Week 11 will go from Tuesday night to Sunday morning, as MACtion once again opens up the schedule and we have a late game out in Hawaii on Saturday night. There are a few more games this week than what we’ve seen over the last few weeks as well, so there should be no shortage of betting opportunities for those in need of action. It should also be noted that the week lasts from November 10-15, so it is imperative to keep an eye on the weather, as we’re seeing cooler temps, more wind, and more precipitation the deeper we get into fall.
Keep an eye out for more line movements by tracking our VSiN College Football Betting Splits.
Week 11 College Football Odds Report
Lines as of Sunday, November 8 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Ohio at Miami (OH) (PK, 49)
Tuesday, 8 p.m. ET
This line was hanging on either side of pick ‘em at most shops, with Circa down to pick by Sunday evening. The odds team opened Miami -1.5 in the game, but most shops had Ohio favored by dinnertime on the East Coast. We’ll see which way this one swings, as the RedHawks are at home, but Ohio is arguably the better team and the line implies that. We don’t have bad weather for this MACtion matchup, but it will be pretty chilly. This is easily the game of the night in the conference, so it should draw a pretty good handle.
Buffalo (-2.5, 51) at Ball State
Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET
This is the first road favorite role for Buffalo this season. They were a road favorite twice last season and won both of them. In fact, the Bulls are 27-4 in their last 31 games as road chalk dating back to 2009. These two teams don’t play every season, but you have to go back to Week 12 of the 2017 season to find the last time Buffalo was a road favorite in Muncie. Most shops opened this line at 3, but 2.5 was painted across the board by evening.
Sacramento State at Central Michigan (-18, 43.5)
Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Rare air here for the Chips. They were -17.5 against UMass last season. That was their first favorite role of 17 or more against a FBS opponent since Week 12 of the 2017 season when they were -18 on the road against Kent State. It is their first home favorite role of this size since Week 13 of the 2015 season. Sacramento State has played tough lately, including last week’s close loss to Toledo as a nearly four-touchdown underdog.
Louisiana (-10.5, 49.5) at Louisiana Monroe
Thursday, 9 p.m. ET
Memphis vs. South Florida is definitely the better game on Thursday night, but this is a rivalry game, so it’s a fun one. Perhaps that rivalry dynamic is why this line dipped from -12 to -10.5 from Circa’s opener to the evening. The Warhawks also scored a big upset win last week on the road at Arkansas State, so that could be another reason for the interest in the dog. Louisiana has won seven of the last eight in the Battle of the Bayou, but last season’s win was just 30-27 in overtime as an 11-point favorite at home. Now they’re effectively an 11-point favorite on the road.
Illinois at UCLA (-10, 46.5)
Friday, 9 p.m. ET
We have three power-conference games on Friday with ACC, Big Ten, and Big 12 action. I’m always fascinated by UCLA lines because the Bruins do not have a very good offense, but the defense is about as strong as it gets. Illinois has definitely been a different team with Katin Houser at the helm, like we saw with last week’s upset win over Nebraska. Keep in mind, that win over the Cornhuskers came on Friday night, so this is not a short week for the Illini heading to LA. Circa opened 8.5 here, but got pushed out to 10 by the afternoon.
Northwestern at Ohio State (-12.5, 47.5)
Saturday, Noon ET
Anybody rushing to lay double digits with Ohio State? Back-to-back atrocious performances against USC and Oregon haven’t even been all about the loss of Julian Sayin. The defense has also faltered at the worst possible time. Apparently somebody was okay with taking the Buckeyes early, as they went from -10.5 to -12.5 at Circa and sat 11.5 or 12 around the rest of the market. You won’t find me doing it, though we do have to see throughout the week if Aidan Chiles will be back behind center for Northwestern.
