Wyndham Championship 2025 Picks, Best Bets and Golf Odds

Wyndham Championship 2025 Picks, Best Bets and Golf Odds:

Kurt Kitayama played his way into the FedExCup Playoffs last weekend, winning the 3M Open in the Twin Cities to cash a 40-1 ticket for this column. 

The 32-year-old native of Chico, Calif., who resides in Las Vegas, shot a round of 60 on Saturday to put himself into Sunday’s final group, then birdied six of his first eight holes on Sunday to take control of the tournament and win the event at 23 under. His iron play was the key to victory as he led the field for Strokes Gained: Approach. 

Kitayama, who previously won the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge in 2023, got a 500-point boost in the FedExCup standings to move inside the top 70 and secure a spot in the FedExCup Playoffs. He was projected to jump from 110th to 53rd.

Sam Stevens made a late surge but fell one shot short at 22 under to finish second. David Lipsky, Matt Wallace, Pierceson Coody and Jake Knapp finished T-3.

This week is the last chance for players to play their way into the FedExCup Playoffs as the PGA Tour regular season concludes at the Wyndham Championship in Greensboro, N.C. 

Matt Fitzpatrick (22-1) is safely into the FedExCup Playoffs but is playing in Greensboro to improve his positioning and is off consecutive top-4 finishes at the Scottish Open and the British Open. 

Ben Griffin (25-1) has cooled a bit since his stellar spring form that earned him two PGA Tour victories and a runner-up at the Memorial, but he finished seventh here last year and was fourth in 2022. 

U.S. Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley (28-1) is just six weeks removed from his victory at The Travelers Championship, a 35-1 winner for this column, and is looking to stay in good playing form while also garnering some intel on players who are on the bubble for Ryder Cup selection. 

A host of players are at 33-1, including last year’s Wyndham winner, Aaron Rai, who cashed at 35-1 for us here last year, Robert MacIntyre, Hideki Matsuyama and Jordan Spieth.

Aside from Rai, other former Wyndham winners in this week’s field are Lucas Glover (40-1), Si Woo Kim (40-1), J.T. Poston (55-1), Tom Kim (66-1), Webb Simpson (100-1), Brandt Snedeker (300-1), Kevin Kisner (500-1), Camilo Villegas (750-1) and Jim Herman (1500-1). 

The Event

The Wyndham Championship was established in 1938 as the Greater Greensboro Open (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts took over as sponsor in 2007). The event has a lengthy history and has been the site for several PGA Tour records. In 1965, Sam Snead set PGA Tour records for being the oldest player to win a PGA Tour event (age 52) and for most wins at a single event (eighth win). Fifty years later, in 2015, Davis Love III won here at age 51 and became the oldest player to win on the PGA Tour in the Senior/Champions Tour era (1980).

The Field

156 players are in this week’s Wyndham Championship. 

Here are the current FedExCup point standings.

The Course

Sedgefield Country Club, in Greensboro, N.C., became the host of the Wyndham Championship in 2008. The Wyndham is held at the Ross Course, named for its designer Donald Ross, which opened in 1926. After renovations conducted in 2007 by Kris Spence, a golf course architect based in Greensboro, who worked as the course superintendent at nearby Forest Oaks Country Club, which hosted the Wyndham from 1977-2007.

Sedgefield is a par-70 of 7,131 yards. It is a typical Carolina course with tree-lined fairways, pine straw and Champion Bermudagrass throughout. The course is a par-70 with only two par-5s and four par-3s. Nine of the 12 par-4s are less than 450 yards. 

The fairways are narrow (29-yard average — ninth narrowest on tour) and the rough measures at 2.5 inches. There are five water hazards in play on six holes, and the layout is not all that heavily bunkered (52 on course — seventh fewest on tour); however, the fairway bunkers at Sedgefield are tough to reach the greens in regulation. The Champion Bermuda greens (avg 6,000 square feet) undulate and are fast (12.5 stimpmeter).

This is a scoreable course. Brandt Snedeker shot 59 here for the course record on his way to victory at the 2018 Wyndham. 

Here is the official scorecard for the 2025 Wyndham Championship, courtesy of PGATOUR.com:

McConnell Golf LLC owns 16 golf and country clubs throughout the Southeast, including Sedgefield. Its site provides an aerial view of the course.

Weather

The AccuWeather forecast projects thunderstorms for the first two days but also a significant cooldown for the weekend. 

