The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the college football games of Week 7. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s college football board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for this week’s CFB games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Higher-ranked home teams playing as single-digit favorites or underdogs against a worse-ranked opponent have gone 67-30 SU and 59-35-3 ATS (62.8%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-6 vs Missouri)

* Purdue is 2-14-1 (12.5%) in their last 17 home conference games as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): PURDUE (-3.5 vs Washington)

* Road teams are on an extended 16-4 ATS run in the Seminoles-Hurricanes in-state rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): FLORIDA STATE (+21 at Miami FL)

* LOUISIANA is 16-10 SU and 19-7 ATS (73.1%) in revenge mode (having lost to a team in previous or same season) since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA  (-4.5 vs Troy)

* CFB teams coming off a game that was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread (either win or lose) have struggled in the next game, going just 156-200-1 ATS (43.8%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE): BAYLOR (-6 vs TCU)

* KANSAS is 18-7 (72%) to the Over as a road/neutral underdog since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): KANSAS-KANSAS STATE (o/u at 55.5)

* Big Ten road favorites of -4 or less have gone 29-12 SU and 26-15 ATS (63.4%) in conference play since 2021
System Match (PLAY): OHIO STATE (-3.5 at Indiana)

#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the MAKINEN EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS: COLORADO +15.5 vs Utah (projections have line at Colorado +8)

College Football Systems Based On AP Poll Rankings

The following college football betting systems take into account whether or not teams in a non-neutral field game are ranked in the AP poll

CFB Ranked Team System #1: In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are 229-122 SU and 199-143-9 ATS (58.2%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): INDIANA (+3.5 vs Ohio State), LSU (-14 vs Mississippi State), TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs Alabama), OLE MISS (-6 vs Missouri), BYU (+10 vs Notre Dame), HOUSTON (-4.5 vs Oklahoma State)

Digging deeper into that data, you will find that when the home team has been ranked better, those teams have gone 129-34 SU and 96-63-4 ATS (60.4%).
System Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-6 vs Missouri)

Adding another point spread wrinkle to the last angle, when better-ranked home teams have been single-digit favorites or underdogs, they have gone 67-30 SU and 59-35-3 ATS (62.8%) since 2017.
System Match (PLAY): OLE MISS (-6 vs Missouri)

CFB Ranked Team System #4: In college football games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 45-22 (67.2%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 26-10 (72.2%).

System Match (PLAY UNDER): MISSISSIPPI STATE-LSU (o/u at 58.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #5: Unranked teams that favored over ranked teams in Power 4 conference games boast a record of 63-32 SU and 52-39-4 ATS (57.1%) dating back to November 2016.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA (-7 vs Kentucky)

CFB Ranked Team System #6: Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 362-28 SU but just 169-217-4 ATS (43.8%) versus unranked conference opponents since October 2015.
System Matches (FADE ALL): GEORGIA (-20.5 vs Auburn), TEXAS TECH (-14.5 vs Arizona State), MIAMI FL (-21 vs Florida State)

CFB Ranked Team System #7: Unranked teams on the road versus a ranked team and playing as favorites or underdogs of seven or fewer points have gone 94-59 UNDER the total (61.4%) dating back to October 2016.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): WISCONSIN-UCLA (o/u at 43.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #8: Teams coming off an upset win over a top-15 ranked team are 127-90 SU but just 96-120-1 ATS (44.4%) in the follow-up game dating back to November 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): GEORGIA (-20.5 vs Auburn), OKLAHOMA (-7 vs Kentucky), KENTUCKY (+7 at Oklahoma), UCLA (-2.5 vs Wisconsin)

CFB Ranked Team System #9: Teams coming off a loss at home to a top-10 ranked team are just 142-147 SU and 130-157-2 ATS (45.3%) in the next game since October of 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): RUTGERS (+4.5 at Maryland), MISSISSIPPI STATE (+14 at LSU), TCU (+6 at Baylor), ALABAMA (-8.5 at Tennessee), VANDERBILT (-6 vs Arkansas), NEBRASKA (+7.5 at Oregon)

CFB Ranked Team System #10: Ranked teams coming off a close loss of seven points or fewer and playing an unranked team are 125-30 SU but just 65-86-4 ATS (43%) since December of 2015.
System Match (FADE): TEXAS (-10.5 vs Florida)

CFB Ranked Team System #12: Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 68-28 SU and 57-38-1 ATS (60%) in the next game since November of 2021.
System Match (PLAY): MISSISSIPPI STATE (+14 at LSU)

CFB Ranked Team System #13: Teams still unranked even after beating a ranked team in the prior game are 88-41 SU but just 56-71-2 ATS (44.1%) when favored in the follow-up game since November of 2015.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA (-7 vs Kentucky)

CFB Ranked Team System #14: Teams still ranked even after losing as seven-point favorites or more are 75-37 SU but 44-66-2 ATS (40%) in the follow-up games. These teams are also 66-45-1 Under the total (59.5%) in these next games since September of 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TEXAS (-10.5 vs Florida), LSU (-14 vs Mississippi State)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): FLORIDA-TEXAS (o/u at 52.5), MISSISSIPPI STATE-LSU (o/u at 58.5)

CFB Ranked Team System #15: Teams coming off a win over a ranked team and playing another ranked team are just 74-102 SU and 76-97-3 ATS (43.9%) since September 2019. These teams are also 86-47 Under the total (64.7%) in these next contests dating back to September of 2021.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA (-7 vs Kentucky)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): KENTUCKY-OKLAHOMA (o/u at 43.5)

These detail top trends and systems for college football conference play.

* Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 89-121 ATS (42.4%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): KENNESAW STATE (-3 at Missouri State), AKRON (+9.5 at Miami OH), UMASS (+6.5 at Buffalo), WASHINGTON STATE (+17.5 at Oregon State)

* Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played since 14 days ago are on a 151-126 ATS (54.5%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MISSISSIPPI STATE (+14 at LSU), GEORGIA STATE (+12.5 at James Madison), AUBURN (+20.5 at Georgia)
* WATCH FOR TCU AT BAYLOR (+6 CURRENTLY) *

* Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss by more than 45 points are just 51-78 ATS (39.5%) since 2010.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+1.5 vs Delaware), SAN DIEGO STATE (+7.5 vs Fresno State)

* Big Ten road favorites of -4 or less have gone 29-12 SU and 26-15 ATS (63.4%) in conference play since 2021
System Match (PLAY): OHIO STATE (-3.5 at Indiana)

* Under the total is 74-51-1 (59.2%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NORTH CAROLINA-DUKE (spread DUKE -3, o/u at 47.5)

* Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 71-30 SU and 60-41 ATS (59.4%) in conference play since 2015
System Matches (PLAY ALL): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-3.5 at Old Dominion), ARKANSAS STATE (-7 at Southern Miss)

* Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 55-31-1 (64%) rate since 2015

System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): GEORGIA SOUTHERN-OLD DOMINION (o/u at 47.5), APPALACHIAN STATE-COASTAL CAROLINA (o/u at 49.5)

* AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 118-19 SU and 77-54-6 ATS (58.8%) in conference play since 2015
System Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (-7 at Tulane)
* WATCH FOR UTSA vs NAVY (-6.5 CURRENTLY) *

* Under the total is 58-38-1 (60.4%) in Conference USA expected-tight matchups (-3 to +2.5 line range) since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DELAWARE-MIDDLE TENN STATE (spread MTSU +1.5, o/u at 48.5), FIU-JACKSONVILLE STATE (spread JACKSONVILLE STATE -3, o/u at 43.5), WESTERN KENTUCKY-SAM HOUSTON STATE (spread SHSU +1.5, o/u at 52.5)

Negative FADE trends:

• GEORGIA SOUTHERN is on a 1-8 ATS streak in conference games when coming off a close loss of seven points or less
Trend Match (FADE): GEORGIA SOUTHERN (-3.5 at Old Dominion)

• MEMPHIS is on an 11-21 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
Trend Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (-7 at Tulane)

Positive FOLLOW trends:

• TROY has won 14 of its last 17 Sun Belt road games ATS
• TROY is on a 21-5 ATS run in Sun Belt play when coming off a win
Trend Match (PLAY): TROY (+4.5 at Louisiana)

• OLD DOMINION has won 11 of its last 16 games ATS as a conference underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): OLD DOMINION (+3.5 vs Georgia Southern)

• WESTERN KENTUCKY is on a 15-4 ATS surge in conference play when coming off a win at home
Trend Match (PLAY): WESTERN KENTUCKY (-1.5 at Sam Houston State)

• NAVY is on a 32-12 ATS run in conference games when coming off a home win
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (+6.5 at UTSA)

• GEORGIA STATE is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 16-7 ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA STATE (+12.5 at James Madison)

• NORTHERN ILLINOIS is a 16-6 ATS conference road underdog in its last 22 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+7.5 at Wyoming)

• LSU is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 SEC games when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-14 vs Mississippi State)

Extreme Stat Next Game CFB Betting Systems

Unexpected blowout games are bad future indicators for both teams
Both college football teams coming off a game that was decided by a margin 38 points or more different from the final point spread, either win or lose, have struggled in the next game, going just 156-200-1 ATS (43.8%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (FADE): BAYLOR (-6 vs TCU)

Not taking advantage enough of turnovers can be a red flag
CFB FBS teams that benefitted from a +5 turnover differential or greater but failed to score 44+ points in that game have responded by going just 40-60 ATS (40%) in their next contest since 2012.
System Match (FADE): COASTAL CAROLINA (+1.5 vs Appalachian State)

Ride teams off of uber-dominant performances
In the last 13 years, CFB teams that scored 58 or more points in a game while allowing fewer than 10 have carried on the momentum well in the next outing, going 166-125 ATS (57%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NOTRE DAME (-10.5 at BYU), NEW MEXICO (-14.5 at Hawaii)

Conference wins while struggling offensively are momentum builders
In the last 13 years, CFB teams that won a conference game despite gaining less than 250 yards of offense have used that victory to build momentum, going 87-65 ATS (57.2%) in the follow-up game.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+3 at Jacksonville State), SMU (-9.5 vs Virginia), OKLAHOMA (-7 vs Kentucky)

College Football Revenge Handicapping

The following are methodologies for handicapping revenge situations in college football, including the best & worst teams in revenge mode, and the best betting systems uncovered. Revenge is defined by having lost a game to a specific opponent in the prior or current season only.

