9.5 vs Hawaii)

CFB Streaks Betting System #6: Teams either on a four-game ATS winning streak or ATS losing streak have been bad bets as small favorites (-4.5 or shorter) in the next contest, going just 93-105 SU and 78-117-3 ATS (40%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): MISSISSIPPI STATE (-3 vs Vanderbilt)
* WATCH FOR UCLA at MINNESOTA (-5.5 CURRENTLY) *

CFB Streaks Betting System #7: Road/Neutral teams who have won their last four ATS have been solid bets as larger favorites (-7.5 or higher) in the next game, going 88-19 SU and 58-45-4 ATS (56.3%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): LIBERTY (-16.5 at New Mexico State)

CFB Streaks Betting System #8: Home teams coming off of four straight SU losses but are now favored by more than a field goal (-3.5 or higher) have performed well, going 78-18 SU and 59-35-2 ATS (62.8%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR UMASS vs BALL STATE (-3 CURRENTLY) and MISSISSIPPI STATE vs Vanderbilt (-3 CURRENTLY)

CFB Streaks Betting System #10: Teams coming off of four straight SU wins and playing a non-conference opponent that has a better scoring defense on the year have ended up meeting their match, going just 32-57 SU and 36-51-2 ATS (41.4%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI FL (+6 at Notre Dame)

CFB Streaks Betting System #11: Teams coming off four straight SU wins and are now playing as a large underdog (+7 or more) to a conference opponent with a better scoring defense on the year have meant heavy Unders – 44-22 (66.7%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE (+6.5 CURRENTLY, O/U at 50.5)

CFB Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for CFB teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios.

CFB Team Strength Betting System #2:
In matchups with a win-loss record difference of 5+ wins, the better team is on an 89-53 ATS (62.7%) surge since 2016 when the line is not -21 or higher.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OHIO (-12.5 at Akron), NORTH TEXAS (-16.5 vs Rice), JACKSONVILLE STATE (-16.5 vs Sam Houston State)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best and worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined as having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best and Worst College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

Best
* COASTAL CAROLINA is 13-14 SU and 16-11 ATS (59.3%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): COASTAL CAROLINA (-7 vs Old Dominion)

* LSU is 18-10 SU and 16-10 ATS (61.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-5.5 vs Alabama)

* UTAH is 17-10 SU and 18-9 ATS (66.7%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH (-5.5 vs BYU)

* FRESNO STATE is 15-13 SU and 17-9 ATS (65.4%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (-2.5 at Utah State)

* KENTUCKY is 19-25 SU but 26-18 ATS (59.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+6.5 at Tennessee)

* BUFFALO is 16-16 SU and 21-10-1 ATS (67.7%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (+6.5 at Miami OH)

* TULSA is 12-27 SU but 22-16 ATS (57.9%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (-1.5 at Tulane)

Worst
* MARSHALL is 14-12 SU but 10-16 ATS (38.5%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): MARSHALL (+10.5 at Georgia Southern)

College football revenge systems

Neutral field underdogs are great in revenge
Since the start of the 2016 season, neutral field underdogs playing in revenge mode have gone 59-38 ATS (60.8%).
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR EASTERN MICHIGAN vs CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-1.5 CURRENTLY)

Road revenge line range angle that has thrived
Teams who lost as underdogs but are now seeking revenge as road favorites of -4.5 or higher have performed well, going 55-13 SU and 42-25-1 ATS (62.7%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA STATE (-4.5 at Kansas State)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses in which they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 123-137 ATS (47.3%) since 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MARSHALL (+10.5 at Georgia Southern), CLEMSON (-2.5 at Syracuse)

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 234-186 ATS (55.7%) since 2016.
System Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS STATE (-14.5 vs Louisiana-Monroe)

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* AIR FORCE is 35-21 (62.5%) ATS in non-conference games since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): AIR FORCE (+3 at Army)

* OHIO U is 28-17 ATS (62.2%) in conference games over the last five seasons
* AKRON is 20-33-1 (37.7%) ATS at home since 2016
Trends Match (PLAY): OHIO (-13.5 at Akron)

* GEORGIA STATE is 24-16-1 (60%) ATS in its last 41 road/neutral games
* APPALACHIAN STATE is 11-28 ATS (28.2%) in its last 39 games as a favorite
Trends Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (+5.5 at Appalachian State)

