Truist Championship Best Bets and Golf Odds

Truist Championship Best Bets and Golf Odds:

While Sovereignty did not go gate to wire in his victory this past weekend at the 151st Kentucky Derby, Scottie Scheffler did at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson in his adopted hometown of Dallas. 

The World No. 1 earned his first victory in 2025 with a 31-under par score of 253, which tied a PGA Tour record (since 1983) for the lowest 72-hole score. Scheffler, a +280 pre-tournament favorite, cleared runner-up Erik van Rooyen (23 under) by eight strokes and became the first wire-to-wire winner on tour since Lee Hodges at the 2023 3M Open.

This week’s field at the Truist Championship will not have to worry about Scheffler as he is taking the week off before next week’s PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, which is the typical venue for this week’s event. However, the field must worry about Rory McIlroy (+450), a four-time winner of this event (all wins held at next week’s venue Quail Hollow), who will try to make it No. 5 this week at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, a first-time venue on the PGA Tour. 

McIlroy is the defending champion of the event, while Xander Schauffele (16-1), who will attempt to defend his Wanamaker Trophy at the PGA Championship next week, has finished runner-up each of the last two years in this tournament. 

Collin Morikawa (14-1), Ludvig Åberg (16-1), Justin Thomas (18-1) and Patrick Cantlay (20-1) make up the rest of the shorter prices in the market.

Jordan Spieth (25-1) capped a fourth-place finish at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson with a round of 62 on Sunday, which was his lowest round on the PGA Tour since August 2021. Like McIlroy did at the Masters last month, Spieth has one major championship to win to complete the career Grand Slam next week at the PGA.

Viktor Hovland (28-1), Russell Henley (30-1), Hideki Matsuyama (33-1) and Maverick McNealy (40-1) make up the back of the OWGR Top 10 and are also part of this week’s “Signature” event at the Truist Championship. 

The Event

Truist Financial Corporation, a Charlotte-based bank holdings company, takes over this year as the title sponsor of this event in a year when the event is not actually held in Charlotte. Wells Fargo sponsored this event from 2011-2014. 

The event’s charitable beneficiary is the non-profit organization Teach for America, and the tournament is organized by Champions for Education, Inc.

Previous event winners include a who’s-who of golf, such as Vijay Singh (2005), Jim Furyk (2006), Tiger Woods (2007), Rory McIlroy (2010, 2015, 2021, 2024), Rickie Fowler (2012) and Jason Day (2018).

Last year, the Wells Fargo became one of the PGA Tour’s “signature events,” and the overall tournament purse has risen from $9.3 million to $20 million.

The Field

72 players comprise this week’s Truist Championship field. 

Note: Jason Day WD on Tuesday and Patrick Rodgers is now in off the alternate list. 

The Course

The Philadelphia Cricket Club, founded in 1854, is the oldest country club in the United States. It has two locations: Chestnut Hill, Pa., and Flourtown, Pa. This week’s course is the Wissahickon course located in Flourtown. The track was designed in 1922 by Philadelphia Cricket Club member A.W. Tillinghast, the designer of multiple major championship courses, including Winged Foot, Bethpage Black and Baltusrol.

In 2013, Keith Foster was hired to restore the course to its past glory to bring it back to Tillinghast’s original vision. The renovation led to the removal of more than 2,500 trees and opened the sight lines and natural beauty of the course.

Wissahickon is a par-70 that plays at only 7,119 yards. There is an opportunity to score here, but it is also a demanding layout despite the lack of length by modern-day standards. 

It is heavily bunkered with 118 bunkers, the most this year on the PGA Tour, and those in the fairways are the most challenging. 

The Bentgrass fairways average 32 yards wide, so they are forgiving off the tee, and the Fescue rough (three-four inches) is long but not the really thick stuff that you see on other Tillinghast designs (Winged Foot, Bethpage Black) that are featured courses in the U.S. Open rotation. 

The Bentgrass greens will be firm and fast (13 stimpmeter) and will have plenty of undulations. Some greens are more open and enticing and others are elevated and well protected by bunkers. 

The biggest adjustment the PGA Tour is making for the Truist is re-routing the holes. Players will start on what is usually the 365-yard par-4 eighth and move to another short par-4 on the ninth. Then they’ll play 10 through 18 before moving to 1 and 2. The par-3 third, measuring only 122 yards, will be their 14th hole. Then they’ll take on the “Great Hazard” for a risk-reward par-5. The final three holes — the fifth, sixth and fourth — is a challenging stretch coming home. 

The Golf Association of Philadelphia provides a flyover video of the Wissahickon course.