Best College Football Revenge Teams (since 2016)

* LOUISIANA is 16-10 SU and 19-7 ATS (73.1%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA (-4.5 vs Troy)

* FRESNO STATE is 15-12 SU and 17-8 ATS (68%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): FRESNO STATE (-7.5 at San Diego State)

* OREGON STATE is 17-34 SU but 30-20 ATS (60%) in revenge mode since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (-17.5 vs Washington State)

Revenge teams that lost as double-digit favorites last time out
Teams looking to avenge outright losses where they were double-digit favorites have struggled, going just 119-135 ATS (46.9%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): APPALACHIAN STATE (-1.5 at Coastal Carolina)

Revenge is sweet against porous defensive foes
Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 234-184 ATS (56%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE (+1.5 vs Western Kentucky), FRESNO STATE (-7.5 at San Diego State)

Comparing Effective Yards-Per-Play Ratings to This Week’s Matchups

The following are taken from an article posted on Monday, September 21, 2026, looking at how Steve Makinen comes up with his ratings and any edges in games each weekend. As far as actionable items, here are the top 15 games for this weekend, as far as the differential of EYPP ratings versus actual point spreads, with home-field advantage built into the differences. Track these games to see how they fare, or back them already if you agree with the logic.

1. (159) MASSACHUSETTS at (160) BUFFALO
Actual Line: BUFFALO -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BUFFALO +15.1
Difference: 21.6, Favors – MASSACHUSETTS

2. (213) WASHINGTON STATE at (214) OREGON STATE
Actual Line: OREGON STATE -17.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OREGON STATE -35.3
Difference: 17.8, Favors – OREGON STATE

3. (137) TOLEDO at (138) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Actual Line: EASTERN MICHIGAN +6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: EASTERN MICHIGAN +24
Difference: 17.5, Favors – TOLEDO

4. (183) WAKE FOREST at (184) CALIFORNIA
Actual Line: CALIFORNIA +9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: CALIFORNIA +25.3
Difference: 15.8, Favors – WAKE FOREST

5. (193) KENTUCKY at (194) OKLAHOMA
Actual Line: OKLAHOMA -7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OKLAHOMA +7.4
Difference: 14.4, Favors – KENTUCKY

6. (107) WESTERN KENTUCKY at (108) SAM HOUSTON STATE
Actual Line: SAM HOUSTON STATE +1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SAM HOUSTON STATE -12.6
Difference: 14.1, Favors – SAM HOUSTON STATE

7. (129) NORTHWESTERN at (130) MICHIGAN STATE
Actual Line: MICHIGAN STATE +7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MICHIGAN STATE +21.4
Difference: 13.9, Favors – NORTHWESTERN

8. (175) ARIZONA STATE at (176) TEXAS TECH
Actual Line: TEXAS TECH -14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS TECH -1
Difference: 13.5, Favors – ARIZONA STATE

9. (115) COLORADO STATE at (116) TEXAS STATE
Actual Line: TEXAS STATE -14
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS STATE -26.7
Difference: 12.7, Favors – TEXAS STATE 

10. (101) DELAWARE at (102) MIDDLE TENN STATE
Actual Line: MIDDLE TENN STATE +1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MIDDLE TENN STATE +14
Difference: 12.5, Favors – DELAWARE

11. (203) VIRGINIA at (204) SMU
Actual Line: SMU -9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SMU -20.8
Difference: 11.3, Favors – SMU

12. (205) MISSISSIPPI STATE at (206) LSU
Actual Line: LSU -14
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LSU -2.9
Difference: 11.1, Favors – MISSISSIPPI STATE

13. (125) LOUISVILLE at (126) SYRACUSE
Actual Line: SYRACUSE +14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SYRACUSE +25.2
Difference: 10.7, Favors – LOUISVILLE

14. (153) NORTH CAROLINA at (154) DUKE
Actual Line: DUKE -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: DUKE +7
Difference: 10, Favors – NORTH CAROLINA

15. (165) CINCINNATI at (166) WEST VIRGINIA
Actual Line: WEST VIRGINIA -1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WEST VIRGINIA +8
Difference: 9.5, Favors – CINCINNATI

16. (211) UNLV at (212) AIR FORCE
Actual Line: AIR FORCE +1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: AIR FORCE +10.8
Difference: 9.3, Favors – UNLV

17. (131) RUTGERS at (132) MARYLAND
Actual Line: MARYLAND -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MARYLAND -15.1
Difference: 9.1, Favors – MARYLAND

18. (199) KANSAS at (200) KANSAS STATE
Actual Line: KANSAS STATE -4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KANSAS STATE +4.6
Difference: 9.1, Favors – KANSAS

19. (111) GEORGIA SOUTHERN at (112) OLD DOMINION
Actual Line: OLD DOMINION +3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OLD DOMINION +12.3
Difference: 8.8, Favors – GEORGIA SOUTHERN

20. (121) APPALACHIAN STATE at (122) COASTAL CAROLINA
Actual Line: COASTAL CAROLINA +1.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: COASTAL CAROLINA +10
Difference: 8.5, Favors – APPALACHIAN STATE

21. (179) NOTRE DAME at (180) BYU
Actual Line: BYU +10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BYU +1.8
Difference: 8.2, Favors – BYU

22. (207) NORTHERN ILLINOIS at (208) WYOMING
Actual Line: WYOMING -7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WYOMING +0.5
Difference: 8, Favors – NORTHERN ILLINOIS