* ARIZONA STATE is 11-4 (73.3%) ATS in the last 15 games as a favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA STATE (-3 vs Colorado)


* ARKANSAS is 21-14 (60%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS (+10.5 at Auburn)

* BALL STATE is 43-33-1 (56.6%) Under the total over the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BALL STATE-UMASS (o/u at 49.5)

* BOISE STATE is 10-0 to the Under (100%) in their last 10 road regular-season finales
* COLORADO STATE is 18-12-1 to the Under (60%) in home games since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): BOISE STATE-COLORADO STATE (o/u at 68.5)

* FLORIDA STATE is 13-27 (32.5%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2019
* FLORIDA STATE is 15-29-1 (34.1%) ATS in conference games since 2021
* BOSTON COLLEGE is 33-19 (63.5%) ATS in conference games since 2020
Trends Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+6.5 vs Florida State)

* BYU is 13-4 to the Over (76.5%) as a road underdog since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): BYU-UTAH (o/u at 48.5)

* CINCINNATI is 8-21 ATS (27.6%) as an underdog since 2021
* CINCINNATI is 12-26 (31.6%) ATS in conference games since 2022
Trends Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (+11.5 at Houston)

* CLEMSON is 28-15 (65.1%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEMSON (-2.5 at Syracuse)

* EASTERN MICHIGAN is 44-23 (65.7%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): EASTERN MICHIGAN (-1.5 vs Central Michigan)

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 20-33-1 (37.7%) in conference games over the last seven seasons
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-4.5 vs Missouri State)

* FRESNO STATE is 43-29-1 (59.7%) Under the total since 2021
* FRESNO STATE is 29-15 (65.9%) ATS coming off SU win since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY FRESNO STATE (-2.5 at Utah State), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 42.5)

* GEORGIA is 29-18 (61.7%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2020
* GEORGIA is 15-25 (37.5%) ATS in the last 40 games following a SU win
* OLE MISS is 5-0 ATS as home underdog since 2021
Trends Match (SLIGHT PLAY): OLE MISS (+3.5 vs Georgia)

* GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 25-7 ATS (78.1%) as a home favorite since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-10.5 vs Marshall)

* HAWAII is 16-29 (35.6%) ATS as a favorite since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): HAWAII (-9.5 at UTEP)

* IOWA STATE is 21-11 (62.5%) ATS as an underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): IOWA (+10 at Baylor)

* JAMES MADISON is 35-21 (63.6%) ATS as a favorite since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): JAMES MADISON (-14.5 at Southern Miss)

* KANSAS is 9-21 (30%) ATS as a favorite since 2018
* KANSAS is 46-32-1 (59%) Over the total since 2019
Trends Match: FADE KANSAS (-2.5 vs UCF), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 48.5)

* KANSAS STATE is 14-9-1 ATS (60.9%) following up a SU loss in the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS STATE (+4.5 vs Oklahoma State)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 46-34-1 (57.5%) Over the total since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LOUISIANA TECH-TROY (o/u at 47.5)

* MIAMI OH is 10-2 ATS (83.3%) as a home favorite in conference games since 2023
* MIAMI OHIO is on a 44-34-1 (56.4%) Under the total run over the last six seasons
Trends Match: PLAY MIAMI OH (-6 vs Buffalo), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 45.5)

* MISSISSIPPI STATE is 23-16 (59%) ATS at home since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): MISSISSIPPI STATE (-3 vs Vanderbilt)

* MISSOURI is 2-22 SU in its last 24 games vs top-10 SEC teams
Trend Match (FADE): MISSOURI ML (+120 vs Texas)

* NORTH CAROLINA is 3-11-1 (21.4%) ATS in its last 15 as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): NORTH CAROLINA (-7 at UConn)

* NC STATE is 10-3 ATS (76.9%) as a home underdog since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): NC STATE (+4.5 vs Duke)

* NOTRE DAME is 24-6 ATS (80%) as a single-digit favorite since 2018
* NOTRE DAME is 35-18-1 ATS (66%) vs ACC opponents since 2017
Trends Match (PLAY): NOTRE DAME (-6 vs Miami FL)

