Jeff Siegel’s Horse Racing Picks for Saturday 7/30

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Xpressbet writer Jeff Siegel offers his top plays for Saturday.

Del Mar Race No. 1 (5 p.m. ET/2 p.m. PT)
#6 Pat’s Paddock Pick (5-1)

 

Homebred juvenile colt has shown enough in a.m. drills to rate a huge chance first crack out of the box in this maiden $62,600 sprint, and while the barn’s record with debut runners is weak, we’re thinking this son of Jimmy Creed will prove to be the exception to the rule. He’s been given more than a sufficient number of workouts to have him fit and ready, and in a field in which the known element doesn’t impress and the other newcomers looks average at best, the 5-1 that he’s listed on the morning line would offer excellent wagering value, if you can get it.

Del Mar Race No. 11 (10:06 p.m. ET/7:06 p.m. PT)
#5 Kura (12-1)

This filly trained like the real deal prior to her racing debut, but after a rough start over a track she failed to properly grip the track as the daughter of First Samurai performed far below expectations when finishing a distant third (beaten 12 lengths) in her debut at Santa Anita last month. She continues to train well and deserves another chance, this time on grass for the Richard Mandella barn, which produces at a strong 20 percent rate with the second-time starter angle. With Mike Smith riding her back, we’re expecting a vastly improved performance and excellent long shot wagering value at or near her morning line of 12-1.

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