23. (157) GEORGIA STATE at (158) JAMES MADISON
Actual Line: JAMES MADISON -12.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: JAMES MADISON -4.7
Difference: 7.8, Favors – GEORGIA STATE

24. (209) TULSA at (210) RICE
Actual Line: RICE +4
Effective Play-by-Play Line: RICE -3.6
Difference: 7.6, Favors – RICE

25. (217) NEVADA at (218) NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Actual Line: NORTH DAKOTA STATE -15.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NORTH DAKOTA STATE -8.3
Difference: 7.2, Favors – NEVADA

26. (169) TCU at (170) BAYLOR
Actual Line: BAYLOR -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BAYLOR +1.1
Difference: 7.1, Favors – TCU

27. (133) GEORGIA TECH at (134) VIRGINIA TECH
Actual Line: VIRGINIA TECH -10
Effective Play-by-Play Line: VIRGINIA TECH -2.9
Difference: 7.1, Favors – GEORGIA TECH

28. (149) PITTSBURGH at (150) BOSTON COLLEGE
Actual Line: BOSTON COLLEGE +6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BOSTON COLLEGE -0.2
Difference: 6.7, Favors – BOSTON COLLEGE

29. (163) TROY at (164) LOUISIANA
Actual Line: LOUISIANA -4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LOUISIANA -10.8
Difference: 6.3, Favors – LOUISIANA

30. (141) FLORIDA STATE at (142) MIAMI FL
Actual Line: MIAMI FL -21
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MIAMI FL -27.1
Difference: 6.1, Favors – MIAMI FL

31. (189) ALABAMA at (190) TENNESSEE
Actual Line: TENNESSEE +8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TENNESSEE +14.5
Difference: 6, Favors – ALABAMA

32. (139) FLORIDA ATLANTIC at (140) ARMY
Actual Line: ARMY -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ARMY -8.4
Difference: 5.9, Favors – ARMY

33. (155) KENT STATE at (156) SOUTH FLORIDA
Actual Line: SOUTH FLORIDA -20.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SOUTH FLORIDA -14.7
Difference: 5.8, Favors – KENT STATE

34. (119) WASHINGTON at (120) PURDUE
Actual Line: PURDUE -3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PURDUE -8.8
Difference: 5.3, Favors – PURDUE

35. (167) ARKANSAS STATE at (168) SOUTHERN MISS
Actual Line: SOUTHERN MISS +7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SOUTHERN MISS +2
Difference: 5, Favors – SOUTHERN MISS

36. (123) CHARLOTTE at (124) TEMPLE
Actual Line: TEMPLE -21.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEMPLE -17.1
Difference: 4.4, Favors – CHARLOTTE

37. (195) ARKANSAS at (196) VANDERBILT
Actual Line: VANDERBILT -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: VANDERBILT -10.4
Difference: 4.4, Favors – VANDERBILT

38. (135) BALL STATE at (136) BOWLING GREEN
Actual Line: BOWLING GREEN -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BOWLING GREEN -2.2
Difference: 4.3, Favors – BALL STATE

39. (151) OKLAHOMA STATE at (152) HOUSTON
Actual Line: HOUSTON -4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: HOUSTON -0.4
Difference: 4.1, Favors – OKLAHOMA STATE

40. (219) FRESNO STATE at (220) SAN DIEGO STATE
Actual Line: SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SAN DIEGO STATE +11.2
Difference: 3.7, Favors – FRESNO STATE

41. (113) EAST CAROLINA at (114) UAB
Actual Line: UAB +4.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UAB +8.1
Difference: 3.6, Favors – EAST CAROLINA

42. (173) FLORIDA at (174) TEXAS
Actual Line: TEXAS -10.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS -7.1
Difference: 3.4, Favors – FLORIDA

43. (185) WISCONSIN at (186) UCLA
Actual Line: UCLA -2.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UCLA -5.9
Difference: 3.4, Favors – UCLA

44. (191) AUBURN at (192) GEORGIA
Actual Line: GEORGIA -20.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GEORGIA -23.7
Difference: 3.2, Favors – GEORGIA

45. (197) MISSOURI at (198) OLE MISS
Actual Line: OLE MISS -6
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OLE MISS -2.8
Difference: 3.2, Favors – MISSOURI

46. (127) OHIO STATE at (128) INDIANA
Actual Line: INDIANA +3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: INDIANA +0.3
Difference: 3.2, Favors – INDIANA

47. (143) AKRON at (144) MIAMI OHIO
Actual Line: MIAMI OHIO -9.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MIAMI OHIO -12.4
Difference: 2.9, Favors – MIAMI OHIO

48. (181) SAN JOSE STATE at (182) UTEP
Actual Line: UTEP +7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: UTEP +10.3
Difference: 2.8, Favors – SAN JOSE STATE

49. (177) UTAH at (178) COLORADO
Actual Line: COLORADO +15.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: COLORADO +12.8
Difference: 2.7, Favors – COLORADO

50. (171) LOUISIANA TECH at (172) LOUISIANA-MONROE
Actual Line: LOUISIANA-MONROE +15.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LOUISIANA-MONROE +18
Difference: 2.5, Favors – LOUISIANA TECH