Comparable courses to this layout include TPC Potomac, Baltusrol (Tillinghast design), Ridgewood (Tillinghast design), Bethpage Black (Tillinghast design), The Country Club (Brookline), Aronimink and Oakmont. 

Weather

AccuWeather projects light rain Thursday afternoon and intermittently throughout Friday before clearing up over the weekend. 

Truist Championship Recent History/Winners

2024: Rory McIlroy (-17/267); 8-1
2023: Wyndham Clark (-19/265); 75-1
2022: Max Homa (-8/272); 40-1*
2021: Rory McIlroy (-10/274); 18-1
2020: Canceled due to COVID-19
2019: Max Homa (-15/269); 500-1
2018: Jason Day (-12/272); 20-1
2017: Brian Harman (-10/278); 80-1**
2016: James Hahn (-9/279); 500-1***
2015: Rory McIlroy (-21/267); 7-2
2014: J.B. Holmes (-14/274); 66-1
2013: Derek Ernst (-8/280); 500-1****
2012: Rickie Fowler (-14/274); 50-1*****
2011: Lucas Glover (-15/273); 110-1******
2010: Rory McIlroy (-15/273); 66-1
Held at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm – *
Held at Eagle Point Golf Club – **
Playoff win over Roberto Castro – ***
Playoff win over David Lynn – ****
Playoff win over Rory McIlroy & D.A. Points – *****
Playoff win over Jonathan Byrd – ******
Note: All other events, unless designated, were played at Quail Hollow Golf Club. 

Statistical Analysis

With no course history here, we have to speculate a bit on what will be important this week. When in doubt, I will most always lean on iron play. 

Strokes Gained: Approach — Average Per Round (Last 24 rounds)

1. Sepp Straka 1.11
2. Collin Morikawa 1.07
3. Rory McIlroy 0.90
4. Xander Schauffele 0.89
5. Shane Lowry 0.81
6. Viktor Hovland 0.79
7. Patrick Cantlay 0.77
8. Tom Hoge 0.76
9. Justin Thomas 0.70
10. Will Zalatoris 0.68
11. Davis Thompson 0.67
12. Corey Conners 0.66
13. Russell Henley 0.64
14. J.J. Spaun 0.59
15. Stephan Jaeger 0.56
16. Michael Kim 0.55
17. Keegan Bradley 0.52
18. Aaron Rai 0.50
19. Ben Griffin 0.50

At just a tad over 7,100 yards, Wissahickon could perhaps be overpowered by “bomb and gouge,” but both bombers and plodders off the tee seemingly have chances. 

Total Driving measures both distance ranking plus accuracy ranking.

Total Driving (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Taylor Pendrith 83 (34 Driving Distance Rank + 49 Driving Accuracy Rank)
2. Davis Thompson 94 (56 + 38)
3. Daniel Berger 102 (94 + 8)
4. Erik van Rooyen 106 (32 + 74)
5. Keegan Bradley 112 (61 + 51)
6. Keith Mitchell 115 (10 + 105)
7. Jordan Spieth 117 (53 + 64)
8. Michael Thorbjornsen 121 (4 + 117)
9. Gary Woodland 123 (11 + 112)
10. J.J. Spaun 131 (56 + 75)
11. Ludvig Åberg 133 (27 + 106)
12. Patrick Cantlay 133 (75 + 58)
13. Viktor Hovland 143 (111 + 32)
14. Sam Burns 147 (51 + 96)
15. Harris English 149 (86 + 63)
16. Robert MacIntyre 150 (120 + 30)
17. Sepp Straka 150 (137 + 13)
18. Tony Finau 155 (78 + 77)
19. Sam Stevens 155 (54 + 101)
20. Collin Morikawa 160 (158 + 2)

With nine of the 12 par-4s at 450 yards or less, players will have a large number of wedges or short irons into the pins. We can examine the short proximity buckets: 75-100 yards, 100-125 yards and 125-150 yards. 

Average Proximity Gained — Yards Per Round — 75 to 100 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Ludvig Åberg 6.20
2. Russell Henley 4.35
3. Thomas Detry 3.63
4. Jason Day 3.61
5. Matt Fitzpatrick 2.88
6. Brian Campbell 2.84
7. Sahith Theegala 2.61
8. Sungjae Im 2.46
9. Davis Thompson 2.09
10. Shane Lowry 2.03
11. Nick Dunlap 1.94
12. Tom Hoge 1.88
13. Daniel Berger 1.86
14. Harris English 1.79
15. Maverick McNealy 1.74
16. Min Woo Lee 1.71
17. Hideki Matsuyama 1.50