Duke at Miami (FL) (-13.5, 54.5)
Saturday, Noon ET
How will the Hurricanes respond to last week’s loss to Notre Dame? Fortunately, it was a non-conference loss, so it had no bearing on the ACC standings, but it was a loss all the same. Now they face old friend Manny Diaz, as he brings his Blue Devils to Coral Gables. Darian Mensah certainly missed Malachi Toney, as any QB would, but he still threw three TD passes and had 276 yards. That said, he was just 24-of-43 passing and threw a pick, though one of the incompletions was certainly questionable. I bet the books wind up in a pretty good spot here with good action on both sides.
Georgia Tech at Clemson (-13.5, 48)
Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET
Georgia Tech is a wreck. Things have completely fallen apart for the program in the post-Haynes King era and that’s evident by this line. This is not one of Dabo Swinney’s best Clemson teams to say the least. In fact, it might be one of the worst of his tenure. Yet, the Yellow Jackets are a two-touchdown underdog here. The power ranking for Georgia Tech has been falling pretty consistently this season and this is the latest example.
Michigan at Oregon (-11.5, 40)
Saturday, 3 p.m. ET
The first scapegoat has been branded at Michigan, as OC Jason Beck was fired on Sunday. We’ll see if that sparks something for the Wolverines offense, as we have a total that has been bet down for this showdown in Eugene. The Ducks never got Dante Moore back from his concussion and Dan Lanning has had coordinator issues of his own, but the Ducks seem to be swimming in the right direction. Michigan is not.
Texas at LSU (-4.5, 46)
Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
LSU took money progressively throughout the week against Alabama and that was the dead wrong side in that game. What will we see this week? Circa opened 4.5 and held there, along with other books, but this line is in a great spot to get moved around. Anytime you get a number between 4 and 6 in college football, it doesn’t take a whole lot to swing the spread one way or the other. A lot of people got burned by LSU last week. Will those people go back to the well or might we see some Texas money on the board?
Purdue at Iowa (-17, 47)
Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Iowa as a big favorite is always an interesting proposition because of how limited the offense is on an annual basis. The defense is always good and almost always gives the Hawkeyes a chance to cover big spreads. But, with the low totals in their games, they don’t really get those. They have one here against Purdue. The last time Iowa was a 17+ point favorite in a Big Ten game was…against Purdue back in 2019. The Hawkeyes only won that Week 8 game 26-20. We’ll see if they can improve upon that this week.
North Texas at UTSA (-1, 76.5)
Saturday, 9 p.m. ET
Will we see our highest total of the season in this game? The Florida Atlantic/North Texas game hit 78.5 and went Over the total with 89 points. UTSA gave up 60 points to FAU this past week. North Texas had 48 points in that game against FAU. I don’t think that we will get there, but the last game with a total of 80 was Week 7 of the 2021 season featuring Mississippi and Tennessee. The total was 82.5 and the game landed 57. The last FBS game with a total of 80+ to go Over was Week 13 of the 2018 season between Oklahoma and West Virginia. That total was 88 and the game landed 115.
For what it’s worth, Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa has a total in the mid-70s that got immediate Over money. The UNT/UTSA total was 78 at open at Circa.
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (-3.5, 72)
Saturday, 9:30 p.m. ET
Remember – the College Football Playoff rankings mean nothing from a betting standpoint. Here’s Texas Tech with only one loss heading on the road as a ranked team against an Oklahoma State team that has losses to Tulsa and Iowa State and the Red Raiders are an underdog. And an underdog by more than a field goal. This is another game with a total in the 70s this week as well, so we could be looking at a big shootout. I’m interested to see where this line goes. A move up to 4 would be extremely telling in my opinion.
North Dakota State (-7, 39.5) at Hawaii
Saturday, 11 p.m. ET
North Dakota State heads to Honolulu for the first time and this might be the first Hawaii game with a total below 40 that we’ve ever seen. I couldn’t find a previous example in the KillerSports database, which goes back pretty far. It is a surprisingly low total, especially when you think about the run and shoot nature of this program over the years.