* OREGON STATE is 33-15 (68.8%) ATS in home games over the last seven seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (-6.5 vs Texas State)

* PENN STATE is 38-25 (60.3%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2019
* WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (27.8%) following outright wins since 2024
Trends Match (PLAY): PENN STATE (+2.5 at Washington)

* PURDUE is 1-15 ATS (6.3%) as a home conference favorite since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): PURDUE (-6.5 vs Maryland)

* RUTGERS is 31-13 to the Under (70.5%) in road games since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): RUTGERS-WISCONSIN (o/u at 45.5)

* TEXAS A&M is 7-16 SU and 7-15-2 ATS (31.8%) in road games since 2021
* SOUTH CAROLINA is 19-13 (59.4%) ATS as a favorite in the last six seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): SOUTH CAROLINA (-7 vs Texas A&M)

* TEMPLE is 25-15-1 (62.5%) ATS coming off SU loss since 2020
* TEMPLE is 11-20 (35.5%) ATS in road games over the last five seasons
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TEMPLE (+7.5 at Navy)

* TEXAS TECH is 25-9 ATS (73.5%) in their last 34 games as double-digit favorites
Trend Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-17.5 vs West Virginia)

* TULSA is 28-18-1 (60.9%) ATS in road/neutral games over the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (-1.5 at Tulane)

* UAB is 24-15 (61.5%) ATS at home since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): UAB (-8.5 vs Charlotte)

* UNLV is on a 26-14 (65%) ATS run following a SU win
Trend Match (PLAY): UNLV (-6 vs Wyoming)

* UTEP is 10-28 (26.3%) ATS at home since 2020
Trend Match (FADE): UTEP (+9.5 vs Hawaii)

* VIRGINIA TECH is 11-26 (29.7%) ATS in its last 37 games after a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): VIRGINIA TECH (+6 at SMU)

* WESTERN KENTUCKY is 14-2 ATS (87.5%) in its last 16 games as an underdog of <= 3 points
Trend Match (PLAY): WESTERN KENTUCKY (+1.5 at Middle Tennessee State)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(301) BUFFALO at (302) MIAMI OHIO
* Favorites are 16-1 SU and 14-2-1 ATS in the last 17 of the Buffalo-Miami OH MAC series
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI OHIO (-6 vs Buffalo)

(305) CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs (306) EASTERN MICHIGAN
* Favorites are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): EASTERN MICHIGAN (-1.5 vs Central Michigan)

(319) SOUTH FLORIDA at (320) EAST CAROLINA
* Road teams are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six of the USF-ECU series
Trend Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (+1.5 at East Carolina)

(321) NEBRASKA at (322) ILLINOIS
* Underdogs are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): ILLINOIS (+4.5 vs Nebraska)

(323) NEW MEXICO at (302) NEVADA
* Under the total is 7-2 in the Lobos-Wolfpack series since 2007
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NEW MEXICO-NEVADA (o/u at 37.5)

(331) FLORIDA STATE at (332) BOSTON COLLEGE
* Underdogs are 8-10 SU but 13-5 ATS in the last 18 of this ACC series
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON COLLEGE (+6.5 vs Florida State)

(339) GEORGIA STATE at (340) APPALACHIAN STATE
* APPALACHIAN STATE has dominated Georgia State, going 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS in action since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): APPALACHIAN STATE (-5.5 vs Georgia State)

(347) CLEMSON at (348) SYRACUSE
* Under the total has gone 5-1 in the last six of this series at Syracuse
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CLEMSON-SYRACUSE (o/u at 50.5)

(351) DUKE at (352) NC STATE
* DUKE is 5-4 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings with NC State
Trend Match (PLAY): DUKE (-4.5 at NC State)

(353) IOWA at (354) NORTHWESTERN
* Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of this Big Ten rivalry in Evanston
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): IOWA-NORTHWESTERN (o/u at 45.5)

(355) OKLAHOMA STATE at (356) KANSAS STATE
* Home teams have covered the last eight matchups between OK STATE and KSU (6-2 SU)
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS STATE (+4.5 vs Oklahoma State)

(357) CINCINNATI at (358) HOUSTON
* CINCINNATI is 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 games with Houston
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+11.5 at HOU)