Average Proximity Gained — Yards Per Round — 100 to 125 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Wyndham Clark 7.68
2. Adam Hadwin 6.07
3. Collin Morikawa 5.55
4. Justin Thomas 5.45
5. Tony Finau 4.97
6. Sepp Straka 4.24
7. Keegan Bradley 4,15
8. Xander Schauffele 3.77
9. Keith Mitchell 3.71
10. Rasmus Højgaard 3.55
11. Tom Hoge 3.40
12. Michael Kim 3.40
13. Corey Conners 3.37
14. Russell Henley 3.33
15. Si Woo Kim 2.89
16. Erik van Rooyen 2.78
17. Maverick McNealy 2.66
18. Eric Cole 2.53

Average Proximity Gained — Yards Per Round — 125 to 150 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Justin Thomas 10.87
2. Corey Conners 8.40
3. Keegan Bradley 8.16
4. Sepp Straka 7.70
5. Jason Day 7.12
6. Stephan Jaeger 6.92
7. Tommy Fleetwood 6.71
8. Will Zalatoris 6.67
9. J.J. Spaun 6.35
10. Thomas Detry 4.91
11. Collin Morikawa 4.71
12. Rory McIlroy 4.70
13. Tony Finau 4.36
14. Joe Highsmith 4.08
15. Nick Taylor 4.05
16. Viktor Hovland 4.05
17. Davis Thompson 4

As mentioned above, nine of the 12 par-4s are sub-450 yards, but the closing two holes on the reconfigured layout are both difficult par-4s at around 500 yards.

Birdie Or Better Percentage Par-4s (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Erik van Rooyen 23.08%
2. Akshay Bhatia 22.83
3. Justin Thomas 22.55
4. Wyndham Clark 21.51
5. Keith Mitchell 21.43
6. Sepp Straka 21.30
7. Sam Burns 21.20
8. Collin Morikawa 21.18
9. Si Woo Kim 21.09
10. Cam Davis 20.96
11. Patrick Cantlay 20.92
12. Aaron Rai 20.88
13. Rory McIlroy 20.83
14. Rasmus Højgaard 20.53
15. Keegan Bradley 20.45
16. Min Woo Lee 20.17
17. Justin Rose 20.08
18. Russell Henley 20.00

With the various quadrants on these greens, players can get on the wrong side of the hole and struggle to get up and down to save pars.

Strokes Gained: Around The Green — Average Per Round (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Hideki Matsuyama 0.625
2. Min Woo Lee 0.467
3. Brian Campbell 0.456
4. Sungjae Im 0.448
5. Andrew Novak 0.436
6. Shane Lowry 0.373
7. Russell Henley 0.356
8. Daniel Berger 0.354
9. Christiaan Bezuidenhout 0.335
10. Michael Kim 0.324
11. Si Woo Kim 0.319
12. Justin Thomas 0.302
13. J.T. Poston 0.284
14. Stephan Jaeger 0.280
15. Rory McIlroy 0.276
16. Keegan Bradley 0.252
17. Cam Davis 0.251
18. Davis Thompson 0.251

Scrambling Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Hideki Matsuyama 71.03%
2. Rory McIlroy 69.01
3. Michael Kim 67.16
4. Shane Lowry 67.13
5. Denny McCarthy 67.04
6. Daniel Berger 66.67
7. Andrew Novak 66.67
8. Sam Stevens 66.23
9. Ryan Gerard 65.58
10. Nick Taylor 65.28
11. Christiaan Bezuidenhout 65.27
12. Tom Hoge 64.88
13. Keith Mitchell 64.25
14. Collin Morikawa 64.24
15. Min Woo Lee 64.15
16. Corey Conners 64.04
17. Eric Cole 63.71
18. Jordan Spieth 63.60
19. Jacob Bridgeman 63.20
20. Jason Day 63.13
21. Harris English 63.00
22. Sungjae Im 63.00

Wissahickon has 118 bunkers, the most of any course on the PGA Tour this year. They are littered throughout the fairways and around the greens. Players will find the traps this week and bunker play will carry extra importance.

Sand Save Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Hideki Matsuyama 78.33%
2. Michael Kim 75.00
3. Andrew Novak 72.60
4. Adam Hadwin 70.18
5. Si Woo Kim 69.84
6. Sam Burns 69.81
7. Austin Eckroat 68.75
8. Sepp Straka 68.12
9. Stephan Jaeger 67.57
10. Brian Campbell 67.50
11. Keith Mitchell 66.67
12. Brian Harman 66.25
13. Matt Fitzpatrick 66.13
14. Tom Hoge 65.59
15. Rory McIlroy 65.52
16. Adam Scott 65.52
17. Russell Henley 65.38
18. Jordan Spieth 65.28
19. Justin Thomas 65.00

The greens at Wissahickon are pure Bentgrass. 