Wyndham Championship Recent History

2024: Aaron Rai (-18/262); 35-1

2023: Lucas Glover (-20/260); 90-1

2022: Tom Kim (-20/260); 35-1

2021: Kevin Kisner (-15/265); 55-1*

2020: Jim Herman (-21/259); 600-1

2019: J.T. Poston (-22/258); 100-1

2018: Brandt Snedeker (-21/259); 28-1

2017: Henrik Stenson (-22/258); 14-1

2016: Si Woo Kim (-21/259); 150-1

2015: Davis Love III (-17/263); 500-1

2014: Camilo Villegas (-17/263); 125-1

2013: Patrick Reed (-14/266); 80-1**

2012: Sergio Garcia (-18/262); 40-1

2011: Webb Simpson (-18/262); 20-1

2010: Arjun Atwal (-20/260); 200-1

Playoff win over Branden Grace, Si Woo Kim, Kevin Na, Adam Scott, Roger Sloan

Playoff win over Jordan Spieth – **

Statistical Analysis

The last two Wyndham winners — Aaron Rai and Lucas Glover — both led the field for Strokes Gained: Approach during their respective winning weeks.

Strokes Gained: Approach — Average Per Round (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Henrik Norlander 0.743
2. Nicolai Højgaard 0.580
3. Antoine Rozner 0.561
4. Akshay Bhatia 0.559
5. Doug Ghim 0.552
6. Lee Hodges 0.541
7. Jackson Suber 0.535
8. Lucas Glover 0.527
9. Victor Perez 0.519
10. Ben Kohles 0.511
11. Hideki Matsuyama 0.509
12. Ryan Fox 0.492
13. Ryan Gerard 0.487
14. Rico Hoey 0.463
15. Robert MacIntyre 0.455
16. Zac Blair 0.419
17. Bud Cauley 0.416
18. Ben Griffin 0.411
19. Keegan Bradley 0.398
20. Kevin Yu 0.395

The majority of approach shots come from a range of 100 to 175 yards, so there are mostly wedges and short irons into the greens.

Average Proximity Gained — Per Round — 100 to 125 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Bud Cauley 11.05
2. Adam Hadwin 10.07
3. Harry Hall 9.96
4. Antoine Rozner 8.46
5. Jacob Bridgeman 8.34
6. Seamus Power 8.30
7. Adam Svensson 7.85
8. Ben Kohles 7.49
9. Justin Lower 7.38
10. Danny Walker 7.05
11. Michael Kim 6.62
12. Matt Kuchar 6.59
13. Matt Fitzpatrick 6.54
14. Ryan Fox 6.48
15. Greyson Sigg 6.11
16. Lucas Glover 5.95
17. Henrik Norlander 5.88
18. J.T. Poston 5.42
19. Alex Smalley 5.42
20. John Pak 5.15

Average Proximity Gained — Per Round — 125 to 150 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Lucas Glover 14.11
2. Chandler Phillips 9.94
3. Aaron Baddeley 8.40
4. Greyson Sigg 8.39
5. Christiaan Bezuidenhout 8.26
6. Gary Woodland 8.14
7. Jim Herman 8.03
8. Nate Lashley 7.69
9. David Ford 7.66
10. Thomas Detry 7.19
11. Seamus Power 6.87
12. Mac Meissner 6.84
13. Davis Thompson 6.21
14. Matt McCarty 6.19
15. Joel Dahmen 6.18
16. Austin Eckroat 5.82
17. Emiliano Grillo 5.40
18. David Lipsky 5.40
19. Max Homa 5.37
20. Kurt Kitayama 5.32

Average Proximity Gained — Per Round — 150 to 175 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Davis Thompson 19.94
2. Karl Vilips 11.79
3. Hideki Matsuyama 11.12
4. Akshay Bhatia 11.11
5. Sami Valimaki 10.43
6. Henrik Norlander 9.66
7. Stephan Jaeger 9.42
8. Harry Hall 8.53
9. Max Greyserman 8.41
10. Matti Schmid 7.62
11. Brandt Snedeker 7.57
12. Ben Kohles 7.46
13. John Pak 7.27
14. Bud Cauley 7.20
15. Lucas Glover 7.12
16. Keegan Bradley 6.92
17. J.T. Poston 6.65
18. Lee Hodges 6.56
19. Will Chandler 6.56
20. Justin Lower 6.33

With some narrow fairways and blind tee shots, finding fairways is extra important this week because of some tricky Bermuda rough that will stick to the clubface and cause errant shots when attempting to reach the green.

