Looking for the best bets for the WTA Finals on Tuesday, November 10? We break down the day’s matches, analyzing form, playing styles, and the odds to find our favorite picks for the action at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. Here’s what we’re betting on — and why.
MORE: Check out Gill Alexander’s WTA Finals best bets on our Pro Picks page!
Marta Kostyuk vs. Jessica Pegula
If you were upset that I parlayed two favorites on Monday, perhaps my Tuesday card will be more your speed. I’m playing both underdogs.
Kostyuk is only in this event because Elena Rybakina withdrew, but she has been one of the best players in tennis all year. She has also had plenty of success against Pegula. These two have met twice this season, with Kostyuk winning both matches in straight sets. Both felt every bit as lopsided as the scorelines suggested.
Kostyuk is a tough matchup for Pegula because she’s outrageously athletic. Pegula can hit through most players, but she struggles against elite defenders — something we just saw in her loss to Coco Gauff. Kostyuk also packs some serious punch when she goes on the attack, and she’s incredibly dangerous as a returner.
Given what we’ve seen this year, I’m just not sure Kostyuk should be available in the +150 range against anyone outside of Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina. If you’re not a top-tier server, Kostyuk can take you out when she’s playing her game.
Bet: Kostyuk ML (+150)
Linda Noskova vs. Coco Gauff
Gauff got by Pegula despite having all of her weaknesses on display. She didn’t serve particularly well, and her forehand was a mess. However, she pulled through with brilliant returning, elite court coverage, and a bit of boldness in key moments. Against Noskova, she’ll need to play cleaner.
Gauff will have some significant advantages in this matchup, but the Czech is a much better server. Noskova is also an aggressive returner, so she’ll be swinging out of her shoes whenever the American offers up a weak second serve.
There’s a real chance Noskova is lights out on serve — as she was at Wimbledon — and does just enough as a returner. That could give her the edge in the overall serve-return battle, and that makes her live to win this match.
Bet: Noskova ML (+146)
Added Plays
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. These plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action. That’s also where I put my Challenger-level plays, as well as picks for lower level ATP and WTA events.