51. (105) KENNESAW STATE at (106) MISSOURI STATE
Actual Line: MISSOURI STATE +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MISSOURI STATE +0.5
Difference: 2.5, Favors – MISSOURI STATE

52. (147) WESTERN MICHIGAN at (148) CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Actual Line: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +4.1
Difference: 2.4, Favors – CENTRAL MICHIGAN

53. (161) NAVY at (162) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
Actual Line: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO -8.9
Difference: 2.4, Favors – TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO

54. (215) NEW MEXICO at (216) HAWAII
Actual Line: HAWAII +14.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: HAWAII +13
Difference: 1.5, Favors – HAWAII

55. (117) MEMPHIS at (118) TULANE
Actual Line: TULANE +7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TULANE +5.8
Difference: 1.2, Favors – TULANE

56. (145) PENN STATE at (146) MICHIGAN
Actual Line: MICHIGAN -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: MICHIGAN -5.6
Difference: 0.9, Favors – PENN STATE

57. (187) NEBRASKA at (188) OREGON
Actual Line: OREGON -7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: OREGON -7
Difference: 0.5, Favors – NEBRASKA

58. (201) OHIO U at (202) SACRAMENTO STATE
Actual Line: SACRAMENTO STATE +15.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: SACRAMENTO STATE +15.3
Difference: 0.2, Favors – SACRAMENTO STATE

59. (103) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at (104) JACKSONVILLE STATE
Actual Line: JACKSONVILLE STATE -3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: JACKSONVILLE STATE -3
Difference: 0, Favors – NONE

These are some of the top situational trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:

* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL is 20-31 (39.2%) in conference games over the last seven seasons
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+3 at Jacksonville State)

* UAB is 23-15 (60.5%) ATS at home since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): UAB (+4.5 vs East Carolina)

* OLD DOMINION is 12-27 (30.8%) ATS at home since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): OLD DOMINION (+3.5 vs GA Southern)

* MEMPHIS is 16-8 (66.7%) to the Over as a road favorite since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MEMPHIS-TULANE (o/u at 55.5)

* WASHINGTON is 4-10 (28.6%) ATS in road/neutral games
* WASHINGTON is 28-13 (68.3%) to the Under in road games since 2017
* PURDUE is 2-14-1 (12.5%) in their last 17 conference games as a home favorite
Trends Match: 1 FADE WASHINGTON/1 FADE PURDUE (spread PUR -3.5), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 52.5)

* APPALACHIAN STATE is 10-28 ATS (26.3%) in its last 38 games as a favorite
Trend Match (FADE): APPALACHIAN STATE (-1.5 at Coastal Carolina)

* ARIZONA STATE is 31-18-1 (63.3%) ATS as underdog since 2018
* TEXAS TECH is 10-1 (90.9%) ATS in its last 11 post-bye week games
Trends Match: 1 PLAY ARIZONA STATE, 1 PLAY TEXAS TECH (spread TTU -14.5)

* ARKANSAS is 20-14 (58.8%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS (+6 at Vanderbilt)

* BALL STATE is 42-32-1 (56.8%) Under the total over the last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): BALL STATE-BOWLING GREEN (o/u at 47.5)

* PITTSBURGH is 11-2 (84.6%) ATS as a road favorite since 2021
* PITTSBURGH is 49-32 (60.5%) Over the total since 2020
* BOSTON COLLEGE is 31-18 (63.3%) ATS in conference games since 2020
Trends Match: 1 PLAY PITTSBURGH, 1 PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE (+6.5 vs Pittsburgh), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 42.5)

* BUFFALO is 25-17-1 (59.5%) ATS at home since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-6.5 vs UMass)

* CALIFORNIA is 33-22 (60%) ATS as an underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): CALIFORNIA (+9.5 vs Wake Forest)

* CINCINNATI is 7-19 ATS (26.9%) as an underdog since 2021
* CINCINNATI is 11-24 (31.4%) ATS in conference games since 2022
* WEST VIRGINIA has gone 23-16 ATS (59%) at hOME in the last six seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): WEST VIRGINIA (-1.5 vs Cincinnati)

* CLEMSON is 14-8 (63.6%) ATS in its last 22 following a SU loss
* CLEMSON is 7-21 (25%) ATS in non-conference games since 2022
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of CLEMSON (vs Charleston Southern)

* COLORADO is 12-7 (63.2%) ATS in its last 19 games following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): COLORADO (+15.5 vs Utah)

* FLORIDA ATLANTIC is 10-18 (35.7%) ATS in its last 28 games following a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): FLORIDA ATLANTIC (+2.5 at Army)

* FLORIDA STATE is 12-27 (30.8%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2019
* FLORIDA STATE is 14-28-1 (33.3%) ATS in conference games since 2021
Trends Match (FADE): FLORIDA STATE (+21 at Miami FL)

* FRESNO STATE is 2-10-1 (16.7%) ATS in its last 13 pre-bye week games
* SAN DIEGO STATE is 55-34 (61.8%) Under the total since 2019
* FRESNO STATE is 43-27-1 (61.4%) Under the total since 2021
Trends Match: FADE FRESNO STATE (-7.5 at San Diego State), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 46.5)

* GEORGIA is 15-24 (38.5%) ATS in its last 39 games following a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): GEORGIA (-20.5 vs Auburn)