Fairways Hit Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Paul Peterson 73.64%
2. Aaron Rai 72.61
3. Ben Kohles 72.21
4. Takumi Kanaya 70.98
5. Lucas Glover 69.48
6. Andrew Putnam 68.95
7. Brice Garnett 68.15
8. Zach Johnson 68.10
9. Sungjae Im 68.05
10. Brandt Snedeker 67.84
11. Joel Dahmen 67.73
12. Rico Hoey 67.08
13. Carson Young 66.72
14. Emiliano Grillo 66.36
15. Zac Blair 66.07
16. Thriston Lawrence 65.55
17. Si Woo Kim 65.31
18. Austin Eckroat 65.27
19. Max McGreevy 64.90
20. Victor Perez 64.88

Good Drive Percentage is a measure for par-4s and par-5s by calculating the sum of fairways hit and number of greens or fringe in regulation (when the drive was not in the fairway on the tee shot), divided by the number of par-4s and par-5s played.

Good Drive Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Aaron Rai 87.42%
2. Takumi Kanaya 87.01
3. Rico Hoey 86.83
4. Paul Peterson 86.72
5. Ben Kohles 86.66
6. Zach Johnson 86.49
7. Victor Perez 86.03
8. Brice Garnett 86.02
9. Andrew Putnam 85.70
10. Michael Thorbjornsen 85.56
11. Thomas Rosenmueller 85.55
12. Ricky Castillo 85.54
13. Joel Dahmen 84.96
14. Brandt Snedeker 84.79
15. Carson Young 84.78
16. Thriston Lawrence 84.70
17. Emiliano Grillo 84.50
18. Alex Smalley 84.43
19. Lucas Glover 84.22
20. Doug Ghim 84.05

The greens at Sedgefield are fast, Bermuda surfaces. To be in contention here on Sunday, players will have had to have gained on the greens throughout the first three rounds.

Strokes Gained: Putting — Total  (Last 24 rounds)

1. Nico Echavarria 27.6
2. Christiaan Bezuidenhout 21.2
3. Denny McCarthy 21
4. Harry Hall 20.4
5. Max Greyserman 19.6
6. Patrick Rodgers 19.5
7. Sam Ryder 18.1
8. Cameron Young 17.6
9. Jacob Bridgeman 15.7
10. Jake Knapp 15.6
11. Andrew Putnam 15.1
12. Brandt Snedeker 14.5
13. Bud Cauley 14.1
14. Aaron Wise 14.1
15. Gary Woodland 13.4
16. Vince Whaley 12.9
17. Ben Griffin 12.9
18. Zach Johnson 11.7
19. Sami Valimaki 11.6
20. Matthieu Pavon 11.1
21. Jackson Suber 11.1

Donald Ross designs feature elevated and sloping putting surfaces with multiple run-off locations. Three-putts and bogeys can happen here frequently on these faster greens.

Three-Putt Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Braden Thornberry 1.28%
2. Matt Kuchar 1.39
3. Vince Whaley 1.39
4. Harry Hall 1.42
5. Emiliano Grillo 1.51
6. Rickie Fowler 1.54
7. Kevin Roy 1.59
8. Aaron Baddeley 1.63
9. Zach Johnson 1.63
10. Chad Ramey 1.73
11. Cristobal Del Solar 1.78
12. Chan Kim 1.82
13. Sam Ryder 1.88
14. Paul Peterson 1.89
15. Andrew Putnam 1.92
16. Thorbjørn Olesen 1.95
17. Brandt Snedeker 1.97

Bogey Avoidance Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Andrew Putnam 11.11%
2. Vince Whaley 12.50
3. Brice Garnett 12.65
4. Ryo Hisatsune 12.88
5. Nate Lashley 13.03
6. Kevin Roy 13.14
7. Lee Hodges 13.25
8. Harry Hall 13.32
9. Jake Knapp 13.38
10. Alex Smalley 13.47
11. Matt Kuchar 13.51
12. Ben Kohles 13.52
13. Matteo Manassero 13.62
14. Henrik Norlander 13.93
15. Sam Ryder 13.98
16. Takumi Kanaya 14.04
17. Victor Perez 14.07
18. Chad Ramey 14.12
19. Paul Peterson 14.14
20. Ricky Castillo 14.17

Sedgefield is a course that players can score low numbers on despite the blind tee shots, narrow fairways, tricky Bermuda rough and fast greens. 