(363) ARKANSAS at (364) AUBURN
* Over the total is 10-2 in the last 12 of this SEC series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): ARKANSAS-AUBURN (o/u at 52.5)
* Road teams have covered seven straight in overall set as well (6-1 SU)
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS (+10.5 at Auburn)

(365) COLORADO at (366) ARIZONA STATE
* ARIZONA STATE is 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight games hosting Colorado
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA STATE (-3 vs Colorado)

(369) BYU at (370) UTAH
* Underdogs are 1-4 SU but 5-0 ATS in the last five of the Holy War in Salt Lake City
Trend Match (PLAY): BYU (+5.5 at Utah)

(377) LOUISIANA-MONROE at (378) ARKANSAS STATE
* Before last year’s SU and ATS loss, ARKANSAS STATE had won and covered fifteen straight meetings with Louisiana-Monroe
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS STATE (-14.5 vs Louisiana-Monroe)

(379) GEORGIA at (380) OLE MISS
* Home teams are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last eight non-neutral meetings between Georgia and Ole Miss
Trend Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (+3.5 vs Georgia)

(383) WEST VIRGINIA at (384) TEXAS TECH
* TEXAS TECH is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games with WVU
Trend Match (PLAY): TEXAS TECH (-17.5 vs West Virginia)

(387) SOUTH ALABAMA at (388) LOUISIANA
* Underdogs are on 4-5 SU but 8-1 ATS surge in Jaguars-Ragin’ Cajuns series
Trend Match (PLAY): SOUTH ALABAMA (+8.5 at Louisiana)

(389) TULSA at (390) TULANE
* Favorites are on an extended 19-1 SU and 18-2 ATS run in this series
Trend Match (PLAY): TULSA (-1.5 at Tulane)

(391) VANDERBILT at (392) MISSISSIPPI STATE
* Under the total is a perfect 7-0 in Commodores-Bulldogs set since 2003
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): VANDERBILT-MISSISSIPPI STATE (o/u at 48.5)

(393) RICE at (394) NORTH TEXAS
* Road teams are 5-4 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine of the Owls-Mean Green series
Trend Match (PLAY): RICE (+16.5 at North Texas)

(401) WESTERN KENTUCKY at (402) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
* WKU is on runs of 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in series with MTSU
Trend Match (PLAY): WESTERN KENTUCKY (+1.5 at Middle Tennessee State)

(403) TEMPLE at (404) NAVY
* Over the total has converted in six straight matchups between Temple and Navy
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TEMPLE-NAVY (o/u at 54.5)

(411) KENTUCKY at (412) TENNESSEE
* Road teams are 6-5 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of Wildcats-Volunteers SEC rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): KENTUCKY (+6.5 at Tennessee)

(413) BOISE STATE at (414) COLORADO STATE
* BOISE STATE is 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 versus CSU
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (-17.5 at Colorado State)

(417) AIR FORCE at (418) ARMY
* Under the total has converted in 12 straight meetings between Air Force and Army
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): AIR FORCE-ARMY (o/u at 45.5)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 3:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 659-724 ATS (47.7%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): TOLEDO, UMASS, EASTERN MICHIGAN, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, SOUTH FLORIDA, IOWA STATE, FLORIDA STATE, MINNESOTA, CLEMSON, TULANE, BYU, OKLAHOMA STATE, OLD DOMINION, APPALACHIAN STATE, ARKANSAS STATE, TEXAS A&M, DELAWARE, CINCINNATI, ALABAMA, WESTERN KENTUCKY, TEMPLE, UAB, KANSAS, MISSOURI STATE, NORTH TEXAS, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, LOUISIANA, JACKSONVILLE STATE, ARIZONA STATE, LOUISVILLE, LIBERTY, WEST VIRGINIA, FRESNO STATE, WYOMING