* GEORGIA STATE is 24-14-1 (63.2%) ATS in its last 39 road/neutral games
* JAMES MADISON is 34-19 (64.2%) ATS as favorite since 2020
Trends Match: 1 PLAY GEORGIA STATE, 1 PLAY JAMES MADISON (spread JMU -12.5)

* KANSAS is 18-7 (72%) to the Over as a road/neutral underdog since 2021
* KANSAS STATE is 13-9 ATS (59.1%) following up a SU loss in the last five seasons
Trends Match: PLAY KANSAS STATE (-4.5 vs Kansas), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 55.5)

* KENT STATE is 16-31 (34%) ATS in its last 47 games as an underdog
Trend Match (FADE): KENT STATE (+20.5 at South Florida)

* LOUISIANA TECH is 46-31-1 (59.7%) Over the total since 2019
* LOUISIANA TECH is 16-24 (40%) ATS in conference games over the last five seasons
* LOUISIANA TECH is 1-10 SU and ATS (9.1%) in its last 11 as a road favorite
Trends Match: FADE LOUISIANA TECH (-15.5 at UL Monroe), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 57.5)

* MIAMI OH is on a 44-32-1 (57.9%) Under the total run over last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): AKRON-MIAMI OH (o/u at 46.5)

* MICHIGAN STATE is 22-12 (64.7%) to the Under against ranked opponents since 2017
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NORTHWESTERN-MICHIGAN STATE (o/u at 48.5)

* MISSOURI is 13-6 ATS (68.4%) in road/neutral games in the last three seasons
* MISSOURI is 2-21 SU in its last 23 games vs top-10 SEC teams
* OLE MISS is 17-24-2 (41.5%) ATS in conference games since 2021
Trends Match (SLIGHT PLAY ATS): MISSOURI (+6 at Ole Miss)

* NAVY is 18-12 ATS (60%) following a SU win in the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): NAVY (+6.5 at UTSA)

* NEW MEXICO is 25-45 (35.7%) ATS in conference games since 2017
* NEW MEXICO is 13-21 (38.2%) ATS as favorite since 2018
* HAWAII is 16-3-2 (84.2%) ATS as a home underdog in conference games since 2020
* NEW MEXICO is 26-16 (61.9%) Over the total in the last three seasons
Trends Match: PLAY HAWAII (+14.5 vs New Mexico), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)

* NOTRE DAME is 34-13 ATS (72.3%) in road/neutral games in the last seven seasons
* BYU is 7-1 ATS (87.5%) as a Home underdog since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY NOTRE DAME, 1 PLAY BYU (spread BYU +10)

* OHIO U is 27-16 ATS (62.8%) in conference games over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OHIO (-15.5 at Sacramento State)

* OREGON STATE is 30-15 (66.7%) ATS coming off a SU win since 2016
* OREGON STATE is 33-14 (70.2%) ATS in home games over the last seven seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (-17.5 vs Washington State)

* PENN STATE is 13-25 (34.2%) ATS coming off a SU loss since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): PENN STATE (+6.5 at Michigan)

* RUTGERS is 8-2-1 (80%) ATS in its last 11 post-bye-week games
* RUTGERS is 30-12 (71.4%) to the Under in road games since 2018
Trends Match: PLAY RUTGERS (+4.5 at Maryland), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 57.5)

* STANFORD is 12-21-1 (36.4%) ATS in its last 34 home games
* STANFORD is 15-33 ATS (31.3%) following an outright loss since 2019
Trends Match (FADE): STANFORD (vs Elon)

* TEMPLE is 25-13-1 (65.8%) ATS coming off a SU loss since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): TEMPLE (-21.5 vs Charlotte)

* TENNESSEE is 7-15 (31.8%) ATS as an underdog since 2020
Trend Match (FADE): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs Alabama)

* TOLEDO is 5-15 (25%) ATS as a road favorite since 2022
Trend Match (FADE): TOLEDO (-6.5 at Eastern Michigan)

* TROY is 25-9 (73.5%) ATS in road/neutral games since 2021
* LOUISIANA is 31-14 (68.9%) to the Under in home games since 2019
Trends Match: PLAY TROY (+4.5 at Louisiana), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 49.5)

* TULSA is 27-18-1 (60%) ATS in road/neutral games over the last six seasons
* RICE is 15-6 (71.4%) ATS as a home underdog since 2020
Trends Match: 1 PLAY TULSA, 1 PLAY RICE (spread RICE +4)

* UCLA is 18-33 (35.3%) ATS as a home favorite since 2014
Trend Match (FADE): UCLA (-2.5 vs Wisconsin)

* UNLV is on a 26-13 (66.7%) ATS run following a SU win
Trend Match (PLAY): UNLV (-1.5 at Air Force)

* UTEP is 10-27 (27%) ATS at home since 2020
Trend Match (FADE): UTEP (+7.5 vs San Jose State)

* VIRGINIA is 13-3 (81.3%) ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog vs ranked opponents
Trend Match (PLAY): VIRGINIA (+9.5 at SMU)

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(113) EAST CAROLINA at (114) UAB
* EAST CAROLINA is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings with UAB
Trend Match (PLAY): EAST CAROLINA (-4.5 at UAB)

(117) MEMPHIS at (118) TULANE
* TULANE is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS versus Memphis since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): TULANE (+7 vs Memphis)

