Butterfield Bermuda Championship 2025 Picks, Best Bets and Golf Odds:
Ben Griffin’s 2025 season has been overshadowed by the years that Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy have had. This past weekend, Griffin earned his third PGA Tour victory of the season at the World Wide Technology Championship in Mexico. Griffin, a 12-1 pre-tournament favorite, posted 29 under par to win by two strokes over Chad Ramey and Sami Valimaki. Garrick Higgo, who matched the El Cardonal at Diamante course record with a 61 in Saturday’s third round, finished T-4 along with Trevor Cone to round out the top 5.
This week, the PGA Tour heads to Bermuda for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
Rico Hoey (18-1) heads up the odds board for a wide-open event. Hoey has finished inside the top 10 in three of his last five PGA Tour events and inside the top 5 twice.
Kevin Yu (20-1) finished third here in Bermuda in the 2022 event.
Thorbjørn Olesen (22-1) is making a late rally to keep his PGA Tour card for next season with finishes of 14th or better (includes two top-10s) in each of his last four events. Currently 95th in the FedExCup Fall, one more good finish this week will likely lock him into the Top 100 to keep his playing privileges for 2026.
Pierceson Coody (28-1) was third three weeks ago at the Bank of Utah Championship and 12th here in Bermuda last year. He is currently 113th in the FedExCup Fall.
Nico Echavarria (30-1) at No. 62 is safe for next season but is attempting to get into the Aon Next 10 (51-60) to earn spots into the first two “Signature” events — AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and Genesis Invitational — for 2026.
Matti Schmid (30-1) was third here in Bermuda two years ago and finished in the top 10 last week in Mexico.
Michael Brennan (33-1) locked up his PGA Tour card three weeks ago by winning the Bank of Utah Championship, while Matt Wallace (33-1), currently at No. 97, is one of the “bubble boys” to keep his card for next season.
At 35-1 are Jesper Svensson, Patrick Rodgers, who was sixth last week in Mexico and has finished ninth, third and fourth in his last three trips to Bermuda, and Vince Whaley, who has finished eighth or better in his last three Bermuda events.
Defending Bermuda champion Rafael Campos is 300-1.
The Event
The Bermuda Championship made its debut on the 2019 PGA Tour schedule as an alternate event to the WGC-HSBC Champions in China. In 2020, the event was elevated to full FedEx Cup point status with 500 points going to the tournament winner. In 2021, it was going to return to alternate event status, but the WGC event in China was canceled due to COVID-19, so it went back to full-event status.
In 2021, Butterfield Bank joined the Bermuda Tourism Board as a co-title sponsor.
The Field
There are 120 players in this week’s Butterfield Bermuda Championship field:
A storyline to watch is the quest to be in the Top 100 of the FedExCup points by the end of next week. Here are the current standings.
The Course
The Port Royal Golf Course, originally known as Southampton Golf Club, in Southampton, Bermuda, will host the event for the sixth straight year and has hosted high-level professional golf before, as it was the venue for the PGA Grand Slam of Golf, where all four major champions compete, from 2009 to 2014. Robert Trent Jones designed Port Royal in 1970 and Roger Rulewich, an RTJ protégé, renovated it in 2009.
The track, owned and operated by the Bermuda government, is the shortest course on the PGA Tour at a par-71 of 6,828 yards. Half of the holes (1-6, 11-13) are played away from the coast and the other half (7-10, 14-18) are played on the seaside. Port Royal is predominantly constructed of TifEagle Bermudagrass (it is in Bermuda after all) on the fairways (rough only about two inches) and greens (average 8,000 square feet — third largest on tour and a slow 10 on the stimpmeter). Players have mentioned El Camaleon (Mayakoba Golf Classic) and the Plantation Course at Kapalua (Sentry TofC) as similar courses, mainly for the undulations.
Port Royal also features consistent elevation changes similar to the Plantation Course at Kapalua. And as should be expected on an RTJ design, heavy fairway bunkering is another part of the challenge.
The wind typically keeps the scoring relatively under control.. This is a course that players could absolutely destroy at barely over 6,800 yards with non-penal rough if it were not for the fact that winds can blow 30+ mph.
Here is the official scorecard for this week from PGATOUR.com:
Weather
Bermuda has had a lot of precipitation over the last month because of Hurricanes Imelda and Melissa, so the course should be soft. However, per the AccuWeather forecast, windy conditions are expected, and they have affected scoring here before. In calm conditions, mid-20s under par is the norm. With conditions as they are likely to be this week, scoring may end up closer to the mid-teens than the mid-20s.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Recent History
2024: Rafael Campos (-19/265); 300-1
2023: Camilo Villegas (-24/260); 150-1
2022: Seamus Power (-19/265); 22-1
2021: Lucas Herbert (-15/269); 80-1
2020: Brian Gay (-15/269); 200-1*
2019: Brendon Todd (-24/260); 100-1
Playoff win over Wyndham Clark – *
Statistical Analysis
We have no ShotLink data from the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, but we can determine some key stats from the course layout.
Hitting approach shots into the wind, even from shorter distances with wedges, will not be that easy for players this week.
Strokes Gained: Approach — Average Per Round (2025 PGA Tour season)
- Rico Hoey 0.657
- Ben Kohles 0.642
- Henrik Norlander 0.639
- Doug Ghim 0.521
- Sami Valimaki 0.505
- Antoine Rozner 0.488
- Victor Perez 0.479
- Zac Blair 0.433
- Greyson Sigg 0.427
- Lee Hodges 0.425
- Thomas Rosenmueller 0.366
- Andrew Putnam 0.347
- Kevin Yu 0.310
Windy conditions are expected this week in Bermuda.