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 292-312 ATS (48.3%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, in 2024 it was 46.6%. Last year it was six games over-.500.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARKANSAS STATE, UAB, NORTH TEXAS, SAN JOSE STATE, LOUISIANA, JACKSONVILLE STATE, ARIZONA STATE, FLORIDA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 421-477 ATS (46.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): OHIO, TOLEDO, JAMES MADISON, NEW MEXICO, FLORIDA STATE, NORTH CAROLINA, TEXAS, CLEMSON, DUKE, OKLAHOMA STATE, DELAWARE, LOUISVILLE, GEORGIA, LIBERTY, FRESNO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 68%+ majority of the handle was on small home favorites of seven points or fewer for an ATS wager since the start of the 2023 season, this majority group is 99-77 ATS (56.3%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UMASS, APPALACHIAN STATE, KANSAS, MISSISSIPPI STATE, ARIZONA STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 179-161-2 ATS (52.6%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SOUTH FLORIDA, TCU, IOWA STATE, BYU, MARYLAND, OLD DOMINION, TEXAS A&M, CINCINNATI, ALABAMA, WESTERN KENTUCKY, TEMPLE, MISSOURI STATE, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, RUTGERS, AIR FORCE, OKLAHOMA, WEST VIRGINIA, WYOMING

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past four seasons, this majority group has gone 172-147-1 ATS (53.9%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SOUTH FLORIDA, IOWA STATE, BYU, TEXAS A&M, ALABAMA, TEMPLE, PENN STATE, RUTGERS, KENTUCKY, MICHIGAN STATE, MIAMI FL, WEST VIRGINIA, TEXAS STATE, WYOMING

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their record since the start of 2022 is 318-269 (54.2%). This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OHIO, MIAMI OH, TOLEDO, UMASS, EASTERN MICHIGAN, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, JAMES MADISON, SMU, SOUTH FLORIDA, ILLINOIS, NEW MEXICO, ARIZONA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 68-53 (56.2%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): CINCINNATI-HOUSTON, LOUISVILLE-GEORGIA TECH

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 80-63 (55.9%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NEW MEXICO-NEVADA, UCLA-MINNESOTA, TEXAS-MISSOURI, BYU-UTAH, OLD DOMINION-COASTAL CAROLINA, COLORADO-ARIZONA STATE, AIR FORCE-ARMY, MICHIGAN STATE-MICHIGAN, OKLAHOMA-FLORIDA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #11: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of BETS bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 226-204 (52.6%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): BUFFALO-MIAMI OH, CENTRAL MICHIGAN-EASTERN MICHIGAN, TCU-ARIZONA, OLD DOMINION-COASTAL CAROLINA, PENN STATE-WASHINGTON, RUTGERS-WISCONSIN, LIBERTY-NEW MEXICO STATE

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NCAAF tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED Underdogs according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WESTERN KENTUCKY +1.5 (+5.5)
2. MARYLAND +6.5 (+4.7)
3. RUTGERS +17.5 (+4.1)
4. NEW MEXICO STATE +16.5 (+3.7)
5. IOWA +2.5 (+3.6)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED Favorites according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ARIZONA STATE -3 (+6.6)
2. UAB -8.5 (+4.7)
3. ARKANSAS STATE -14.5 (+3.9)
4. UNLV -6 (+3.8)
5. UMASS -3 (+3.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED Underdogs according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OREGON +7.5 (+4.5)
2 (tie). MICHIGAN STATE +13.5 (+4.4)
LOUISIANA-MONROE +14.5 (+4.4)
4. SYRACUSE +2.5 (+4.2)
5. TCU +9.5 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED Favorites according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW MEXICO -9.5 (+7.2)
2. JAMES MADISON -14.5 (+5.2)
3. LOUISVILLE -14.5 (+4.0)
4. TEXAS -2.5 (+3.5)
5. MISSISSIPPI STATE -3 (+3.1)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). SOUTH FLORIDA-EAST CAROLINA OVER 39.5 (+6.6)
NEW MEXICO-NEVADA OVER 37.5 (+6.6)
3 (tie). BUFFALO-MIAMI OH OVER 45.5 (+6.3)
RUTGERS-WISCONSIN OVER 45.5 (+6.3)
5. AIR FORCE-ARMY OVER 45.5 (+5.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TEXAS STATE-OREGON STATE UNDER 72.5 (-8.6)
2. UTSA-FLORIDA ATLANTIC UNDER 73.5 (-7.6)
3. ALABAMA-LSU UNDER 52.5 (-4.4)
4. RICE-NORTH TEXAS UNDER 64.5 (-3.8)
5. ARKANSAS-AUBURN UNDER 52.5 (-3.3)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED Underdogs according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW MEXICO STATE +16.5 (+7.6)
2 (tie). UTEP +9.5 (+7.1)
ALABAMA +5.5 (+7.1)
4. GEORGIA STATE +5.5 (+6.8)
5. NC STATE +4.5 (+6.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED Favorites according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UNLV -6 (+8.7)
2. NORTH CAROLINA -7 (+7.4)
3. UAB -8.5 (+5.4)
4. SMU -6 (+4.8)
5. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -4.5 (+4.5)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. AIR FORCE-ARMY OVER 45.5 (+9.3)
2. NEW MEXICO-NEVADA OVER 37.5 (+6.6)
3. SOUTH FLORIDA-EAST CAROLINA OVER 39.5 (+5.8)
4. TEXAS-MISSOURI OVER 42.5 (+5.0)
5. CLEMSON-SYRACUSE OVER 49.5 (+4.3)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. UTSA-FLORIDA ATLANTIC UNDER 73.5 (-5.2)
2. TEMPLE-NAVY UNDER 54.5 (-4.6)
3. CINCINNATI-HOUSTON UNDER 62.5 (-3.6)
4. ARKANSAS-AUBURN UNDER 52.5 (-2.8)
5. DELAWARE-KENNESAW STATE UNDER 56.5 (-2.6)