(121) APPALACHIAN STATE at (122) COASTAL CAROLINA
* Underdogs are on a 5-0 SU and ATS streak in the Mountaineers-Chanticleers series
Trend Match (PLAY): COASTAL CAROLINA (+1.5 vs Appalachian State)

(125) LOUISVILLE at (126) SYRACUSE
* Favorites are on 9-1 SU and ATS run in the Cardinals-Orange ACC series, but did lose the last time
Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISVILLE (-14.5 at Syracuse)

(129) NORTHWESTERN at (130) MICHIGAN STATE
* Underdogs are 7-2 SU and 9-0 ATS in the Wildcats-Spartans series at East Lansing
Trend Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN STATE (+7.5 vs Northwestern)

* Over the total has converted in six straight in the overall series as well
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): NORTHWESTERN-MICHIGAN STATE (o/u at 48.5)

(131) RUTGERS at (132) MARYLAND
* Under the total is 5-0 in the Scarlet Knights-Terrapins series at Maryland since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): RUTGERS-MARYLAND (o/u at 56.5)

(133) GEORGIA TECH at (134) VIRGINIA TECH
* GEORGIA TECH is 5-4 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last nine trips to Blacksburg
Trend Match (PLAY): GEORGIA TECH (+10 at Virginia Tech)

(141) FLORIDA STATE at (142) MIAMI FL
* Road teams are on extended 12-8 SU and 16-4 ATS run in Seminoles-Hurricanes in-state rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): FLORIDA STATE (+21 at Miami FL)

* Under the total is 12-3 in the last 15 of the overall series as well
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): FLORIDA STATE-MIAMI FL (o/u at 55.5)

(143) AKRON at (144) MIAMI OH
* Road teams are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 matchups between Akron and Miami OH
Trend Match (PLAY): AKRON (+9.5 at Miami OH)

* Under the total is 13-4 in the last 17 of the overall series as well
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): AKRON-MIAMI OH (o/u at 46.5)

(145) PENN STATE at (146) MICHIGAN
* MICHIGAN is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Penn State
Trend Match (PLAY): MICHIGAN (-6.5 vs Penn State)

(147) WESTERN MICHIGAN at (148) CENTRAL MICHIGAN
* Road teams are on a 9-5 SU and 11-2-1 ATS run in this in-state rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): WESTERN MICHIGAN (-6.5 at Central Michigan)

(151) OKLAHOMA STATE at (152) HOUSTON
* Over the total is 5-0 in Cowboys-Cougars series since 2006
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): OKLAHOMA STATE-HOUSTON (o/u at 61.5)

(163) TROY at (164) LOUISIANA
* Favorites are on a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS surge in this series
Trend Match (PLAY): LOUISIANA (-4.5 vs Troy)

(167) ARKANSAS STATE at (168) SOUTHERN MISS
* ARKANSAS STATE is 6-1 ATS in the last seven matchups with USM
Trend Match (PLAY): ARKANSAS STATE (-7 at Southern Miss)

(189) ALABAMA at (190) TENNESSEE
* Home teams have won and covered the last five meetings between Alabama and Tennessee, after previous historic dominance by the Crimson Tide
Trend Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs Alabama)

(211) UNLV at (212) AIR FORCE
* Over the total is 12-3 in the last 15 of the series
Trend Match (PLAY): UNLV-AIR FORCE (o/u at 48.5)

(213) WASHINGTON STATE at (214) OREGON STATE
* Home teams are on 6-0 SU and ATS surge in WSU-OSU set
Trend Match (PLAY): OREGON STATE (-17.5 vs Washington State)

(215) NEW MEXICO at (216) HAWAII
* Over the total is 6-1 in the Lobos-Rainbow Warriors series since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): NEW MEXICO-HAWAII (o/u at 45.5)

Strategies Using CFB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. Note that these systems only include games matching TWO FBS OPPONENTS against one another.

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of 4:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. There will be an updated betting splits article on Saturday morning.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 639-706 ATS (47.5%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAM HOUSTON STATE, UAB, MEMPHIS, PURDUE, COASTAL CAROLINA, FLORIDA ATLANTIC, PITTSBURGH, BALL STATE, OHIO STATE, KANSAS, CINCINNATI, BUFFALO, CHARLOTTE, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, UNLV, TOLEDO, WYOMING, LOUISIANA, OREGON STATE, BAYLOR, MIAMI FL, SOUTHERN MISS, VANDERBILT, NORTH DAKOTA STATE, NOTRE DAME, LOUISIANA TECH, UTSA, OHIO, WAKE FOREST

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 284-303 ATS (48.4%). In 2022 it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, in 2024 it was 46.6%. Last year it was six games over-.500.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OREGON STATE, SOUTH FLORIDA, NORTH DAKOTA STATE, UTSA, UTEP

CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 400-451 ATS (47%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): DELAWARE, KENNESAW STATE, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, MEMPHIS, PITTSBURGH, OHIO STATE, NORTHWESTERN, UNLV, TOLEDO, ALABAMA, NOTRE DAME, LOUISIANA TECH, OHIO, UTAH, WAKE FOREST, NEW MEXICO