Strokes Gained Total: High Winds — Average Per Round (Last 24 rounds)
- Antoine Rozner 4.52 (1 round)
- Paul Peterson 2.26 (5 rounds)
- Patrick Fishburn 2.14 (10 rounds)
- Jackson Suber 1.93 (4 rounds)
- Danny Walker 1.84 (5 rounds)
- Matt Kuchar 1.46
- Rico Hoey 1.43 (14 rounds)
- Steven Fisk 1.42 (3 rounds)
- Adam Hadwin 1.35
- Robert Streb 1.31
- Jesper Svensson 1.26 (6 rounds)
- Luke Clanton 1.26 (4 rounds)
- Mark Hubbard 1.13
The greens at Port Royal are 100% Bermudagrass. This is Bermuda, after all.
Strokes Gained: Putting — Bermuda Greens — Average Per Round (Last 36 rounds)
- Taylor Montgomery 1.14
- Nico Echavarria 1.07
- Frankie Capan 0.80 (30 rounds)
- Braden Thornberry 0.76 (33 rounds)
- Vince Whaley 0.64
- Andrew Putnam 0.64
- Beau Hossler 0.52
- Gordon Sargent 0.52 (12 rounds)
- Matti Schmid 0.50
- Sam Ryder 0.48
- Sami Valimaki 0.44
- Brandt Snedeker 0.43
- Patrick Rodgers 0.41
The greens are some of the largest on tour here at Port Royal, which means the three-putt percentage is substantially higher than tour average.
Three-Putt Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)
- Matt Kuchar 1.67%
- Kevin Roy 1.71
- Jeremy Paul 1.72
- Braden Thornberry 1.72
- Beau Hossler 1.89
- Mark Hubbard 1.91
- Vince Whaley 1.93
- Chad Ramey 2.02
- Cristobal Del Solar 2.03
- Paul Peterson 2.11
- Kris Ventura 2.19
- Frankie Capan III 2.20
- Taylor Montgomery 2.22
- Sam Ryder 2.24
- Brandt Snedeker 2.24
- Adam Hadwin 2.25
- Andrew Putnam 2.25
The windy conditions will also make the greens slower, so despite this being a shorter and open course, there is plenty of bogey danger.
Bogey Avoidance Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)
- Andrew Putnam 11.86%
- Vince Whaley 12.62
- Matt Kuchar 12.69
- Lee Hodges 12.78
- Jeremy Paul 12.99
- Takumi Kanaya 13.04
- Pierceson Coody 13.13
- Kevin Roy 13.24
- Chad Ramey 13.42
- Harry Hall 13.53
- Matteo Manassero 13.54
- Victor Perez 13.54
- Thorbjørn Olesen 13.58
- Ben Kohles 13.60
- Ryo Hisatsune 13.70
- Greyson Sigg 13.77
- Ricky Castillo 13.81
- Patrick Fishburn 13.99
The fairways are relatively generous here at Port Royal and the rough is not penal, but players can miss fairways in bunches here due to the wind driving tee shots off line, plus there are plenty of bunkers in the cross landing zones.
Driving Accuracy Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)
- Paul Peterson 74.32%
- Takumi Kanaya 73.61
- Ben Kohles 72.82
- Andrew Putnam 71.90
- Brandt Snedeker 69.42
- Zac Blair 69.14
- Max McGreevy 68.86
- Rico Hoey 68.69
- Carson Young 67.99
- John Pak 67.39
- Noah Goodwin 67.22
- Adam Svensson 66.54
- Greyson Sigg 66.39
- Lee Hodges 66.26
Selections
Vince Whaley (36-1, Circa Sports)
Whaley has finished seventh, eighth and fifth on his last three starts in Bermuda.
He has two top-5s this season at the Sanderson Farms (third) and ISCO Championship (fourth), which both have weaker fields like this one.
Whaley is currently 86th in the FedExCup standings courtesy of making 17 consecutive cuts, so the pressure is off in terms of keeping his PGA Tour card. Now it is just about focusing on garnering that first PGA Tour victory.
Matt Kuchar (40-1, DraftKings)
Kuchar continued his late rally to keep his full PGA Tour playing privileges with an 11th last week in Mexico after finishes of 18th and 13th in his previous two events.
He ranks 110th in the FedExCup and has two final events to get into the Top 100.
“Kooch” has career victories at Harbour Town, El Camaleon and Waialae, which are all short, coastal courses like Port Royal.
Victor Perez (45-1, Caesars Sportsbook)
Perez is currently at No. 104 in the FedExCup standings.
The last three winners of this event — Seamus Power (Ireland), Camilo Villegas (Colombia) and Rafael Campos (Puerto Rico) — are lower-ball hitters like Perez, and that should play better in these windy conditions this week.
Justin Lower (70-1, DraftKings)
Lower has finished 17th (2021), eighth (2022), 20th (2023) and fifth (2024) here across his last four visits to Bermuda.
He is 108th in the FedExCup standings and he has missed the cut all four times he has played in the RSM Classic, next week’s season finale. So, this week appears to be a do-or-die situation for Lower.
Andrew Putnam (110-1, DraftKings)
Like Kuchar, Putnam has a strong record on short and/or coastal courses.
In fact, he was once second to Kuchar in Hawaii and was also a runner-up at TPC Southwind and third at Colonial, plus a runner-up in Japan and a winner in Panama on the Web.com Tour in 2017.
Adam Svensson (150-1, DraftKings)
Another low-ball flight hitter, Svensson is 163rd in the FedExCup and might be playing for only conditional status (Top 125).
Last week in Mexico, he was just T-21 but was second in the field for Greens In Regulation.
Svensson won the RSM Classic three years ago at Sea Island, another shorter coastal course, and won in the Bahamas on the Korn Ferry Tour, so Port Royal should be a good setup for him.