Comparing Effective Yards Per Play Ratings to this Week’s Matchups

The following are taken from an article posted on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, looking at how Steve Makinen comes up with his ratings and any edges in games each weekend. Track these games to see how they fare, or back them already if you agree with the logic.

(395) TEXAS A&M at (396) SOUTH CAROLINA
Actual Line: SOUTH CAROLINA -7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SOUTH CAROLINA -22.4
Difference: 15.4 – Favors: SOUTH CAROLINA

(317) VIRGINIA TECH at (318) SMU
Actual Line: SMU -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SMU -20.8
Difference: 14.8 – Favors: SMU

(335) UCLA at (336) MINNESOTA
Actual Line: MINNESOTA 5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MINNESOTA 19.4
Difference: 13.9 – Favors: UCLA

(367) HAWAII at (368) UTEP
Actual Line: UTEP 9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTEP -3.6
Difference: 13.1 – Favors: UTEP

(301) BUFFALO at (302) MIAMI OHIO
Actual Line: MIAMI OHIO -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MIAMI OHIO -18.5
Difference: 12.5 – Favors: MIAMI OHIO

(349) LOUISVILLE at (350) GEORGIA TECH
Actual Line: GEORGIA TECH 14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GEORGIA TECH 26.7
Difference: 12.2 – Favors: LOUISVILLE

(313) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO at (314) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Actual Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC 7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FLORIDA ATLANTIC 17.8
Difference: 10.8 – Favors: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO

(305) CENTRAL MICHIGAN at (306) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Actual Line: EASTERN MICHIGAN -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: EASTERN MICHIGAN 9.2
Difference: 10.7 – Favors: CENTRAL MICHIGAN

(411) KENTUCKY at (412) TENNESSEE
Actual Line: TENNESSEE -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TENNESSEE 3.9
Difference: 10.4 – Favors: KENTUCKY

(357) CINCINNATI at (358) HOUSTON
Actual Line: HOUSTON -11.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: HOUSTON -1.2
Difference: 10.3 – Favors: CINCINNATI

(421) FRESNO STATE at (422) UTAH STATE
Actual Line: UTAH STATE 2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTAH STATE -6.9
Difference: 9.4 – Favors: UTAH STATE

(391) VANDERBILT at (392) MISSISSIPPI STATE
Actual Line: MISSISSIPPI STATE -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MISSISSIPPI STATE -12.2
Difference: 9.2 – Favors: MISSISSIPPI STATE

(337) MARSHALL at (338) GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Actual Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN -10.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GEORGIA SOUTHERN -19.4
Difference: 8.9 – Favors: GEORGIA SOUTHERN

(385) OREGON at (386) OHIO STATE
Actual Line: OHIO STATE -7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OHIO STATE -15
Difference: 8 – Favors: OHIO STATE

(387) SOUTH ALABAMA at (388) LOUISIANA
Actual Line: LOUISIANA -8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LOUISIANA -16
Difference: 7.5 – Favors: LOUISIANA