Birdie Or Better Percentage (2025 PGA Tour season)

1. Harry Hall 25.57%
2. Jake Knapp 25.43
3. Kurt Kitayama 25.31
4. Keith Mitchell 25.09
5. Nicolai Højgaard 24.87
6. Jesper Svensson 24.80
7. Michael Thorbjornsen 24.75
8. Akshay Bhatia 24.59
9. Kevin Yu 24.41
10. Danny Walker 24.15
11. Alex Smalley 24.07
12. Isaiah Salinda 23.67
13. Erik van Rooyen 23.59
14. Kevin Roy 23.46
15. Niklas Norgaard 23.36
16. Matti Schmid 23.26
17. Sami Valimaki 23.13
18. Max Greyserman 23.09
19. Rico Hoey 23.02

Eight of the 12 par-4s measure between 400 and 450 yards.

Strokes Gained Par-4s 400-450 Yards (Last 24 rounds)

1. Matt Wallace 15.1
2. Trey Mullinax 14.7
3. Matteo Manassero 14.6
4. Davis Riley 14.6
5. Victor Perez 13.2
6. Kevin Roy 12.7
7. Patrick Fishburn 12.4
8. Joel Dahmen 12.3
9. Akshay Bhatia 12.2
10. Danny Walker 11.6
11. Paul Peterson 10.8
12. Christiaan Bezuidenhout 10.4
13. Jake Knapp 10.2
14. Nick Hardy 9.4
15. Stephan Jaeger 8.7
16. John Pak 8.6
17. Adam Scott 8.4
18. Chesson Hadley 8.1
19. Matt McCarty 7.9
20. Lucas Glover 7.5
21. Chris Kirk 7.5
22. Austin Eckroat 7.5

Selections

Matt Fitzpatrick (20-1, DraftKings)

Though he has played this event only once in his career, it is easy to see how Fitzpatrick is the tournament favorite, considering his incoming form, having finished fourth (British Open), fourth (Scottish Open) and eighth (Rocket Mortgage Classic) in his last three events. 

There is also some correlating form between the Wyndham (Sedgefield) and the RBC Heritage (Harbour Town) as there are four players who have won at both venues over the last two years, plus numerous runners-up and high placements. Fitzpatrick won the RBC Heritage in 2023. 

Lucas Glover (35-1, BetMGM)

Glover was the winner here in 2023. 

He is safely in the top 30 of the FedExCup points courtesy of five top-10 finishes this year, including a third at The Players, a fifth at the John Deere and a ninth at The Travelers, events that all put a premium on driving accuracy.

Andrew Novak (66-1, Caesars Sportsbook)

Novak earned his first PGA Tour victory this past April, winning the team event at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans with partner Ben Griffin. Griffin went on to win his first solo event weeks later at Colonial. Meanwhile, Novak lost in the playoff the week before at the Zurich to Justin Thomas at the RBC Heritage, which has correlations galore with the Wyndham Championship. 

He sits 13th in the U.S. Ryder Cup point standings and is certainly one of several in the mix for a spot. A win here would certainly make it difficult for captain Keegan Bradley not to strongly consider him. 

Bud Cauley (80-1, Bet Rivers)

Cauley played his best golf in 2025 in the spring with four top-6 finishes, including a third at Colonial, which has a strong correlation to Sedgefield. 

He is comfortably into the FedExCup Playoffs, so now he can focus on finally getting that first PGA Tour victory, and Sedgefield looks to be a logical place for that to happen, considering he has a third (2012), 10th (2016) and a 15th (2020). 

Ryo Hisatsune (110-1, Bet365)

While he has cooled off from his hot spring form that garnered four top-10 finishes, Hisatsune, currently 81st in the FedExCup standings, looks to be a good fit for Sedgefield.

He was T-18 at the RBC Heritage, a signature event, and T-6 at Colonial. Those are both events that are held on courses where players do not use the driver as much, similar to Sedgefield this week. 

Victor Perez (110-1, Bet365)

Perez has had moderate success in his first full season with six finishes of 22nd or better, but just one top-10.

However, he looks to also be a good fit here, ranking top 10 in this field for both Good Drive Percentage and Strokes Gained: Approach. 

Ben Kohles (175-1, Caesars Sportsbook)

Kohles, who made his PGA Tour debut 13 years ago here at the Wyndham Championship, sits 151st in the FedExCup standings. Getting into the playoffs (top 70) is certainly ambitious, but there is still a good shot to get into the top 125 and retain his tour card. 

The former Korn Ferry Tour Player of the Year (2023) finished just T-20 last week at the 3M Open, but he was third in the field for Strokes Gained: Approach and second for Greens In Regulation. 

Placement markets, matchups, and/or other futures will be available Wednesday at VSiN.com/picks