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 68%+ majority of the handle was on small home favorites of seven points or fewer for an ATS wager since the start of the 2023 season, this majority group is 93-74 ATS (55.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PURDUE, BUFFALO, OLE MISS, LOUISIANA, BAYLOR, VANDERBILT, UTSA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 170-153-2 ATS (52.6%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC, BALL STATE, KANSAS, VIRGINIA, FLORIDA, CINCINNATI, GEORGIA STATE, CHARLOTTE, ARIZONA STATE, KENT STATE, OKLAHOMA STATE, WISCONSIN, NEBRASKA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past four seasons, this majority group has gone 165-142-1 ATS (53.7%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): MISSISSIPPI STATE, VIRGINIA, FLORIDA, CINCINNATI, GEORGIA TECH, OKLAHOMA STATE, KENTUCKY, NEBRASKA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their record since the start of 2022 is 307-250 (55.1%). This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DELAWARE, JACKSONVILLE STATE, KENNESAW STATE, SAM HOUSTON STATE, UAB, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, TEXAS STATE, MEMPHIS, PURDUE, COASTAL CAROLINA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 68-52 (56.7%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): COLORADO STATE-TEXAS STATE, MISSOURI-OLE MISS, ARKANSAS STATE-SOUTHERN MISS

CFB DK Betting Splits system #10: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 77-63 (55%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): EAST CAROLINA-UAB, GEORGIA SOUTHERN-OLD DOMINION, PITTSBURGH-BOSTON COLLEGE, WESTERN MICHIGAN-CENTRAL MICHIGAN, NORTH CAROLINA-DUKE, PENN STATE-MICHIGAN, ARIZONA STATE-TEXAS TECH, NORTHERN ILLINOIS-WYOMING, TCU-BAYLOR, KENT STATE-SOUTH FLORIDA, NEVADA-NORTH DAKOTA STATE, NOTRE DAME-BYU, WISCONSIN-UCLA, SAN JOSE STATE-UTEP, NEW MEXICO-HAWAII, FRESNO STATE-SAN DIEGO STATE

CFB DK Betting Splits system #11: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 46.5 or lower, 72%+ super majority number of bets bettors bucking the low total and siding with the Over have gone 221-190 (53.8%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): UMASS-BUFFALO, TULSA-RICE, KENTUCKY-OKLAHOMA

This Week’s College Football Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NCAAF tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MISSOURI STATE +3 (+4.4)
2. TULANE +7 (+3.7)
3 (tie). WASHINGTON +3.5 (+3.0)
SYRACUSE +14.5 (+3.0)
VIRGINIA +9.5 (+3.0)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). MARYLAND -4.5 (+4.6)
WYOMING -7.5 (+4.6)
3. JAMES MADISON -12.5 (+4.2)
4. MIAMI OH -9.5 (+4.1)
5. UNLV -1.5 (+3.9)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. COLORADO +15.5 (+7.5)
2. SYRACUSE +14.5 (+6.7)
3. PENN STATE +6.5 (+6.5)
4. HAWAII +14.5 (+6.3)
5. SAM HOUSTON STATE +1.5 (+5.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MIAMI FL -21 (+6.1)
2. PURDUE -3.5 (+5.5)
3. OHIO -15.5 (+4.5)
4. TEMPLE -21.5 (+4.1)
5. ARMY -2.5 (+3.8)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. AKRON-MIAMI OH OVER 46.5 (+6.0)
2. NEVADA-NORTH DAKOTA STATE OVER 42.5 (+5.8)
3. ARIZONA STATE-TEXAS TECH OVER 48.5 (+5.4)
4. ALABAMA-TENNESSEE OVER 51.5 (+5.3)
5. UMASS-BUFFALO OVER 41.5 (+4.8)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MEMPHIS-TULANE UNDER 55.5 (-6.7)
2. TCU-BAYLOR UNDER 48.5 (-4.3)
3. OKLAHOMA STATE-HOUSTON UNDER 62.5 (-2.6)
4 (tie). PITTSBURGH-BOSTON COLLEGE UNDER 42.5 (-1.3)
CINCINNATI-WEST VIRGINIA UNDER 63.5 (-1.3)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WASHINGTON STATE +17.5 (+14.0)
2. WASHINGTON +3.5 (+11.9)
3. COLORADO +15.5 (+7.7)
4. HAWAII +14.5 (+7.3)
5. PENN STATE +6.5 (+6.5)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. KANSAS STATE -4.5 (+10.3)
2. TOLEDO -6.5 (+6.0)
3 (tie). MARYLAND -4.5 (+4.8)
MIAMI OH -9.5 (+4.8)
5. OKLAHOMA -7 (+4.7)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ARIZONA STATE-TEXAS TECH OVER 48.5 (+6.4)
2. NOTRE DAME-BYU OVER 46.5 (+5.5)
3. MISSISSIPPI STATE-LSU OVER 58.5 (+4.8)
4 (tie). ALABAMA-TENNESSEE OVER 51.5 (+4.6)
NEVADA-NORTH DAKOTA STATE OVER 42.5 (+4.6)

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. GEORGIA TECH-VIRGINIA TECH UNDER 56.5 (-4.7)
2. ARKANSAS STATE-SOUTHERN MISS UNDER 62.5 (-4.1)
3. WAKE FOREST-CALIFORNIA UNDER 53.5 (-3.3)
4 (tie). NAVY-UTSA UNDER 55.5 (-2.2)
UNLV-AIR FORCE UNDER 48.5 (-2.2)

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