Strokes Gained Putting — Average Per Round — Bentgrass Greens (Last 24 rounds)

1. Matt Fitzpatrick 1.35
2. Sam Burns 0.91
3. Xander Schauffele 0.85
4. Brian Campbell 0.80
5. Harris English 0.77
6. Andrew Novak 0.76
7. Max Greyserman 0.76
8. Aaron Rai 0.70
9. Ludvig Åberg 0.68
10. Denny McCarthy 0.65
11. J.T. Poston 0.63
12. Justin Rose 0.53
13. Sungjae Im 0.52
14. Wyndham Clark 0.52
15. Erik van Rooyen 0.52
16. Sam Stevens 0.47
17. Collin Morikawa 0.45

Potential three-putts loom with these difficult greens. 

Three Putt Avoidance Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Rickie Fowler 1.35%
2. Jason Day 1.39
3. Justin Thomas 1.67
4. Harris English 1.70
5. Sam Burns 1.72
6. Keegan Bradley 1.75
7. Andrew Novak 1.76
8. Denny McCarthy 1.89
9. Tommy Fleetwood 1.91
10. Michael Kim 1.93
11. Sungjae Im 2.01
12. J.J. Spaun 2.07
13. Eric Cole 2.14
14. Si Woo Kim 2.15
15. Sepp Straka 2.15
16. Patrick Cantlay 2.16
17. Nick Dunlap 2.16
18. Stephan Jaeger 2.20
19. Byeong Hun An 2.25
20. Cameron Young 2.25

Note: This is the percentage of time that players three-putt. 

Finally, we can examine players on how they did on the correlated courses listed under the course preview. 

Strokes Gained Total Comparable Courses (Last 24 rounds)

1. Keegan Bradley 50.9
2. Hideki Matsuyama 43.4
3. Rory McIlroy 39.2 (20 rounds)
4. Rickie Fowler 38.1
5. Adam Scott 37.4
6. Matt Fitzpatrick 36.4 (20 rounds)
7. Patrick Cantlay 29.9 (20 rounds)
8. Xander Schauffele 28.4 (18 rounds)
9. Justin Rose 27.9
10. Jordan Spieth 27.4
11. Justin Thomas 26.3
12. Adam Hadwin 24.4
13. Shane Lowry 22.6 (12 rounds)
14. Tony Finau 20.6

Selections

Xander Schauffele (16-1, DraftKings)

Schauffele took a couple of events to get going after returning from an eight-week absence because of a rib injury, finishing 40th in the Arnold Palmer Invitational and 72nd in The Players Championship in March. However, he’s been much improved across his last three starts, recording consecutive finishes of 12th in the Valspar Championship, eighth in the Masters and 18th in the RBC Heritage before this week. 

His approach game has been excellent of late and is starting to peak in other areas in preparation for the defense of his Wanamaker Trophy next week at the PGA Championship. 

He has twice performed well in majors at Tillinghast originals, finishing fifth at Winged Foot in the 2020 US Open and 16th in the 2019 PGA Championship at Bethpage Black. 

This could be a case of timing a player right with Schauffele this week. 

Patrick Cantlay (21-1, Circa Sports)

Cantlay is a California native who resides in Florida but has played his best golf in the northeastern part of the country. 

He won the Memorial Tournament in 2019 and 2021 at Muirfield Village in Ohio. His BMW Championship FedEx Cup Playoff victories (2021 and 2022) have followed in Maryland and Delaware. Cantlay was third at the 2019 PGA Championship hosted at Bethpage Black on a Tillinghast course.

Five of his seven PGA Tour victories are also on Bentgrass greens. 

Over the last 12 rounds, he ranks third in this field for Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and 9th for Strokes Gained: Approach. The putter has been what has given him the most problems of late, but he is on the preferred Bentgrass surface this week.

Keegan Bradley (50-1, BetMGM)

The current Team USA Ryder Cup captain has been playing solid golf in his own right in 2025 with two top-six finishes and six top-20s. 

Now he comes home to the northeast, where he has won in Pennsylvania at the Donald Ross-designed Aronimink, as well as in Connecticut at the Travelers.

Justin Rose (75-1, Circa Sports)

Rose has had close to a month to recover from losing in the playoff at the Masters for the second time in his career. 

Perhaps you never really recover from that, but Rose has to carry at least some confidence that he can still compete with the best, even though he turns 45 in July.

Rose is a prolific winner in the northeast throughout his career, having won the U.S. Open at Merion, plus victories at Aronimink, Congressional and the Memorial at Muirfield Village. 

Seven of his 11 PGA Tour victories also have come on Bentgrass greens. 

Any other futures, matchups, or placement markets will be up Wednesday at VSiN.com/picks