(307) BALL STATE at (308) MASSACHUSETTS
Actual Line: MASSACHUSETTS -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MASSACHUSETTS -10.4
Difference: 7.4 – Favors: MASSACHUSETTS

(309) TOLEDO at (310) SACRAMENTO STATE
Actual Line: SACRAMENTO STATE 25.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SACRAMENTO STATE 32.4
Difference: 6.9 – Favors: TOLEDO

(347) CLEMSON at (348) SYRACUSE
Actual Line: SYRACUSE 2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SYRACUSE -4.2
Difference: 6.7 – Favors: SYRACUSE

(363) ARKANSAS at (364) AUBURN
Actual Line: AUBURN -10.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: AUBURN -17
Difference: 6.5 – Favors: AUBURN

(379) GEORGIA at (380) OLE MISS
Actual Line: OLE MISS 3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OLE MISS 9.5
Difference: 6 – Favors: GEORGIA

(389) TULSA at (390) TULANE
Actual Line: TULANE 1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TULANE -4.3
Difference: 5.8 – Favors: TULANE

(409) LIBERTY at (410) NEW MEXICO STATE
Actual Line: NEW MEXICO STATE 16.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NEW MEXICO STATE 10.8
Difference: 5.7 – Favors: NEW MEXICO STATE

(323) NEW MEXICO at (324) NEVADA
Actual Line: NEVADA 9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NEVADA 4
Difference: 5.5 – Favors: NEVADA

(397) ALABAMA at (398) LSU
Actual Line: LSU -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LSU 0
Difference: 5.5 – Favors: ALABAMA

(303) OHIO U at (304) AKRON
Actual Line: AKRON 14
Effective Play-by-Play Line: AKRON 8.5
Difference: 5.5 – Favors: AKRON

(315) JAMES MADISON at (316) SOUTHERN MISS
Actual Line: SOUTHERN MISS 14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SOUTHERN MISS 9.3
Difference: 5.2 – Favors: SOUTHERN MISS

(417) AIR FORCE at (418) ARMY
Actual Line: ARMY -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARMY -8.2
Difference: 5.2 – Favors: ARMY

(381) OKLAHOMA at (382) FLORIDA
Actual Line: FLORIDA -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FLORIDA -11
Difference: 5 – Favors: FLORIDA

(371) DELAWARE at (372) KENNESAW STATE
Actual Line: KENNESAW STATE 2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KENNESAW STATE -2.4
Difference: 4.9 – Favors: KENNESAW STATE

(369) BYU at (370) UTAH
Actual Line: UTAH -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTAH -0.6
Difference: 4.9 – Favors: BYU

(327) UCF at (328) KANSAS
Actual Line: KANSAS -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KANSAS -7.3
Difference: 4.8 – Favors: KANSAS

(419) MIAMI FL at (420) NOTRE DAME
Actual Line: NOTRE DAME -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NOTRE DAME -0.9
Difference: 4.6 – Favors: MIAMI FL

(319) SOUTH FLORIDA at (320) EAST CAROLINA
Actual Line: EAST CAROLINA -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: EAST CAROLINA -6
Difference: 4.5 – Favors: EAST CAROLINA

(355) OKLAHOMA STATE at (356) KANSAS STATE
Actual Line: KANSAS STATE 4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KANSAS STATE 8.5
Difference: 4 – Favors: OKLAHOMA STATE

(321) NEBRASKA at (322) ILLINOIS
Actual Line: ILLINOIS 4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ILLINOIS 0.5
Difference: 4 – Favors: ILLINOIS

(413) BOISE STATE at (414) COLORADO STATE
Actual Line: COLORADO STATE 17.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: COLORADO STATE 13.6
Difference: 3.9 – Favors: COLORADO STATE

(353) IOWA at (354) NORTHWESTERN
Actual Line: NORTHWESTERN -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NORTHWESTERN 1.3
Difference: 3.8 – Favors: IOWA

(399) CHARLOTTE at (400) UAB
Actual Line: UAB -10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UAB -6.2
Difference: 3.8 – Favors: CHARLOTTE

(405) MISSOURI STATE at (406) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Actual Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -0.8
Difference: 3.7 – Favors: MISSOURI STATE

(339) GEORGIA STATE at (340) APPALACHIAN STATE
Actual Line: APPALACHIAN STATE -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: APPALACHIAN STATE -1.8
Difference: 3.7 – Favors: GEORGIA STATE

(361) IOWA STATE at (362) BAYLOR
Actual Line: BAYLOR -10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BAYLOR -6.5
Difference: 3.5 – Favors: IOWA STATE

(365) COLORADO at (366) ARIZONA STATE
Actual Line: ARIZONA STATE -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARIZONA STATE 0.4
Difference: 3.4 – Favors: COLORADO

(333) MARYLAND at (334) PURDUE
Actual Line: PURDUE -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PURDUE -3.3
Difference: 3.2 – Favors: MARYLAND

(415) SAM HOUSTON STATE at (416) JACKSONVILLE STATE
Actual Line: JACKSONVILLE STATE -16.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: JACKSONVILLE STATE -13.4
Difference: 3.1 – Favors: SAM HOUSTON STATE

(403) TEMPLE at (404) NAVY
Actual Line: NAVY -7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NAVY -4.6
Difference: 2.9 – Favors: TEMPLE

(375) PENN STATE at (376) WASHINGTON
Actual Line: WASHINGTON -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WASHINGTON 0.4
Difference: 2.9 – Favors: PENN STATE

(407) LOUISIANA TECH at (408) TROY
Actual Line: TROY 4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TROY 6.9
Difference: 2.4 – Favors: LOUISIANA TECH

(351) DUKE at (352) NC STATE
Actual Line: NC STATE 4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NC STATE 6.9
Difference: 2.4 – Favors: DUKE

(345) OLD DOMINION at (346) COASTAL CAROLINA
Actual Line: COASTAL CAROLINA -7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: COASTAL CAROLINA -5
Difference: 2 – Favors: OLD DOMINION

(359) RUTGERS at (360) WISCONSIN
Actual Line: WISCONSIN -17.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WISCONSIN -19.3
Difference: 1.8 – Favors: WISCONSIN

(423) TEXAS STATE at (424) OREGON STATE
Actual Line: OREGON STATE -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OREGON STATE -5
Difference: 1.5 – Favors: TEXAS STATE 

(329) NORTH CAROLINA at (330) CONNECTICUT
Actual Line: CONNECTICUT 7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: CONNECTICUT 8.5
Difference: 1.5 – Favors: NORTH CAROLINA

(401) WESTERN KENTUCKY at (402) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
Actual Line: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE -0.2
Difference: 1.3 – Favors: WESTERN KENTUCKY

(373) NORTHERN ILLINOIS at (374) SAN JOSE STATE
Actual Line: SAN JOSE STATE -10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SAN JOSE STATE -8.8
Difference: 1.2 – Favors: NORTHERN ILLINOIS

(331) FLORIDA STATE at (332) BOSTON COLLEGE
Actual Line: BOSTON COLLEGE 6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BOSTON COLLEGE 5.3
Difference: 1.2 – Favors: BOSTON COLLEGE

(341) MICHIGAN STATE at (342) MICHIGAN
Actual Line: MICHIGAN -13.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MICHIGAN -14.6
Difference: 1.1 – Favors: MICHIGAN

(377) LOUISIANA-MONROE at (378) ARKANSAS STATE
Actual Line: ARKANSAS STATE -14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARKANSAS STATE -13.5
Difference: 1 – Favors: LOUISIANA-MONROE

(383) WEST VIRGINIA at (384) TEXAS TECH
Actual Line: TEXAS TECH -16.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS TECH -17.4
Difference: 0.9 – Favors: TEXAS TECH

(325) TCU at (326) ARIZONA
Actual Line: ARIZONA -8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARIZONA -9.4
Difference: 0.9 – Favors: ARIZONA

(425) WYOMING at (426) UNLV
Actual Line: UNLV -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UNLV -6.8
Difference: 0.8 – Favors: UNLV

(343) TEXAS at (344) MISSOURI
Actual Line: MISSOURI 2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MISSOURI 3.2
Difference: 0.7 – Favors: TEXAS

(393) RICE at (394) NORTH TEXAS
Actual Line: NORTH TEXAS -16.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NORTH TEXAS -17.1
Difference: 0.6 – Favors: NORTH TEXAS